Jester January

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Certaintly not....need it a bit east.

yeah ..that too.   snow isn't really a part of that solution for sne

[Torch Tiger]

looks like the mid-level jet peaks near 110kt over central Maine 0z 1/12?  that's some inflow 

[40/70 Benchmark]

990mb to 971mb in 6 hours..that would rip some toupees off.

[Damage In Tolland]

Hopefully we start to get some consistency and honing in on that track and solution 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

yeah ..that too.   snow isn't really a part of that solution for sne

I think you''re right with that being the apex solution, which is good because R/S line is like 70mi away.

[Prismshine Productions]

shift that 50 miles east and nobody complains

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

990mb to 971mb in 6 hours..that would rip some toupees off.

pivotal's depiction is 971 to 951 in 6 hours...so that's 40 mb in 12 hours.

that's competing with a few of these cat 5 hurricane observed ri events as of late.  - just a little perspective

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’d take 70kts+ mixed down over getting  a foot easily.

Well, you don't have wife recovering from a 4th c section, 5, 3, 1yo and infant.

All set without power at baseline...but now?

Fuc( that.

[HoarfrostHubb]

On the Pivotal 10:1 clown, someone has 62"   I assume the  Rockpile

 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’d take 70kts+ mixed down over getting  a foot easily.

98% of posters here would 

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

pivotal's depiction is 971 to 951 in 6 hours...so taht is a 40 mb in 12 hours.

that's competing with a few of these cat 5 hurricane observed ri events as of late.  - just a little perspective

951 is roughly a C3 equilvalant pressure wise

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, you don't have wife recovering from a 4th c section, 5, 3, 1yo and infant.

All set without power at baseline...but now?

Fuc( that.

she needs a C section? hope her and the baby are ok

[dendrite]

I was wondering why it was showing snow ptype over VT with 925 temps >0C and then realized 925 ends up going underground.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
     mb     m     C     C    %   C     C  deg knt   K     K     K     K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  0 1000  -190                                                                 
  1  950   227                                                                 
SFC  909   584   0.6   0.4  99  0.1   0.5 130   7 281.3 282.0 278.3 293.4  4.34
  3  900   663   0.2   0.2  99  0.1   0.2 124  13 281.8 282.5 278.5 293.7  4.30
  4  850  1120  -1.5  -1.7  99  0.1  -1.6 125  32 284.5 285.2 279.4 295.8  3.98
  5  800  1602  -3.4  -3.7  98  0.3  -3.6 129  45 287.5 288.1 280.4 297.9  3.63
  6  750  2110  -5.4  -5.8  97  0.4  -5.5 136  52 290.7 291.3 281.5 300.4  3.31
  7  700  2649  -8.0  -8.4  97  0.4  -8.2 144  48 293.6 294.1 282.3 302.2  2.89
  8  650  3221 -10.8 -11.2  97  0.4 -11.0 148  48 296.7 297.1 283.1 304.3  2.50
  9  600  3833 -14.2 -14.4  98  0.2 -14.2 150  44 299.7 300.1 283.9 306.2  2.09
 10  550  4488 -17.7 -17.7 100  0.0 -17.7 155  46 303.1 303.4 284.8 308.5  1.72
 11  500  5194 -22.6 -22.6 100  0.0 -22.6 169  47 305.5 305.7 285.1 309.5  1.24

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, you don't have wife recovering from a 4th c section, 5, 3, 1yo and infant.

All set without power at baseline...but now?

Fuc( that.

5,3,1 and infant?! Prayers brother, prayers.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

98% of posters here would 

I have no interest in wind, only prodigious snowfall. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

pivotal's depiction is 971 to 951 in 6 hours...so taht is a 40 mb in 12 hours.

that's competing with a few of these cat 5 hurricane observed ri events as of late.  - just a little perspective

I don't love the low over se Canada.....what is up with that lack of +pp? All we hear about is this arctic wasteland pattern ensuing....then we get the bomb solution, and poof....

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

she needs a C section? hope her and the baby are ok

Yea, if you have one, then they are all C section...

[HoarfrostHubb]

Its obviously in fantasyland, but great to see something interesting in one model

[klw]

44 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

congrats @powderfreak and @dendrite

I hereby officially lock this in and will send the $100 in Amazon gift cards to Coastalwx so he will ensure the government computers coordinate the drones to create this outcome.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Its obviously in fantasyland, but great to see something interesting in one model

Yea, I'm pleased.

GEFS should look good.

[78Blizzard]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hopefully we start to get some consistency and honing in on that track and solution 

A lot will have to change on the Euro with h5 at 0z from the 12z run if that track is going to get some consistency.  There is a world of difference right now between the 12z Euro and the 18z GFS.

[Typhoon Tip]

13 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

951 is roughly a C3 equilvalant pressure wise

i know -

that was not intended to say it's category 5 equivalence.. but those kind of d(p) are more common with extraordinary events, principle

[Hoth]

Holy fook what a run that was. This is the porn I come here for. 

[Damage In Tolland]

We would give anything for that to verify verbatim . Anything 

[Kitz Craver]

7 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

A lot will have to change on the Euro with h5 at 0z from the 12z run if that track is going to get some consistency.  There is a world of difference right now between the 12z Euro and the 18z GFS.

That 500 GFS is a giant in sync planetary juggernaut. Incredible 

[Typhoon Tip]

i seriously can't find anything like that in history...

i wonder if there's ever been anything like that in 'model history'

[Torch Tiger]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We would give anything for that to verify verbatim . Anything 

looks like  for us.  no wind

[Prismshine Productions]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

i seriously can't find anything like that in history...

i wonder if there's ever been anything like that in 'model history'

so a quite literal HECS?

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Better. Just don’t waste this h5 with cold/dry…

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

looks like  for us.  no wind

huh?

kidding right?  

you can't take a 971 mb low 20 mi s of montauk point, drop it another 20 mb and stall it over nashua nh before resuming a motion ne without the entire surrounding planetary atmospheric mass denisity collapsing into that pressure well like st helen's landslide... not without a crippling grid reconstruction requirement.   decapitating trees. roofs sent along like a frisbee show doing skipping tricks.