Prismshine Productions Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:47 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: UK hangs back the baja low and whiffs with a weak wave.Ukie serving bad scones again huhSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:41 AM, 78Blizzard said: Quite the contrary. If you look at the CMC 12z run there was nothing there. At least they have an actual storm there now. So my confidence has actually improved, which was my original point earlier. Expand Well, my original point was the model is one of the least skilled and is slow to latch onto reality, so my confidence in that stance has improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:49 AM, WinterWolf said: That was 16 I think? No? Expand Def 96 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:51 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I can always hope to sneak 2" of sand in. Expand These are all just provisional solutions as we see how modeling tries to figure this all out. This is the fun part…keeps the suspense going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:52 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, my original point was the model is one of the least skilled and is slow to latch onto reality, so my confidence in that stance has improved. Expand This was my original point: "If we see uncle starting to get a clue, and/or the Canadian, then I'll believe we have a real shot." CMC finally got a clue at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:56 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just sick of always being in the worst spot of anyone in the region.....whether it's too far north, south, east, west. Expand Didn't you notch a 20 burger last season? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:56 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just sick of always being in the worst spot of anyone in the region.....whether it's too far north, south, east, west. Expand I hear ya..but I don’t think anybody is in any spot with this yet. It’s been all over the place since it came back to life yesterday at 12z. And it seems to be getting more complicated as we progress. So it’s anybody’s guess at the moment what it ultimately becomes, and where. Beats cold and dry with nothing going on as many thought just 36 hours ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:46 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Although it is 29 years ago... Expand 1994 too, almost every storm the mets were saying were going to miss south and they came north. I know we have better modeling now so it's not the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:41 AM, 78Blizzard said: Quite the contrary. If you look at the CMC 12z run there was nothing there. At least they have an actual storm there now. So my confidence has actually improved, which was my original point earlier. Expand I think happy birthday? Welcome to the 78 club! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:00 AM, H2Otown_WX said: Didn't you notch a 20 burger last season? Expand 19"...yes, the one exception.....kept me sane....but I still haven't had a normal season since 2017-2018. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:00 AM, 78Blizzard said: This was my original point: "If we see uncle starting to get a clue, and/or the Canadian, then I'll believe we have a real shot." CMC finally got a clue at 0z. Expand Yea, I always say that every model is a viable tool if you know how to use it. Just frustrated and giving you a hard time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:07 AM, weathafella said: I think happy birthday? Welcome to the 78 club! Expand Thanks. How did you know that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:09 AM, 78Blizzard said: Thanks. How did you know that? Expand He stalks you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I want to see the Euro…but I’m starting to fade. Who’s staying up for it? Jerry I know you’ll be here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:08 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I always say that every model is a viable tool if you know how to use it. Just frustrated and giving you a hard time. Expand It is frustrating which is one reason I went off on Brett (although the continuous haranguing made me snap). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I’d like to see the Euro bump north tonight with the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:07 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 19"...yes, the one exception.....kept me sane....but I still haven't had a normal season since 2017-2018. Expand Yeah I get it, your area averages like low 60s per season right? Did you get porked in December 2020? I think February '21 or '22 had a good storm here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:09 AM, 78Blizzard said: Thanks. How did you know that? Expand I remember we talked about it here around my birthday maybe a year or 2 ago and I etched 1/5 in my brain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 GEFS look a bit toned down from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:11 AM, H2Otown_WX said: Yeah I get it, your area averages like low 60s per season right? Did you get porked in December 2020? I think February '21 or '22 had a good storm here too. Expand Feb 1, 2021 was a very good storm here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:11 AM, H2Otown_WX said: Yeah I get it, your area averages like low 60s per season right? Did you get porked in December 2020? I think February '21 or '22 had a good storm here too. Expand In a relative sense...I had like 11", here's not too far north of me in KCON had over 2'. I clean dup in Dec 2019 system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:12 AM, weathafella said: I remember we talked about it here around my birthday maybe a year or 2 ago and I etched 1/5 in my brain. Expand Good memory there. Maybe that "78" will bring us a blast like that from the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:10 AM, WinterWolf said: I want to see the Euro…but I’m starting to fade. Who’s staying up for it? Jerry I know you’ll be here. Expand Yeah I’m probably 2 hours from bed. Gotta play my daily wordle plus I just came in from walking. It feels colder than it is out tonight. Biting wind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:10 AM, WinterWolf said: I want to see the Euro…but I’m starting to fade. Who’s staying up for it? Jerry I know you’ll be here. Expand I’ll be watching too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:14 AM, 78Blizzard said: Good memory there. Maybe that "78" will bring us a blast like that from the past. Expand Hope so! Although one of the bitter disappointments in my life that I’ll go to the grave with is having that storm hit 15 months after I moved to LA. Took 15 years to come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:13 AM, WinterWolf said: Feb 1, 2021 was a very good storm here. Expand Yeah I was just looking at that. That storm and the one in December were good. I think I had a foot or so in each. I see southeast NY really cleaned up in the February one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:13 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: In a relative sense...I had like 11", here's not too far north of me in KCON had over 2'. I clean dup in Dec 2019 system. Expand Gotcha...I know BDL did really well in that December 2019 storm. I don't think we got much here but I was living out in Milwaukee at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 12:49 AM, weatherwiz said: It's brutal, especially with the breeze. I can't stand to be outside for more than 30 seconds. It's miserable. Expand lol my son has been playing hockey for like 8 years now…..you would literally shrivel up and die at the outdoor rink in Simsbury….holy shit that shit is cold every fucking time we go….we were just there yesterday….its the wind tunnel effect of the building….open air basically all around….dont go there dude 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:24 AM, ice1972 said: lol my son has been playing hockey for like 8 years now…..you would literally shrivel up and die at the outdoor rink in Simsbury….holy shit that shit is cold every fucking time we go….we were just there yesterday….its the wind tunnel effect of the building….open air basically all around….dont go there dude Expand My first year playing youth hockey was an outdoor rink and our first practice was a Saturday after a big Friday storm with a cold arctic blast that followed, it was single digit highs and very windy, came close to frostbite that day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Euro on SV still stuck at 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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