Jester January

[Cyclone-68]

I’ve had two friends ask me “about the big storm next week”. I was like “huh?” and sure enough checked in here and NOPE

[Prismshine Productions]

Way stronger high over ND shunts it off the coast, another run with another solution but nobody wins with this one

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[UnitedWx]

18 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I’ve had two friends ask me “about the big storm next week”. I was like “huh?” and sure enough checked in here and NOPE

They probably watch the YouTube and Facebook... "forecasters"

[Kitz Craver]

GFS is sniffing this out I think. Too much of a good thing again.

[UnitedWx]

11 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Way stronger high over ND shunts it off the coast, another run with another solution but nobody wins with this one

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Now watch the Euro come out with some bombastic solution

[weatherwiz]

That is an extremely concerning look for the deep South next week, both GFS and Euro. 

[Damage In Tolland]

GGEM has the snowy Sunday night Storm, It’s been leading the way on this 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

GGEM has the snowy Sunday night Storm, It’s been leading the way on this 

This is actually the first time it’s had it, of course when the gfs loses it .. guidance now all over the place.. 

[FXWX]

38 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

You forgot beer. 

I assumed it went without saying!

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

This is actually the first time it’s had it, of course when the gfs loses it .. guidance now all over the place.. 

yea previously the Canadian was delaying it a bit and turning it into a big overrunning storm but now it’s more like the Euro and GFS focusing the event on that one vort/jet streak on the east side of the trough. 

[dryslot]

Monday looks to me like one of the fraud 5, Anafrontal Wave that forms along the front once its offshore.

[dryslot]

32 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I’ve had two friends ask me “about the big storm next week”. I was like “huh?” and sure enough checked in here and NOPE

This season that would be 4".

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

GGEM has the snowy Sunday night Storm, It’s been leading the way on this 

Unlike many, I'll take a minor event over nothing at all.  Even 1"-2" to make it at least look like January.

[weatherwiz]

Something tells me the GFS is too far south and east with next week. I would bet ensembles are geared farther northwest

[dryslot]

14 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

GFS is sniffing this out I think. Too much of a good thing again.

The only thing the GFS is sniffing is dog shit.

[Prismshine Productions]

That is an extremely concerning look for the deep South next week, both GFS and Euro. 

Honestly let them have that one, shuts every southern weenie up... No sane person wishes for an ice storm that bad

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[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The only thing the GFS is sniffing is dog shit.

I dunno, other models are pushing it east also

[Hazey]

Might have to let the JV models handle this one. The marquee models crapped the bed on the last threat. GFS to the slaughterhouse, Euro to the glue factory. 

[Snowcrazed71]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

I dunno, other models are pushing it east also

Let's see where the Euro lands a bit later. 

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, Hazey said:

Might have to let the JV models handle this one. The marquee models crapped the bed on the last threat. GFS to the slaughterhouse, Euro to the glue factory. 

Skynet nailed it.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I dunno, other models are pushing it east also

Its a secondary wave that forms along the front, Good luck, You really need that lead s/w to be the dominant one.

[Typhoon Tip]

12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Something tells me the GFS is too far south and east with next week. I would bet ensembles are geared farther northwest

there are all kinds of argument to support your hunch there ... but, there is an 'intangible' aspect to this season's modeling performance that is best defined by

'so fuckin' what: it's goin' to do it that way anyway'  ness

valid arguments are failing with remarkable oddness

 

[mreaves]

32 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Honestly let them have that one, shuts every southern weenie up... No sane person wishes for an ice storm that bad

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Have you met DIT?

[Damage In Tolland]

37 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

This is actually the first time it’s had it, of course when the gfs loses it .. guidance now all over the place.. 

Huh? It’s had it for days. The Sunday night deal

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, mreaves said:

Have you met DIT?

He said sane. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Stein keeps on ticking, ticking…into the future. 

[ineedsnow]

55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

GGEM has the snowy Sunday night Storm, It’s been leading the way on this 

ICON UKIE and GGEM have it

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

ICON UKIE and GGEM have it

ggem's varied wildly with the total manifold of synoptics, too much so to think that's not just noise - be leery of using it.

[Kitz Craver]

43 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Its a secondary wave that forms along the front, Good luck, You really need that lead s/w to be the dominant one.

I agree, I’m not expecting much, if that’s what your saying.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

ggem's varied wildly with the total manifold of synoptics, too much so to think that's not just noise - be leery of using it.

Go with the snowiest model bruh. That’s worked very well this decade…