ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, dryslot said: Don't really need to prepare much for anything at hr 252 on an op run. Oh you know people are taking these OP runs fairly seriously. It's quite evident in the discourse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Probably an unpopular opinion but I want to go back to the days of injecting southern stream shortwave energy up the coast and more of a bonus with northern stream phasing. I know we don't need southern stream energy to get storms up here and even big storms but the northern stream alone isn't doing jack shit for us. I'm curious to see if that cut-off low southwest of California is either going to help us or royally screw us...or maybe best case not be much of a factor. I was wondering that...more pronounced this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Oh you know people are taking these OP runs fairly seriously. It's quite evident in the discourse. I think anyone not concerned about Jan 6 shredding is delusional....defintely favored outcome right now. Time to change, sure.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 6 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Skynet Euro This made me LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 Interesting how we get that TPV lobe to come in over the GL with a weak SWFE slinging through... That is not fake cold this time Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was wondering that...more pronounced this run. I hate these features because they can really muk things up and its very difficult to have an idea of its influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Paul, I'd still rather take my chances with the N stream...S stream really limits the ceiling, though I understand why most of CT may feel differntly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Oh you know people are taking these OP runs fairly seriously. It's quite evident in the discourse. From what i have seen over the past few days, Yes, And even further out then that hour too, We just keep checking in on the ensembles until we get this within range of using OP runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Yeah despite the solution verbatim, that is a potent look. Keep that TPV west. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah despite the solution verbatim, that is a potent look. Keep that TPV west. Yea, no complaints with that follow up look...regardless of how this run ends. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 With where that PV sits, It won't take a whole lot to get a powder keg off the coast and nearby too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think anyone not concerned about Jan 6 shredding is delusional....defintely favored outcome right now. Time to change, sure.... Has nothing to do with what I said though....I've banging the "suppressed risk" for a couple days now on 1/6. But it is still hilarious to watch people live and die on model PBP at such a ridiculous lead time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 All about where it gets captured....06z was too soon, this is a bit too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 As is, days… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Has nothing to do with what I said though....I've banging the "suppressed risk" for a couple days now on 1/6. But it is still hilarious to watch people live and die on model PBP at such a ridiculous lead time. Well, WTF else are we going to do? Its like losing on a walk off in April, but refusing to show any emotion because its early in the season.....tell me you don't get pissed and I'll tell you that you just lied. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 I like to think the models create the eye candy solutions first, followed by the mediocre solutions or total misses, only to come back to something that lands in between. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, no complaints with that follow up look...regardless of how this run ends. WTF, is that 492? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, WTF else are we going to do? Its like losing on a walk off in April, but refusing to show any emotion because its early in the season.....tell me you don't get pissed and I'll tell you that you just lied. Let me add this is especially true when you see an unsavory theme developing...one random run is different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, WTF else are w going to do? Its like losing on a walk off in April, but refusing to show any emotion because its early in the season.....tell me you don't get pissed and I'll tell you that you just lied. April counts in the standings. 288hr doesn’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: April counts in the standings. 288hr doesn’t Not the point...when you are watching something, its normal for any human to react to the reality before them. Some people are more reactionary in terms of posts...only difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, WTF else are w going to do? Its like losing on a walk off in April, but refusing to show any emotion because its early in the season.....tell me you don't get pissed and I'll tell you that you just lied. Not get overly emotional on 200 hour OP runs? I can't force people to not get emotional and melt down, but it's legitimately irrational that amount of weight the OP runs get at that time lead. People can wait an hour and look at ensembles. But to each his own.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not get overly emotional on 200 hour OP runs? I can't force people to not get emotional and melt down, but it's legitimately irrational that amount of weight the OP runs get at that time lead. People can wait an hour and look at ensembles. But to each his own.... You mean not convey their thoughts. No one likes seeing it....disliking the result and being mindful that its not a fait accompli aren't mutually exclusive. I didn't see anyone melt down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 9 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: WTF, is that 492? Crazy high-end potential. Hopefuly ensembles hold firm on the first one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Taking advantage of the dews and torch today . Took all outdoor lights down and now the tree inside . Sweating bullets. Snow looks solid for the 6th on ensembles . It’s coming 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 GFS definitely has some bullets in the chamber. I think it's important to remind everyone that we very well won't score on every possibility. Hell parts of this region may get porked in any particular event. Just have to hope we don't get totally skunked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 When did WeatherBell increase their subscription cost from $25 to 30?... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah despite the solution verbatim, that is a potent look. Keep that TPV west. Yeah this. Keep dumping that PV to the west of us through the GL and I’ll happily roll with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Taking advantage of the dews and torch today . Took all outdoor lights down and now the tree inside . Sweating bullets. Snow looks solid for the 6th on ensembles . It’s coming Did you install? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Has nothing to do with what I said though....I've banging the "suppressed risk" for a couple days now on 1/6. But it is still hilarious to watch people live and die on model PBP at such a ridiculous lead time. Not living and dying by it, but losing faith for 1/6, absolutely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now