CT Rain Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Well that went to hell. Way more progressive with less phasing. Looks like a more op Euro-esque solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Looks like a cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:12 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Caved. Expand So it's over then. Thanks. I will sign off now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:13 AM, cleetussnow said: Looks like a cave Expand Not even close 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:13 AM, CT Rain said: Well that went to hell. Way more progressive with less phasing. Looks like a more op Euro-esque solution. Expand Not even close We will all get slammed on Saturday 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:13 AM, CT Rain said: Well that went to hell. Way more progressive with less phasing. Looks like a more op Euro-esque solution. Expand You think it's over Ryan? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I think i mentioned earlier to be concerned of the Euro depiction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The good news is less taint in Boston... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:14 AM, MJO812 said: Not even close We will all get slammed on Saturday Expand Ok... Now your playing games. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 We should take this disco over to its specific thread, courtesy of Tip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 7 Author Share Posted January 7 GFS when blizzard: greatest thing ever! GFS when scraper: but mah snow! toss! get a grip or find a hobby that doesnt raise your blood pressure every 6 damn hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:14 AM, Snowcrazed71 said: You think it's over Ryan? Expand No - but the GFS solution has always sort of been a thread-the-needle kind of deal. Worth watching for sure but I definitely a step in the wrong direction. We'll see what the ensembles do... the op GFS has always been a significant outlier compared to the GFS/Euro/Canadian ensemble suite. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Folks need to get a grip...perfectly normal for the OP to oscillate within its own ensemble envelope. If the 00z GEFS look much worse than 12z, then I'd be concerned. 5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Trending to euro for sure. If euro doesn’t come around by 12z, the gfs will cave in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Congrats CQX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 FXWX said earlier that he wouldn’t mind seeing the GFS weaker and east, and the EURO come west some at 0z. He said that would be a good compromise for now. This might be that first step. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:17 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Folks need to get a grip...perfectly normal for the OP to oscillate within its own ensemble envelope. If the 00z GEFS look much worse than 12z, then I'd be concerned. Expand EURO has also been doing this BTW.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:13 AM, cleetussnow said: Looks like a cave Expand What other model is it caving to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:17 AM, cleetussnow said: Trending to euro for sure. If euro doesn’t come around by 12z, the gfs will cave in Expand Pull it together man. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:18 AM, 78Blizzard said: What other model is it caving to? Expand 18z OP GFS was clearly a western goalpost....most knew it at the time. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:20 AM, 8611Blizz said: Lock it in. Expand Even that probably plants some mid level goodies from BDL to ORH I think this is the eastern-disjointed goalpoast....18z GFS is phased-western goalpost. JMHO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Definite step back Weaker northern stream energy + less proficient phase --> more progressive trough --> scraper and less intense surface low. But not sure I'd call this a cave to Euro... Euro multiple cycles has a low far OTS and barely latitude of Delaware... GFS / many GEFS members have had multiple runs deeper low vicinity of BM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Canadian flatter than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 CMC is gonna be OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:20 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 18z OP GFS was clearly a western goalpost....most knew it at the time. Expand Exactly. The GFS op has been on the western side of the envelope since the beginning. I'm betting that it won't be when we see the new GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:22 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even that probably plants some mid level goodies from BDL to ORH Expand Yeah you can see the wind field on that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Globals not loving the storm so far at 00z. Euro has been the eastern model so it would be nice if we saw a more phased solution later. Euro coming west would keep us in the game at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 CMC exits stage right off of hilton head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:28 AM, dryslot said: CMC exits stage right off of hilton head Expand Both the northern and southern streams were weaker on that run than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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