klw Posted Wednesday at 12:07 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:07 AM 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: i seriously can't find anything like that in history... i wonder if there's ever been anything like that in 'model history' Anything similar with either of these dates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Wednesday at 12:08 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:08 AM 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: huh? kidding right? you can't take a 971 mb low 20 mi s of montauk point, drop it another 20 mb and stall it over nashua over carver, nh, before resuming a motion ne with the entire surrounding planetary atmospheric mass denisity collapsing into that pressure well without crippling grid reconstruction requirement. decapitating trees and roofs sent along like a frisbee show doing skipping tricks. of course it doesn't matter at this range, speaking for SNE.. I don't see a huge deal out of that solution besides perhaps along the immediate coast. Need to see in-between hours and I don't have that stuff or if it exists for a D10+ op gfs Berks could/would get croaked I suppose, but that's not unusual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Wednesday at 12:10 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:10 AM 30 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I have no interest in wind, only prodigious snowfall. And if it’s prodigious paste that takes down the grid? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Wednesday at 12:12 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:12 AM Let's all micro-analyze LR op runs, some will be triggered 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted Wednesday at 12:12 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:12 AM 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: huh? kidding right? you can't take a 971 mb low 20 mi s of montauk point, drop it another 20 mb and stall it over nashua nh before resuming a motion ne without the entire surrounding planetary atmospheric mass denisity collapsing into that pressure well like st helen's landslide... not without a crippling grid reconstruction requirement. decapitating trees. roofs sent along like a frisbee show doing skipping tricks. No jury duty on the 13th? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Wednesday at 12:15 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:15 AM 7 minutes ago, klw said: Anything similar with either of these dates? won't load for me. but maybe yeah. i mean it's not a challenge - i really don't know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Wednesday at 12:17 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:17 AM 8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: of course it doesn't matter at this range, speaking for SNE.. I don't see a huge deal out of that solution besides perhaps along the immediate coast. Need to see in-between hours and I don't have that stuff or if it exists for a D10+ op gfs Berks could/would get croaked I suppose, but that's not unusual it's not a point of analysis because anyone thinks that run is happening - we've already stated it's unlikely. .. . but, what i said is right - that low, in that depiction, produces a pan-dimensional, very high end wind problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Wednesday at 12:17 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:17 AM 20 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: looks like for us. no wind It would rival 38 infrastructure issues 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Wednesday at 12:24 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:24 AM Parts of extreme eastern Maine receive 18" in 6 hours at 10:1. True white out zero visibility with those winds. The ultimate blizzard where blizzard conditions last for hours on end. But the 6 hr jackpot goes to Waterville Valley with 25" in 6 hours, again at 10:1. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Wednesday at 12:28 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:28 AM 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Parts of extreme eastern Maine receive 18" in 6 hours at 10:1. True white out zero visibility with those winds. The ultimate blizzard where blizzard conditions last for hours on end. But the 6 hr jackpot goes to Waterville Valley with 25" in 6 hours, again at 10:1. That trumps 1978. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Wednesday at 12:30 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:30 AM 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That trumps 1978. Different animal. This is a progressive system, not a stall like in 1978. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Wednesday at 12:30 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:30 AM Just now, 78Blizzard said: Different animal. This is a progressive system, not a stall like in 1978. def stalls over ME, it's wild. given synoptics and upslope that's like 4-8' 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Wednesday at 12:32 AM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 12:32 AM seeing in a few other forums and Discord servers that the 18z Euro ticked south for the 6th to line up with the 18z GFS... just fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Wednesday at 12:36 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:36 AM 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: def stalls over ME, it's wild. given synoptics and upslope that's like 4-8' It's occluding when it stalls over Maine, and most of the qpf is then over far eastern areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Wednesday at 12:38 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:38 AM 41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: i seriously can't find anything like that in history... i wonder if there's ever been anything like that in 'model history' How fast did Cleveland superbomb in 1978 deepen? I know it got down to about 955mb in Ohio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Wednesday at 12:41 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:41 AM i know it's weenieville but ME (among others) gets absolutely smoked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted Wednesday at 12:49 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:49 AM I have a confession to make: I briefly went off the deep end again and nearly challenged someone to a duel on another forum. I caught myself and snapped out of it. But holy shit Mid Atlantic weenies….. they literally drive me insane. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Wednesday at 12:51 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:51 AM 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That trumps 1978. Donald? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted Wednesday at 12:57 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:57 AM Let’s break Mt Washington’s wind record. Why the hell not? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 12:57 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:57 AM 8 minutes ago, George001 said: I have a confession to make: I briefly went off the deep end again and nearly challenged someone to a duel on another forum. I caught myself and snapped out of it. But holy shit Mid Atlantic weenies….. they literally drive me insane. That was hilarious 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted Wednesday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:58 AM 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: How fast did Cleveland superbomb in 1978 deepen? I know it got down to about 955mb in Ohio 40mbs in 18 hours. I was there to enjoy it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Wednesday at 01:00 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:00 AM 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I'm pleased. GEFS should look good. Eh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted Wednesday at 01:00 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:00 AM 55 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: huh? kidding right? you can't take a 971 mb low 20 mi s of montauk point, drop it another 20 mb and stall it over nashua nh before resuming a motion ne without the entire surrounding planetary atmospheric mass denisity collapsing into that pressure well like st helen's landslide... not without a crippling grid reconstruction requirement. decapitating trees. roofs sent along like a frisbee show doing skipping tricks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted Wednesday at 01:18 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:18 AM 28 minutes ago, MJO812 said: That was hilarious Yeah it was, I wanted to challenge him to a duel so bad but as much as I don’t like the guy, he was right. I realized mid argument that my reading comprehension failed me (he said WITH THIS 500mb it can’t trend 150+ miles north, which is true. If the 500mb changes it’s a different story). I knew I was wrong, but I was in too deep so I doubled down anyways, also the guy was being annoying about it. Unfortunately, that guy wasn’t being unreasonable enough to justify challenging him to a duel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted Wednesday at 01:21 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:21 AM Bottoms out at 952MB just inland of PSM. Biggest 00z run this season so far HAPPY NEW YEAR. Might stay up not to ring in the new year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Wednesday at 01:22 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:22 AM Can’t wait to see the 00z run have a 1040 high over us at the same valid time 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Wednesday at 01:30 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:30 AM 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Can’t wait to see the 00z run have a 1040 high over us at the same valid time Starting to get excited? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: Let's all micro-analyze LR op runs, some will be triggered 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM All this shows is the potential of the pattern. Nobody should tune out as the outcome is very unclear but the potential is high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Starting to get excited? Get me that 1052 modeled and we can have a 100mb difference in 6hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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