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Joker January


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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

I certainly could be wrong…but I feel an average winter here is possible. And a big coastal is indeed possible with the large amount of time that’s left.   So we’ll see at the end of March. 

Definitely not impossible to recover and salvage average snowfall, but at this point the probability is higher that we finish with a below average snow season than an above average one. The issue is many areas are a foot or more BN and the long range looks fairly dry. I don’t like that we are approaching mid Jan in a modoki La Niña (which are usually frontloaded) with barely any snow. I was optimistic a month ago, but whiffing on both the 1/6 and 1/11 threats isn't good. Oh well, it sucks but it is what it is. Hopefully I am wrong and we get buried in the second half of winter. Regardless, at least its been cold enough for the ski resorts to make snow.

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

From a friend at about 3,000ft today between Stowe and Smuggs on the Snuffies/Sterling Pond trail.

6-8 foot drifts filling the trail between the trees after 3 days of 50-80mph winds.

IMG_2168.thumb.jpeg.6e9ce516803b1fce2a12c8140bfaa635.jpeg

IMG_2169.thumb.jpeg.89350e2a98c6d929c24473b3258921ec.jpeg

That’s what Weymouth used to look like.

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2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

From a friend at about 3,000ft today between Stowe and Smuggs on the Snuffies/Sterling Pond trail.

6-8 foot drifts filling the trail between the trees after 3 days of 50-80mph winds.

IMG_2168.thumb.jpeg.6e9ce516803b1fce2a12c8140bfaa635.jpeg

IMG_2169.thumb.jpeg.89350e2a98c6d929c24473b3258921ec.jpeg

And this is why the lift connecting Smuggs and Stowe is needed. 

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3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

But this goes through the 21st and I think the storm was 18-20?

Well then we're cooked ( kidding ). 

Still too far out. Look what happened with the storm Tomorrow. You were in that heavy snow box before and then it just stayed South.

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5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

From mid Atlantic thread.  Why does this not extend to New England?  Are they thinking cutter?

Most certainly suspect they are thinking rain in the east.  Of course, 8-15 days out is a virtual eternity for such prognostications…especially for specifics. 

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Will be interesting to see how warm we get today. We’re really inverted below H85 with NW flow and full sun, albeit a low angle. In March with little snow cover we’d probably mix right through it, but in early Jan it’s a lot more difficult. 

At peak heating 950 is near -5C at CON and 0C at 900. That is so damn shallow with full sun. lol

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13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

But this goes through the 21st and I think the storm was 18-20?

Well most runs have shown cutter/swfe looks so they’re hedging against heavy snow here. But the threat for a swfe/redeveloper is there.

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11 hours ago, dendrite said:

CON is AN for Jan through today, but the ponds are deeply solid. It’s been 20/10ish here all week.

wild. i am sure it is due to the overnight mins which have been mostly in the teens. The daytime hasn't exactly been warm, almost every day in the 20's with that god forsaken wind making feel like it is -50

34 minutes ago, alex said:

Holy cow. Got another 6” overnight 

IMG_7640.jpeg

the entirety of SNE and CNE just smashed their keyboards. mine will be smashed right after I click "Submit Reply"

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4 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

wild. i am sure it is due to the overnight mins which have been mostly in the teens. The daytime hasn't exactly been warm, almost every day in the 20's with that god forsaken wind making feel like it is -50

the entirety of SNE and CNE just smashed their keyboards. mine will be smashed right after I click "Submit Reply"

The first few days were double digit positives. So we’ve been whittling away at that. 

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5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The first few days were double digit positives. So we’ve been whittling away at that. 

MHT dead nuts avg now. Meanwhile BOS is -2. Lack of climo rad cooling  probably showing up there at BOS

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Will be interesting to see how warm we get today. We’re really inverted below H85 with NW flow and full sun, albeit a low angle. In March with little snow cover we’d probably mix right through it, but in early Jan it’s a lot more difficult. 

At peak heating 950 is near -5C at CON and 0C at 900. That is so damn shallow with full sun. lol

that's interesting ... wasn't aware this synoptic nuance was in place.   yeah, this would be a recipe in early April for massive diurnal given those initial conditions.  

...not so sure in jan

low here was 19. presently 22+     full sun coming in almost parallel to earth.  dead calm.    it'll be interesting if there's graphical hint later on if/when the mixing level pops to the higher deck.

 

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