Typhoon Tip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 11 hours ago, bristolri_wx said: A lot of winter weather can happen in 3.5 weeks. a lot of winter can happen after exiting the solar min, too - 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, cut said: Well, came to Okemo and Bromley this weekend and I have to say was pleasantly surprised. Actually hit some glades - though cover to thin to spend the day in the trees as the roots and stumps were ski grabbing. See snowmobile trails active. That being said there was brown tundra all the way into VT - well into VT in fact so it seems snow cover here is altitude based. Good snow here in Landgrove - probably 8 to 10 inches of powder (granted this time of year should be double or triple that) and real winter feel. Come ski!!! It's good!!!! Now that Iv'e skied - it's time for golf!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Stuff that had no water content and direct sun near 32f will melt no matter what. I lost 3/4" Christmas eve day in the low 30s. Low water content stuff really needs to be more than 1.5-2" to have better staying power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 45 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: This overrunning system is thread the needle for sure. Not that anyone has, but I wouldn’t hang your hat on anything. Oh some have, they have. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Always thread the needle when you are mild and then hope for a well timed wave as it gets colder. Overall it looks more active which is good to see. Yeah I'm hoping there's some systems after next Sunday, Monday further down the pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 20 minutes ago, cut said: Now that Iv'e skied - it's time for golf!!!! Okemo has a really nice course. Probably not taking tee times right now though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 The models are not showing a gradient pattern like they were once showing. Another suppressive pattern might be in the works after next week with alot of cold air around . At least the NAO and AO are rising. The EPO keeps reloading which keeps the cold intact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I see zero that intrigues me. 3 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 27 minutes ago, mreaves said: Okemo has a really nice course. Probably not taking tee times right now though. Great course. Pretty fair too if you don't try going for everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I see zero that intrigues me. I'm at 4.7 for the season. At this rate I might end up way below last winter but it's so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, kdxken said: This sounded like a fun one. Nothing like a 5.5” blizzard. Sounds like the Dakotas. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 EPS has a decent signal for MLK. There’s risk for suppression after this weekend, but I’m not totally convinced it will play out given the WAR that develops on pretty much all ensemble guidance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I see zero that intrigues me. Well we're going to have to wait and see what surprises could happen or what changes can happen in the short term at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 EPS has a decent signal for MLK. There’s risk for suppression after this weekend, but I’m not totally convinced it will play out given the WAR that develops on pretty much all ensemble guidance. The 6z euro slowed down the shortwave behind the cold front. Euro Ai looks pretty similar at 144 and that spacing helped give us a decent scraper. Here was the Ai trend at H5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, Heisy said: The 6z euro slowed down the shortwave behind the cold front. Euro Ai looks pretty similar at 144 and that spacing helped give us a decent scraper. Here was the Ai trend at H5 . Yep that’s not far off the EPS. There’s quite a few hits on there. Still relatively low probability at the moment but it looks better than it did yesterday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 The coherence for an event around the 20th took a bit of step toward less overnight ... however, there's just as many odds that it will return. Personally, i've been of limited confidence in that, or anything specific at all ...really between the 17th and 26th+, for a basic reason: It's a very compressed, high speed medium. events within those also squeeze their impact regions down to narrower corridors. such that the models have to be pretty precise, at a range whence they are higher error anyway (standard performance) to begin with. I'm also personally not a fan of these 6 contoured spv's over lower Hudson Bay, in general. They tend to be really ominous looking but end up short on production - compression is a way in which super-synoptic aspects are in negative negative interference. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nothing like a 5.5” blizzard. Sounds like the Dakotas. I love reading their blizzard warnings sometimes and its for like 2" of snow with 50-60 mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I see zero that intrigues me. Well you saw the same for this past Saturday, and then you jackedpotted(sure, nothing huge but your area did well). So we all know how these change, especially at 7 days. Check back in a few days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, kdxken said: This sounded like a fun one. I remember that one. I was a junior in HS and we got a rare snow day. Back then snow had to be pretty big to close schools. Thing is it I had an exam and was unprepared so the snow day was a gift. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 23 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Well you saw the same for this past Saturday, and then you jackedpotted(sure, nothing huge but your area did well). So we all know how these change, especially at 7 days. Check back in a few days. 3" didn't intrigue me, so I'm not sure what in the hell your point is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: I remember that one. I was a junior in HS and we got a rare snow day. Back then snow had to be pretty big to close schools. Thing is it I had an exam and was unprepared so the snow day was a gift. ... that you squandered and failed the test anyway the next day ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I see zero that intrigues me. Phil, what exactly are you confused about? Chasing more moderate pots of gold at the end of the day 7 rainbow isn't exactly enthralling attm given the seasonal tend, but check back with me late week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 3" didn't intrigue me, so I'm not sure what in the hell your point is. My point is, you did well relatively speaking on Saturday, when you thought there was nothing there to track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: My point is, you did well relatively speaking on Saturday, when you thought there was nothing there to track. False. I made it abundantly clear that some light snows were still possible from the northern stream, but I had zero interest in it. This really isn't that confusing. Its mid January and my seasonal total wouldn't muster a warning event.....immensely frustrating first half and Saturday hasn't changed that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 11 hours ago, dryslot said: Same -1F here was the low but the winds stole the show the last 2 weeks. Thanks to that ceaseless wind (until last Saturday), January here hasn't gone below 2°. Average maxima running -3° while minima at +4°. Our coldest came during Dec. 23-27, with lows -6; 12 (with 6.3" fluff); -5; -6; -7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Phil, what exactly are you confused about? Chasing more moderate pots of gold at the end of the day 7 rainbow isn't exactly enthralling attm given the seasonal tend, but check back with me late week. Maybe there is hope for timeframe on 20-22nd , after that cold air and dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Who knows what to think anymore. I think I am still upset over last winter as a whole and upset about that February event that I got screwed in but I really thought last winter was going to produce. I had zero expectations coming into this winter because I just didn't really get the opportunity to explore long-range, plus I wanted to tackle that from a whole different direction. Things could absolutely change moving into February and we could get crushed but its just been another deflating winter. It's almost as if we can't buy a large-scale synoptic weather event anymore...everything is mesoscale driven or topoggraphic...the upslope snows up north, the inverted trough over the weekend, some LES streamers which have made their way in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 3" didn't intrigue me, so I'm not sure what in the hell your point is. Got this from wifey Friday night… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 went from 16th to 9th by virtue of those last two storms over the MA and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 On 1/12/2025 at 8:45 AM, kdxken said: https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/01/07/magazine/cochrans-ski-area-beating-odds/?event=event12 I'm too cheap to buy into the Globe, but found Snow Valley on G.E. Trails mostly grown in and looks like only the foundation remains from the lodge. (2022 imagery) I can remember seeing the upper trails of Bromley seeming close enough that skiers there could lob snowballs down on us. (Those trails were about 2.5 miles away. ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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