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So it looks like we have the Navy on board for the day 7 threat. This is a big deal, as other guidance is more weak and strung out. Navgem rule says to watch out as the SE biased Navy being this amped is a red flag…
Yeah, perfect position coastal handoff then it slows as it nears Maine... 18hrs straight of flakes in the air

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It’s interesting that despite a fairly precarious high-speed flow, all the major global models (GFS/Euro/GGEM/Ukmet) have an event hitting us as a plowable snowfall next week. Maybe just a coincidence but it’s been semi-consistent for 2-3 runs now. 

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It’s interesting that despite a fairly precarious high-speed flow, all the major global models (GFS/Euro/GGEM/Ukmet) have an event hitting us as a plowable snowfall next week. Maybe just a coincidence but it’s been semi-consistent for 2-3 runs now. 

Possibly the best cross guidance signal of the season so far?

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12 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Possibly the best cross guidance signal of the season so far?

Yea it is. Which isn’t saying a whole lot with the dearth of big threats this season….but this one seems to be showing up on all medium range guidance. In one sense, the fast flow makes things a bit nuanced but on the flip side, this is a pretty large longwave trough over the east so guidance is pretty confident in its location and the storm is really just from an embedded vort/jet streak that is just riding the gradient…which is why maybe most guidance is similar. They all agree on the longwave trough…exception might be Canadian which does the whole thing in a bit different evolution (more positively tilted with overrunning look). 

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28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It’s interesting that despite a fairly precarious high-speed flow, all the major global models (GFS/Euro/GGEM/Ukmet) have an event hitting us as a plowable snowfall next week. Maybe just a coincidence but it’s been semi-consistent for 2-3 runs now. 

Wish the Pope took my bet.

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