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Jester January


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3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

AllTimeRecordLowSLPs.gif

Those 940s are all tropical too. 

January 2018 is probably the most prominent in my mind (949 I believe), but I don't have a steel trap for dates and events like Will. My brain is more of a wet paper bag these days.

1938 cane around 938 at landfall I believe. Sandy around 940, but that was obviously Jersey. 2018 has gotta be at the top for winter systems.

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1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

AllTimeRecordLowSLPs.gif

Those 940s are all tropical too. 

January 2018 is probably the most prominent in my mind, but I don't have a steel trap for dates and events like Will. My brain is more of a wet paper bag these days.

I was just going to say…you want something super low this far north you need it to be tropical or something becoming hybrid/post-tropical like Fiona. 

That 2018 blizzard was a thermonuclear winter bomb though with a 53mb drop in under 24 hours. I chased it in Ocean City, MD and it was epic.

EoIhOsL.jpeg

HsxRzrj.jpeg

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Man, you guys/gals all came up with some great feedback about the lowest pressure in a snowstorm. It seems if it were to get into the 930s, It really has to be a tropical system of some sort. 

I appreciate everyone's responses, I just wasn't sure how low the pressure could actually get in a Nor'easter type system.

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12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Even the early Jan 2018 “bomb cyclone” was like 950ish I think. 

Here are the notes from my log.  The river to which I refer is the mighty Pequannock:

 

Powerful  noreaster form off SC coast, traveled just outside the BM at 950 mbs.

                                             heavy snow on immediate coast from SC to ME.  16” just west of Boston, but

                                             much less on immediate coast from Gloucester to Cape.  Winds in high 50’s

                                             throughout area.  Euro sucked the bone on this…way too dry.  GEM did great

                                             until the day before the storm when it choked, NAM did very well.  Intense cold

                                             to follow.  Before snow I was able to cross river for 3rd time since 2007.

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There was a storm I recall that went into the upper 940s in January 2000…wanna say it was 1/21/00….the old NGM model the day before the event backed it close enough that it was giving 4” of QPF to E MA coast and Harvey Leonard started honking. ETA was trending west too but not quite as crazy…but still big QPF. The NGM was usually dry-biased so it was eye-popping to see those numbers. 
 

It ended up scooting east and just scraped us with a few inches. I think the storm annihilated Hazey’s area in Nova Scotia. Thankfully the forecasts never got too crazy because I think the 12z models the next day did shift it back east some so it was really just that one 00z run the day before. 

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I was just going to say…you want something super low this far north you need it to be tropical or something becoming hybrid/post-tropical like Fiona. 
That 2018 blizzard was a thermonuclear winter bomb though with a 53mb drop in under 24 hours. I chased it in Ocean City, MD and it was epic.
EoIhOsL.jpeg
HsxRzrj.jpeg
I love how in that bottom pic you can see the snow on the ground in South Carolina (got 5" in Orangeburg, 75mi inland)

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

There was a storm I recall that went into the upper 940s in January 2000…wanna say it was 1/21/00….the old NGM model the day before the event backed it close enough that it was giving 4” of QPF to E MA coast and Harvey Leonard started honking. ETA was trending west too but not quite as crazy…but still big QPF. The NGM was usually dry-biased so it was eye-popping to see those numbers. 
 

It ended up scooting east and just scraped us with a few inches. I think the storm annihilated Hazey’s area in Nova Scotia. 

Of course you do. 

JanuaryWhenRecordLowSLPs.gif

For half of Nova Scotia, that's the record low January pressure.

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Just now, OceanStWx said:

Of course you do. 

JanuaryWhenRecordLowSLPs.gif

For half of Nova Scotia, that's the record low January pressure.

Lol Jeff Smith and I were going nuts over that one. Freshman year at Cornell but we weren’t back from winter break yet…but we were IMing eachother the NGM and ETA outputs the night before. He was down in Plymouth, MA…for a brief moment it was looking like an epic blizzard of the century for immediate coastal MA. 
 

The problem back then was the Euro only came out once a day…12z run but not until like 8pm at night, lol. So when you were viewing 00z runs, you always had in the back of your mind, “I wonder if the Euro will say anything remotely similar tomorrow”. 

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10 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Here are the notes from my log.  The river to which I refer is the mighty Pequannock:

 

Powerful  noreaster form off SC coast, traveled just outside the BM at 950 mbs.

                                             heavy snow on immediate coast from SC to ME.  16” just west of Boston, but

                                             much less on immediate coast from Gloucester to Cape.  Winds in high 50’s

                                             throughout area.  Euro sucked the bone on this…way too dry.  GEM did great

                                             until the day before the storm when it choked, NAM did very well.  Intense cold

                                             to follow.  Before snow I was able to cross river for 3rd time since 2007.

The coast actually was close to jacking here. It was more from marshfield south that had some issues. I think Logan had at least 17”. Had almost 20 here.  The tides were the biggest issue. Pretty much unprecedented flooding, surge higher than blizzard of 78. Luckily we didn’t have the wave action otherwise the coast would have been devastated. 
 

Unfortunately the real devastation happened two months later. One of the most powerful nor’easters I’ve witnessed. Was mostly rain though.

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48 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

The odds of storms 3-4 days apart have about the same odds as a single one 10 days out.  Fun to look at.

It has happened, but yeah super rare. I don't have a thousandths the retention of Will... but I do remember one happening something like 15 years ago? I think that's the last time I recall an event like that

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11 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

 

This would have led to some epic melts .. 

IMG_0232.thumb.jpg.f07230f14656cc694f3c3660b21b3217.jpg

The March 1914 shows up on a lot of monthly low pressure records for the area too. Of course to get monthly low pressure records you usually need the storm to track over your backyard, which tends to be bad for snow. So a lot of our lowest pressure are written on Cleveland's Dead Sea Scrolls.

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Great analogy. Another would be Uconn. They have won back to back national championships. In back to back years . One after the other 

So by that definition, the last snowstorm we had up here last April and the first one we had this year on Thanksgiving we’re back to back as well. 

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17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lol Jeff Smith and I were going nuts over that one. Freshman year at Cornell but we weren’t back from winter break yet…but we were IMing eachother the NGM and ETA outputs the night before. He was down in Plymouth, MA…for a brief moment it was looking like an epic blizzard of the century for immediate coastal MA. 
 

The problem back then was the Euro only came out once a day…12z run but not until like 8pm at night, lol. So when you were viewing 00z runs, you always had in the back of your mind, “I wonder if the Euro will say anything remotely similar tomorrow”. 

200.webp?cid=ecf05e47nb55lyscezfpq9xzmwq

Me and you learning how to forecast with the NGM.

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