Joker January

[UnitedWx]

12 hours ago, dendrite said:

I like how he completely gave up tagging Ryan. lol

 

LOL he's been trolling WTIC A.M. with his low temps for YEARS

[Ginx snewx]

Bring on the pain

[512high]

Light dusting, current 11F

[CoastalWx]

Meh a two day cold spell. We’ve had worse. 

[alex]

Just not to break the streak, got light snow last night and overnight, making it 13 consecutive days of measurable snow. Pretty impressive given the last few years

[HoarfrostHubb]

33 minutes ago, alex said:

Just not to break the streak, got light snow last night and overnight, making it 13 consecutive days of measurable snow. Pretty impressive given the last few years

You just triggered Scooter

[JC-CT]

12 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

GFS ens just beginning to see the 24th 

Spattering of members over eastern NE with a couple deep members. 

It’s primitive as signals go and more members likely yet to join … provided the compression continues to ease 

The op version is for the moment a vast west outlier 

Pretty nice signal starting to show up

[codfishsnowman]

The lightest dusting last night. Like fine powdered sugar to finish off a dessert presentation. It was really cool last night as the very light and very fine snow drifted down under a hazy moonlit sky.

[Lava Rock]

47 minutes ago, alex said:

Just not to break the streak, got light snow last night and overnight, making it 13 consecutive days of measurable snow. Pretty impressive given the last few years

managed a few flakes last night, but otherwise bone dry and boring as hell. It's amazing how well some are doing. feast or famine.

[JC-CT]

14 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Pretty nice signal starting to show up

The thing is, of course, there's another wave before this one. 22nd ish. Most modeling has had it die in the meat grinder but there's been some slow ticking nw for several runs now. It seems pretty close in for a massive h5 change on that one, but there's a small chance that one of these runs in the next day or two, a monster just appears out of nowhere for the 22nd. Then we can all laugh about how we chased 4" this upcoming Monday for days and ignored the real beast behind it. Those are my favorite tbh.

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

The thing is, of course, there's another wave before this one. 22nd ish. Most modeling has had it die in the meat grinder but there's been some slow ticking nw for several runs now. It seems pretty close in for a massive h5 change on that one, but there's a small chance that one of these runs in the next day or two, a monster just appears out of nowhere for the 22nd. Then we can all laugh about how we chased 4" this upcoming Monday for days and ignored the real beast behind it. Those are my favorite tbh.

Glad you are back! I do believe Sunday is the start of a run that will probably last three weeks maybe more

[Typhoon Tip]

24 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

The thing is, of course, there's another wave before this one. 22nd ish. Most modeling has had it die in the meat grinder but there's been some slow ticking nw for several runs now. It seems pretty close in for a massive h5 change on that one, but there's a small chance that one of these runs in the next day or two, a monster just appears out of nowhere for the 22nd. Then we can all laugh about how we chased 4" this upcoming Monday for days and ignored the real beast behind it. Those are my favorite tbh.

You're not alone in noticing this ...   

Using the telecon to assist, there's arguments against it tho, with the PNA .. it's perturbation timing is off on the 22nd.  

The operational run, the one doing the more obvious ticking ..., is having a domestic battle with its ensemble family, because the index derivative comes from the ens mean, and the higher resolution operational version - tough call.   This system we're monitoring for 80 hours from now has the benefit of a small + perturbation in the index.  

The next one is the 24/25 thing...  The 22nd is a local time scale nadir between the 20th and 24th +d(PNA).  Uuusually ( no always) these numerical telecons spurn forecaster valor at least some way, some how. 

[SouthCoastMA]

CMC/NAVY clip us on 22nd, and GFS is a close miss. I know that's a longshot, but I'm curious if 12z makes any additional slight moves. EURO/AI are well out to sea. 

Edit: Ok i missed all those posts before about it

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

You just triggered Scooter

Put an X on each day to mark it down!

[codfishsnowman]

Be something to get some juiced southern stream system to ride up the coast and overrun next week's butter temps to produce a region wide powder keg. That would really be old fashioned style winter weather.

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

managed a few flakes last night, but otherwise bone dry and boring as hell. It's amazing how well some are doing. feast or famine.

Most are famine…it’s been a very good pattern for upslope snow so anyone on the NW or W side of big mountains are going to be doing well. Hopefully we start getting some more synoptic events going. 

[Torch Tiger]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Meh a two day cold spell. We’ve had worse. 

seasonable

[Ginx snewx]

1899 Feb saw arctic air across the USA with heavy snow along the 5 gulf states across the mid Atlantic thru NE. It's got that look if models are correct 

[weatherwiz]

I really hope we're setting the stage for a big dog at the end of next week. I am getting extremely excited about that potential. I am going to go on a limb and say we won't see a solution that is OTS. Could be a risk where we get a track that isn't all snow for everyone but I think we are in line for something big end of next week. 

[Prismshine Productions]

18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I really hope we're setting the stage for a big dog at the end of next week. I am getting extremely excited about that potential. I am going to go on a limb and say we won't see a solution that is OTS. Could be a risk where we get a track that isn't all snow for everyone but I think we are in line for something big end of next week. 

I am watching that Friday low that is ots on the GFS

[weatherwiz]

31 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

I am watching that Friday low that is ots on the GFS

fine by me...my expectation is that there will be a storm and its something that rides up along or just offshore. 

[CoastalWx]

Man I want that srm storm so bad for mid to late week. What an epic blizzard that would be. Looks OTS though.

[Cyclone-68]

If this storm doesn’t work out for me again I’m going to stamp the floor with my foot like it’s never been stamped before 

[CoastalWx]

This whole euro run is one big floor stomp. 

[cleetussnow]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This whole euro run is one big floor stomp. 

shit.

[Snowcrazed71]

31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This whole euro run is one big floor stomp. 

Do you mean like dog shit? 

[MJO812]

22 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

shit.

It's not bad 

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Do you mean like dog shit? 

Just typical ebb and flow of the op runs.