H2Otown_WX Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EURO had a massive bust in this range just last year with that storm that went way supressed to the south in February. Disheartening, but not done yet. I would give this til 00z Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EURO had a massive bust in this range just last year with that storm that went way supressed to the south in February. Disheartening, but not done yet. No, not outside of a competent golfer’s swinging distance. Let’s hope God deploys prime Tiger this fine week-end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Let’s just get the pieces on the board, think we have another 36 hours before our nrn stream piece is entirely turf, not surf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Euro following the UK to Bermuda. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, H2Otown_WX said: I would give this til 00z Thursday That's generous, I'm giving it until 12z Tuesday. Fast flow chaos and strong confluence tells me it's done for SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Euro following the UK to Bermuda. The entire continent of Europe has decided this is the weekend to search for Amelia Earhart 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EURO had a massive bust in this range just last year with that storm that went way supressed to the south in February. Disheartening, but not done yet. The Euro is too wimpy IMO with the southern stream wave that crosses the Gulf. I don't buy that it'll just try to fizzle as it goes across SRN/GA and NRN FL. Not sure this makes a ton of difference in the end up here but I'd be hyping QPF alot more in TN/AL/MS/GA than the Euro shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro is too wimpy IMO with the southern stream wave that crosses the Gulf. I don't buy that it'll just try to fizzle as it goes across SRN/GA and NRN FL. Not sure this makes a ton of difference in the end up here but I'd be hyping QPF alot more in TN/AL/MS/GA than the Euro shows. Maybe EURO AI wins the day....def need another day or two to sort this out, but I am def. a bit more uneasy after entire 00z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 All models just before New Years told us to expect cold and dry for the next two weeks. That may yet be proven right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 0z EPS not improved vs. 12z... initially looked better at H5 through 96hrs but ultimately surface low members largely OTS... there's a handful of 960s-970s members in there so seems phase does eventually happen but too late for impact A negative sweep at 0z is definitely concerning and bucks the model momentum today. Northern stream energy is the critical variable, so there's still room to trend back to a better phase with improved sampling, but that's gotta happen in the next ~24-36 hours (looks like energy enters BC coast ~12z Wednesday) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 We '72-'73 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I stayed up for this? FML......guys....I said bye in Randys Hood.....come on..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 9 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: We '72-'73 More like a 1979-80 Winter to be dead honest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 20 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 0z EPS not improved vs. 12z... initially looked better at H5 through 96hrs but ultimately surface low members largely OTS... there's a handful of 960s-970s members in there so seems phase does eventually happen but too late for impact A negative sweep at 0z is definitely concerning and bucks the model momentum today. Northern stream energy is the critical variable, so there's still room to trend back to a better phase with improved sampling, but that's gotta happen in the next ~24-36 hours (looks like energy enters BC coast ~12z Wednesday) Agree. GEPS and EPS both modestly worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 14 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: We '72-'73 That was last year....this is .79-'80. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Kev will wake up in a couple of hours and express confidence in a nice, light to moderate 1-3" or 3-6" before setting off on his jog. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Pattern looks like 3-6" Jan 12-13 followed by 2-3 days of severe cold Jan 14-16. It can still evolve into 5-10" if trof digs a bit better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 39 minutes ago, Greg said: More like a 1979-80 Winter to be dead honest. Oh ok, I learned about 72-73 from a weather podcast. He said everything missed to the south that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Kev will wake up in a couple of hours and express confidence in a nice, light to moderate 1-3" or 3-6" before setting off on his jog. We set the bar way too high for that to even be remotely enjoyable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 We’ve seen storms come back from the dead at 48 hour leads before guys….come on… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, ice1972 said: I stayed up for this? FML......guys....I said bye in Randys Hood.....come on..... Let me guess "this looks like shit"? with this I don't need to read the past several pages to know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 wow yeah, 0z gfs dialed way way back. She gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Who the hell started a thread 5 days out? lol Shortest-lived thread evah! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Who the hell started a thread 5 days out? lol Shortest-lived thread evah! At least I'll not experience the guilt of leaving my wife to tackle the longer driveway here in Westborough by herself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 06Z GFS sucks, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Can someone start a pond skating thread? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Can someone start a pond skating thread? Wiz's countdown to May 1 thread should be in the works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Time to write this one off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 hat's off to the EC. It was pretty steadfast in this being a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 06Z GFS sucks, too. Not surprised. See you guys in febSent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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