Jester January

[HoarfrostHubb]

This is certainly a boring stretch... other hobbies taking over... 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is certainly a boring stretch... other hobbies taking over... 

Dungeons and Dragons?

[DJln491]

7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is certainly a boring stretch... other hobbies taking over... 

when I'm not tracking weather my other hobby is to complain about the weather

[ORH_wxman]

Seems overly pessimistic in here. Anyways. 06z euro was nice…esp for interior

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Seems overly pessimistic in here. Anyways. 06z euro was nice…esp for interior

 

None of them wants a nice 3-6” event . Not sure why . 

[Typhoon Tip]

16 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Yeah, perfect position coastal handoff then it slows as it nears Maine... 18hrs straight of flakes in the air

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

great      the cmc and the navgem, vs, competent modeling  -

what could go wrong

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Seems overly pessimistic in here. Anyways. 06z euro was nice…esp for interior

 

You're right, Will....I guess I should be appreciative of the 5.5" I have....hey, better than a shut-out.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

None of them wants a nice 3-6” event . Not sure why . 

1-4"/360 hr rates.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You're right, Will....I guess I should be appreciative of the 5.5" I have....hey, better than a shut-out.

I dunno…my original reason (and most others as well) for posting on these forums eons ago was to talk about potential winter threats…so trying to discuss one through a gauntlet of b*tching and moaning gets a bit grueling.
 

 I understand the sentiment of multiple seasons of getting porked…but probably better to be segregated from the actual wx/model discussion. 

[Typhoon Tip]

yeah...i didn't see the 06z euro  - frankly ... that hasn't helped in the past this season.   LOL

my issue is the canvas hasn't changed.  

    too much gradient; too much velocity              ( tmg; tmv)

there may in fact be some middling events in the mid and extended range but they're likely to be in and out of the global models and not very dependable, as their mechanics are lost in it

[UnitedWx]

20 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is certainly a boring stretch... other hobbies taking over... 

Yes. Vintage television restoration... and the four letter word called work

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I dunno…my original reason (and most others as well) for posting on these forums eons ago was to talk about potential winter threats…so trying to discuss one through a gauntlet of b*tching and moaning gets a bit grueling.
 

 I understand the sentiment of multiple seasons of getting porked…but probably better to be segregated from the actual wx/model discussion. 

This makes wolfie roll around in his own poop. Very happy pup.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I dunno…my original reason (and most others as well) for posting on these forums eons ago was to talk about potential winter threats…so trying to discuss one through a gauntlet of b*tching and moaning gets a bit grueling.
 

 I understand the sentiment of multiple seasons of getting porked…but probably better to be segregated from the actual wx/model discussion. 

You're right.

I need a break from posting unless I feel there's a reason to. 

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You're right, Will....I guess I should be appreciative of the 5.5" I have....hey, better than a shut-out.

He's talking about the future not the past.  Buckle up Bronco 

[TheMainer]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Seems overly pessimistic in here. Anyways. 06z euro was nice…esp for interior

 

If that keeps sliding northeast we'll be happy here, decided to head to Quebec this weekend so that'll help the chances of us getting snow back home while I'm gone

[MJO812]

Euro AI shifted west

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You're right.

I need a break from posting unless I feel there's a reason to. 

So many kids running around with only so much energy their dad can give. 

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Seems overly pessimistic in here. Anyways. 06z euro was nice…esp for interior

 

i think i like weathermodels.com 's rendering better than pivotal or tt or golden gate.  

what's the fees on this site?    may give them a trial -    ...  how are the other synoptic fields - h7, h5, h3 ... vorticity and anomalies... temperature...etc

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

yeah...i didn't see the 06z euro  - frankly ... that hasn't helped in the past this season.   LOL

my issue is the canvas hasn't changed.  

    too much gradient; too much velocity              ( tmg; tmv)

there may in fact be some middling events in the mid and extended range but they're likely to be in and out of the global models and not very dependable, as their mechanics are lost in it

I’m not particularly excited or confident about next Monday but there’s obviously some solid interest in multiple piece of guidance. We’ve seen some stronger correction on energy coming onshore already this winter, so who knows. Strengthen that vort a bit more and maybe you go from a middling moderate/advisory type event into a solid warning event. Obviously it could go the other way too…weaker energy would be susceptible to getting ground up. 

[weatherwiz]

The Patriots sucked, the Bruins are awful, the Celtics I guess will be fine, the Red Sox off-season has been another slap in the face, winter has been boring beyond belief....MAKE IT STOP!!!! Can we just fastforward to when there is a storm at D3 and skip this boring crap. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

So many kids running around with only so much energy their dad can give. 

The flip side is that while mom and baby are sleeping and the elder 3 kids are at daycare, dad needs a mother******* viable snowstorm to distract him.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

i think i like weathermodels.com 's rendering better than pivotal or tt or golden gate.  

what's the fees on this site?    may give them a trial -    ...  how are the other synoptic fields - h7, h5, h3 ... vorticity and anomalies... temperature...etc

I think it’s about 12-13$ per month if you go the full year but if you just go on a month by month basis it’s $15 per month. I don’t completely love them because I feel they can add more parameters on regional views but for the price they are decent enough. 
 

Pivotal is easily the best free site…only thing that bugs me with them is their pages just eat up massive amounts of bandwidth. Whether I’m on my computer or iphone, the browser always struggles a bit with pivotal. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

None of them wants a nice 3-6” event . Not sure why . 

Its fine... just boring... if it looks like a mod event, sure...

[bwt3650]

My friend went to Jay and he said snow cover is so bad outside of the mtns. 

Don’t disagree…It’s been all upslope. 20 miles from the mountain is about the line from pack to just a few inches of white cover. The mountain itself is cleaning up though. Easy 6-8 again last night.


.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m not particularly excited or confident about next Monday but there’s obviously some solid interest in multiple piece of guidance. We’ve seen some stronger correction on energy coming onshore already this winter, so who knows. Strengthen that vort a bit more and maybe you go from a middling moderate/advisory type event into a solid warning event. Obviously it could go the other way too…weaker energy would be susceptible to getting ground up. 

The failed system last week actually trended more strongly in the N stream, which is why it ultimately netted some of us with a solid advisory event, despite the collective chagrin in response to what may have been.

[dryslot]

2 hours ago, qg_omega said:

Congrats @40/70 Benchmark

https://x.com/meteomark/status/1879062270723977690?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg

Moregarbage............lol

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The failed system last week actually trended more strongly in the N stream, which is why it ultimately netted some of us with a solid advisory event, despite the collective chagrin in response to what may have been.

I'm getting fed up with this northern stream crap. Its akin to Aaron Judge in the playoffs in big situations. You want him out there because you know he can perform, but ultimately you know you're just going to see a whiff and when it looks like it may deliver...it just drops the ball 

[Snowcrazed71]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The failed system last week actually trended more strongly in the N stream, which is why it ultimately netted some of us with a solid advisory event, despite the collective chagrin in response to what may have been.

I'm kind of liking the fact that the Euro does have the storm staying close to us. It didn't have it at all with the last one and it was right. So I do feel more confident that we'll have something. Now the question is what.

[mreaves]

27 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

great      the cmc and the navgem, vs, competent modeling  -

what could go wrong

@George001just smashed his Tandy in a fit of rage.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm getting fed up with this northern stream crap. Its akin to Aaron Judge in the playoffs in big situations. You want him out there because you know he can perform, but ultimately you know you're just going to see a whiff and when it looks like it may deliver...it just drops the ball 

I think in terms of intensity, it usually delivers....but the issue is that the fast flow is resulting in deconstructive interference the vast majority of the time, which has inhibited both a timely and proficient phase, as well as the ability of precipitation to work up the coast.