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Jester January


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7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lot to complain about with 80s winters but man we did have a couple of epic storms. 

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Sygyzy storm…that was one of the few great ones in the 1980s. Jan 9187 was actually an epic month at ORH. Almost 50” of snow that month.
 

 That decade did have some good November and spring storms as well (April ‘82, 3/29/84, 4/28/87). 

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That ‘87 storm here as nothing to remember unfortunately…3-5” at best.  It was a tough time in the 80’s here for the most part. Looks like we’re going back if this cold and dry plays out the way it show’s currently.  But it’s also hard to imagine that modeling today, has the 100% right idea for a two plus week period too. 

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1 minute ago, wokeupthisam said:

Cold, brown and dry could have a silver lining beyond pond skating and ice fishing, if the cold was deep enough to impact the tick and invasive populations, but as modeled this is pedestrian cold and won't get the job done.    

Days and days of seasonable cold. Lots of 25/10 type days up here…give or take. 

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On 12/31/2024 at 6:28 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

i'm wondering if there's a historical catalogue of actual model runs ? 

 i suspect if there ever is/were, this is among the very most extraordinary, if not the goat, virtual prognostic from an operational/purposeful geophysical processing.   

closed sub-500 dm mid level heights by a couple of contours s, of nyc latitude, as a result of 90 deg neg tilting ?   really that's a scenario where any hyperbole is can't be dismissed as merely such. 

okay, i get it but responsible thinking is that most of civility can't heat their homes without electricity - either direct use, or a peripheral to thermal generation.  i suspect most in here have alternate options but ... mm maybe try for some empathy or at least acknowledgement as to how one purports themself.   just a suggestion -

it's about all i'm going to say on this.  the model run has limited chance for being realized as the wholesale synoptic manifold of parametrics, in time,  strains too much credibility.  if we take 1/2 of the ghosted solutions earlier, and average them against this one...that's likely closer to the reality - which would be a major if so..so no loss there.

Vendors have them if you're willing to pay.  But not all parameters.

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8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Cold is cold...tired of having to wear a winter hat every day inside. Sometimes I even sleep with it on

WTF man, it is OK to turn on the heat if you are that cold.

also, let your hair grow and for the love of all things holy, drink a 30 pack and down a couple cheeseburgers

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1 minute ago, SJonesWX said:

WTF man, it is OK to turn on the heat if you are that cold.

also, let your hair grow and for the love of all things holy, drink a 30 pack and down a couple cheeseburgers

I've done it when it's super cold...like single digits or below zero but my girlfriend also likes to sleep with the fan on so I usually bury myself under the blankets. Heat is set to 69.

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46 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Looks like we’re getting the worst possible outcome from this pattern.  No snowpack midwinter and cold and dry.  

the nice thing about life is that everything is always changing.

if the pattern goes to warm and wet after the 15th, there's going to be a lot of bridge jumpers. Gonna be hard to look back in a couple wks and say the best we had was TDay through 1st week of Dec or so. I like the cold, but if it's going to to suppress the storm potential, then not so much. Looking like another short sledding season.

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5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

if the pattern goes to warm and wet after the 15th, there's going to be a lot of bridge jumpers. Gonna be hard to look back in a couple wks and say the best we had was TDay through 1st week of Dec or so. I like the cold, but if it's going to to suppress the storm potential, then not so much. Looking like another short sledding season.

I’m heading north MLK weekend so I’m expecting a full blown screaming cutter around then. 

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20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe I'll just go up there with a handle of bourbon and just sit at the picnic tables.

The irony is it's snowing harder in town than the mountain due to the increase in Froude number to 1.5.

Half a foot of new snow in town and pounding.  It's got some water too, like 1/2" QPF.

The max has been in the RT 100 corridor on the east side.

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