Prismshine Productions Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago using the CFS as a pattern sniffer (it actually has been doing decent picking out event timelines at range for once), it has a coastal for EoR Friday, then a Montreal Clipper on the 27th, a light clipper Feb.6th, then it gets really busy with a coastal train 2/11-19,, jsut going to look out for those time ranges at this point 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 hour ago, dendrite said: This is quite the headline map. Gotta love a WSW along 2/3 of the gulf coast. Yeah they cancelled school in College Station Texas tomorrow and possibly Wednesday. They cant deal with it at all! Where’s Greta we need school! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Maybe an inch on the Cape from the out to sea system Wednesday, better chance Nantucket and Lower Cape. Wouldn't take much to get a bit more this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 22 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Snoozefest Was over last week. We appreciate a modest event and the cold this week but it doesn’t change anything in the whole scheme of things. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Most of us should get to zero or below, looks like Ohio is taking a good hit from the cold 25-30 below with probably a few weenie spots getting colder than that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 23 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Most of us should get to zero or below, looks like Ohio is taking a good hit from the cold 25-30 below with probably a few weenie spots getting colder than that. My guess is models are a little warm across the rad areas that just got fresh snow, but itll depend on how much it can calm off. Neither night looks real windy, but Wednesday has the best shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago woke up with a fever, took a nap and sweated it out, now feel great and going snowshoeing with my wife so I will catch you all in a bit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 35 minutes ago, wx2fish said: My guess is models are a little warm across the rad areas that just got fresh snow, but itll depend on how much it can calm off. Neither night looks real windy, but Wednesday has the best shot. Thought there was talk yesterday that the core of the cold wasn’t going to make it in here? We have been down to 1-2F already this season, and I am expecting about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Modfan2 said: Thought there was talk yesterday that the core of the cold wasn’t going to make it in here? We have been down to 1-2F already this season, and I am expecting about the same. Core definetely will be west. Looks comparable to what we've seen, maybe a little lower in the rad pits. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Watch this 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Watch this Where is it heading as of now? Up or out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Where is it heading as of now? Up or out? Under - suppressed. Tenor of the season. There is time - but the block needs to lift out or else cold and dry with the south gets snowed in. Again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 18 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Where is it heading as of now? Up or out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 34 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Watch this watch this because that wave is going, going, gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Watch this CFS has been sniffing that one out, this was last night's run (and yes I know the CFS is a shit model but I am solely using it for pattern hints) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said: CFS has been sniffing that one out, this was last night's run (and yes I know the CFS is a shit model but I am solely using it for pattern hints) Mark, is that you? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 41 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: watch this because that wave is going, going, gone Yup that thing has been ots for days we would need some fairly big changes in the set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Looks like cold shot after cold shot, just need some precipitation to come our way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 53 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: watch this because that wave is going, going, gone At 8 days out? ok Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 17 minutes ago, DJln491 said: Yup that thing has been ots for days we would need some fairly big changes in the set up You are confusing the storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: You are confusing the storms Ya..that’s what I figured too. They’re thinking of the one for Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya..that’s what I figured too. They’re thinking of the one for Wednesday. I was actually thinking Friday. But yeah bottom line I was confused 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Wonder if this will go down as one of driest Jan’s on record . Little rain or snow . Anyone look? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 41 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Looks like cold shot after cold shot, just need some precipitation to come our way. Checked our 500gal LP tank and we're down to 45%. Typically we're around 60% at this time of the winter as I fill in Nov. We've been burning the woodstove too which will offset some LP, but I was surprised we're down as low as we are. Usually we'll roll into April with 20% and I don't bother filling again till Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 13 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Checked our 500gal LP tank and we're down to 45%. Typically we're around 60% at this time of the winter as I fill in Nov. We've been burning the woodstove too which will offset some LP, but I was surprised we're down as low as we are. Usually we'll roll into April with 20% and I don't bother filling again till Fall. Yeah I mentioned in another thread my pellet stove is devouring pellets. Full time job keeping up with it. I got 3 tons through it almost so it's going to be a 6 ton season and it's been awhile since that's happened. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro's buckin' for a heat burst at the end of the run 582 dm non-hydrostatic hgts nearing the latitude of NYC on Feb 4 is probably nearing some sort of metrical record in that regard. A few days, if even weeks ago, I cited 3 reasons ( conceptual ) why this February was suspect for a shock and awe warm up - I can't find it now but it's back there buried somewhere. It's worth it to try and forecast those as they are a distinctly new phenomenon to our climate, where Feb temp extremes have exceeding 70 if not approaching 80 F have occurred a few times since 2012. Basically it was: (La NIna spring climo) + ( propensity for warm surges in Feb in recent year's worth) + (present warm indicators) (A + B + C)/3 = plenty of justification for suspecting this February as hosting some warm air to put it nicely. The 28th - 2nd may be an inflection in the mass fields ...exiting a cold one. Good time to get some sort of event to take place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Warm ups have been underperforming this season. End of an op run…hmm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago They have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Warm ups have been underperforming this season. End of an op run…hmm? Obviously ... buuuut, that's relative to the pattern foot In this case we've benefited from episodic -EPOs. We lose that ... then the other aspects may become dominant. That's not beyond the expectation given the three factors outlined above. We can certainly question whether these advanced lead telecons are true or not, but 'warm ups have been underperforming' loses out to a scaffolding change in the hemisphere. The other question, is that really true re warm ups? I don't recall any warm ups forecast in quite some time. I dunno - maybe I missed one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Got in the truck to move it after watching the fantastic inauguration and as cold as it is the inside had some warmth after sitting in the sun . That Tippy sun angle is getting more noticeable 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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