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Joker January


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1 hour ago, DavisStraight said:

We had a great overrunning even in January 94, started at 2 degrees with snizzle, changed to rain eventually at night but still in the 20s and the roads were all ice, turned back to snow overnight for a couple inches, nastiest storm I remember.

That event dropped 18 inches in Boston.

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31 minutes ago, kdxken said:

See dead rats the past umpteenth winters.

Umpteenth?  Were you here in 2021-22?  4 events of significance and 30% above normal for Boston and metro west.   2020-2- wasn’t bad.  Big event in December and good February.   Past 2 years (possibly 3 when we tally up 2024-25) were rats.

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1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Umpteenth?  Were you here in 2021-22?  4 events of significance and 30% above normal for Boston and metro west.   2020-2- wasn’t bad.  Big event in December and good February.   Past 2 years (possibly 3 when we tally up 2024-25) were rats.

3 years falls in the rat category.

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As I’ve mentioned repeatedly on my Twitter account (since late December), I’ve always favored the forthcoming period of 1/19 to 2/3 for the greatest potential (enhanced probability) of getting a major east coast storm.  
 

This long range expectation has been, and continues to be, based on the premise that the majority of MECS’ have occurred during a period when a highly favorable background state begins to see a pattern relaxation.  Does that mean there will definitely be a MECS at that time? Of course not. However, I do believe it provides an increased probability of its occurrence.  
 

For definitive purposes, I should note that I’m specifically taking about the prospects for a MECS somewhere between NC and SNE or actually encompassing both the Mid-Atlantic and NE regions.  It'd be foolish to be more precise than that beyond a 7 day time frame, so I’ll just leave it at that that until we get closer in time.     

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