CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Lose the good airmass though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I’ll sacrifice some posters to verify that run please god 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Holy shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Lose the good airmass though. Expand Air mass sucks but “makes its own cold” I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 move that north just a big more.. still great here though CT and NJ crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 there has been a pretty well defined trend to get more of the southern stream involved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Yea…ok. Sure goofy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Loop H5, that’s what happens when you don’t bury the trough in the Baja. But as you loop it, look how noisy the flow is. There is a lot of risk here. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:26 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea…ok. Sure goofy. Expand We can always dream… That’s western CT’s dream storm Nemo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 LBSW watch in effect 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:26 PM, CoastalWx said: Loop H5, that’s what happens when you don’t bury the trough in the Baja. But as you loop it, look how noisy the flow is. There is a lot of risk here. Expand Very risky. Chaos galore… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:26 PM, CoastalWx said: Loop H5, that’s what happens when you don’t bury the trough in the Baja. But as you loop it, look how noisy the flow is. There is a lot of risk here. Expand i think this window has a more mature pattern where the block isn't quite as oppressive... the 50/50 is in the spot it "should" be in, so the risk of completely squashing something is lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:26 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: We can always dream… That’s western CT’s dream storm Nemo 2 Expand Yea. Perfect solution at d7. Can always get more perfect as we get closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 CMC buried in the sw. Epic winter storm For Tx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:28 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. Perfect solution at d7. Can always get more perfect as we get closer. Expand A positive thing I can add is the GFS as we have been saying has on and off showed how to get it done for days now. There’s more than 1 way to skin a cat to get a SECS.. obviously something historic like this is more thread the needle with the chaos at 500 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:26 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea…ok. Sure goofy. Expand Pattern supports a big storm. Why are you shocked ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:25 PM, ineedsnow said: Expand NYC at 3x PWM seasonal total verbatim with that. If I don't laugh I will cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Risk/Reward, We'll take it better then nothing like wev'e had. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:30 PM, Allsnow said: CMC buried in the sw. Epic winter storm For Tx Expand I don’t think CMC has had his storm once 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:28 PM, brooklynwx99 said: i think this window has a more mature pattern where the block isn't quite as oppressive... the 50/50 is in the spot it "should" be in, so the risk of completely squashing something is lower Expand Just not a fan how it warms up well ahead of it. Workable, but figures lol. Anyways all a fantasy at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Man that is Dec 92. But more snow SW in NYC area Yes yes please 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:34 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Man that is Dec 92. Yes yes please Expand No it isn’t 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Watch the op be the outlier with no ensemble support 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:31 PM, MJO812 said: Pattern supports a big storm. Why are you shocked ? Expand It’s great to see a good run…but it’s still a ways out I think is his point. That could be just as easily gone on the 18z(although who knows with that 18z…might be global killer on that), so that’s the risk. But as has been said…it ain’t total fantasy either. I guess we track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:30 PM, Allsnow said: CMC buried in the sw. Epic winter storm For TxIt has at least been trending better more towards the phase. Would like the euro to have an event this run, maybe not as amped as gfs but at least something . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:34 PM, CoastalWx said: No it isn’t Expand Rain there maybe ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 1/4/2025 at 4:31 PM, MJO812 said: Pattern supports a big storm. Why are you shocked ? Expand Needle threader with all the chaos at h5. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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