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Joker January


Prismshine Productions
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1 hour ago, kdxken said:

I don't know a thousand days without a 4-in snow. Finally broke the streak with a 5-incher. That says extended rat to me.

Screenshot_20250113_210901_Chrome.jpg

Ok I get that.  But what does this have to do with me saying overrunning is my favorite pattern and citing December 1970?

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22 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said:

As I’ve mentioned repeatedly on my Twitter account (since late December), I’ve always favored the forthcoming period of 1/19 to 2/3 for the greatest potential (enhanced probability) of getting a major east coast storm.  
 

This long range expectation has been, and continues to be, based on the premise that the majority of MECS’ have occurred during a period when a highly favorable background state begins to see a pattern relaxation.  Does that mean there will definitely be a MECS at that time? Of course not. However, I do believe it provides an increased probability of its occurrence.  
 

For definitive purposes, I should note that I’m specifically taking about the prospects for a MECS somewhere between NC and SNE or actually encompassing both the Mid-Atlantic and NE regions.  It'd be foolish to be more precise than that beyond a 7 day time frame, so I’ll just leave it at that that until we get closer in time.     

Agree 100% and focused on that same period in my outlook, however, not feeling great about it right now.

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15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Agree 100% and focused on that same period in my outlook, however, not feeling great about it right now.

Hi Ray!  

Nice to see you’re still doing it. :) I’ll add that If the pattern relaxation is delayed, then I also would adjust that period, accordingly.  

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