Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 11:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:41 PM 4 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I was just starting to write a post on that. Yes, meteorological winter starts December 1st, but the actual first day of winter is the later date. I just don't get how Kev always tries to push winter earlier. It's not even a snowy time for us in early December generally. And on top of it, he's already saying that we're going to have warm up for mid February. Maybe we will but there's no way to know that now. Dec is snowy . This month proved that with cold and almost 14” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Sunday at 11:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:41 PM Silly peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: No it’s not…that’s a man made idea. Nature goes by the astronomical facts. No one thinks of or considers high sun angle and quickly warming daytime highs in Morch winter. Yes it can snow, but that is a spring vibe and month. Fact 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Sunday at 11:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:45 PM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: No one thinks of or considers high sun angle and quickly warming daytime highs in Morch winter. Yes it can snow, but that is a spring vibe and month. Fact No fact at all. March on average more snowy than December…smarten up. 12/22-3/22 is winter. It can snow on both sides of those dates..sure. But those dates are winter. I’ll take any snow any time. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Sunday at 11:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:45 PM 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Winter started Dec 1. Unfortunately it’s moving quickly . But we should see some events prior to the pattern flip to warm mid Feb No clmo here is Dec 21 to March 21⁹ 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM 18Z Euro sure looks like it could produce some type of wave post 144..overall Euro/CMC have been flatter with the wave at 120-144, if that is not a cutter or something going into PA or WRN NY it increases the risk that the follow up would track offshore with the boundary more able to press SE 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Monday at 12:02 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:02 AM 14 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 18Z Euro sure looks like it could produce some type of wave post 144..overall Euro/CMC have been flatter with the wave at 120-144, if that is not a cutter or something going into PA or WRN NY it increases the risk that the follow up would track offshore with the boundary more able to press SE the "look" blows, no offense. I guess if you want overrunning precip and qpf just to fight droughts it works Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Monday at 12:03 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:03 AM That said, onward and upward!@ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Monday at 12:06 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:06 AM 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No one thinks of or considers high sun angle and quickly warming daytime highs in Morch winter. Yes it can snow, but that is a spring vibe and month. Fact no one knows what will happen. Maybe they do, or do not. Let's see what the future holds, it may surprise some. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Monday at 12:08 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:08 AM 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We wont see a major storm in fast flow winter like this , but it is going to get somewhat snowy with quick hitting small events you can still get a 6-12" incher in a fast flow, like with a progressive miller b Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 12:11 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:11 AM 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: you can still get a 6-12" incher in a fast flow, like with a progressive miller b Is 6-12 a major event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Monday at 12:13 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:13 AM Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Monday at 12:15 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:15 AM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Is 6-12 a major event? Would feel like one now. But if your talking 1-2ft+ then yes we'd need some blockage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Monday at 12:15 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:15 AM 6-12" is considered major/historic according to late 1980's/early 1990's. Speaking for SNE/CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 12:17 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:17 AM 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: 6-12" is considered major/historic according to late 1980's/early 1990's. Speaking for SNE/CNE So a 7” snowstorm is major ? Violently disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted Monday at 12:19 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:19 AM 43 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Keep in mind BDL is prob running almost 2F too warm. But even that almost +4 should get wiped out if guidance is anywhere close to correct…it could always be overdone, but I’d be surprised if the next two weeks are near normal instead of solidly below. I know. Yet it goes in the books. Plus it is, at least historically, dominated by radiating nightime lows and the wind has precluded that. My suspicion is that if we had daily climo temp curves we'd find a greater area under the longterm mean than above it for Jan (2F bias aside perhaps). The max+min / 2 method is just really lame and it's so long since time to graduate from arithmetic to stats 101. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted Monday at 12:21 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:21 AM We're moving into the time of year when the daily gain of daylight really ramps up. Between today and the end of the month, we'll snag another 37 minutes of daylight. We'll have posts about dashboard temps in about 3 weeks. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 12:25 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:25 AM Climo min avg temp here is Jan 23 so yeah, we’re about 10 days away from the halfway point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 12:31 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:31 AM 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Climo min avg temp here is Jan 23 so yeah, we’re about 10 days away from the halfway point. “climate” is umm changing. heh. seriously though … it seems hard to qualify that date as such when it seems we’re getting year after years piling up where the ballast of weight in both scalar temps and in time … more so prior to that date? I mean I’m asking more that declaring anything 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 12:32 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:32 AM 12 minutes ago, radarman said: I know. Yet it goes in the books. Plus it is, at least historically, dominated by radiating nightime lows and the wind has precluded that. My suspicion is that if we had daily climo temp curves we'd find a greater area under the longterm mean than above it for Jan (2F bias aside perhaps). The max+min / 2 method is just really lame and it's so long since time to graduate from arithmetic to stats 101. All you have to do is look at home stations in Windsor and Windsor Locks and Suffield near the airport . The mac def adds on a degree or two though , so it may balance out to some degree. Any tarmac is always warmer. Even ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 12:33 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:33 AM 44 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 18Z Euro sure looks like it could produce some type of wave post 144..overall Euro/CMC have been flatter with the wave at 120-144, if that is not a cutter or something going into PA or WRN NY it increases the risk that the follow up would track offshore with the boundary more able to press SE more personally interested in possible series of moderate events between d 6 and 11 now that the day’s PNA index derivatives came in with a nascent bump in the graphical trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted Monday at 12:34 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:34 AM Just now, Typhoon Tip said: more personally interested in possible series of moderate events between d 6 and 11 now that the day’s PNA index derivatives came in with a nascent bump in the graphical trajectory. I was just saying that same thing to my wife. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 12:35 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:35 AM the buzz saw trough with all that compression is a negative interference factor though … 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 12:36 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:36 AM 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: I was just saying that same thing to my wife. good! at least one of us can 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted Monday at 12:55 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:55 AM Summary of New England January 2025 thread so far… my lord… 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Monday at 01:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:04 AM 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: No one thinks of or considers high sun angle and quickly warming daytime highs in Morch winter. Yes it can snow, but that is a spring vibe and month. Fact If it wasn't for March your average year would be 48 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 01:05 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:05 AM Just now, Ginx snewx said: If it wasn't for March your average year would be 48 inches Since we haven’t had Morch snows in so long that is already starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted Monday at 01:08 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:08 AM So tempted to push my Tuesday (1/21) flight back from Boston to Wed… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Monday at 01:11 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:11 AM 49 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: We're moving into the time of year when the daily gain of daylight really ramps up. Between today and the end of the month, we'll snag another 37 minutes of daylight. We'll have posts about dashboard temps in about 3 weeks. Could notice it a little bit today actually. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted Monday at 01:12 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:12 AM 4 hours ago, qg_omega said: Just go back two weeks, all over Twitter and this board. We live in an age of delusion and lack of verifying past forecasts as if they never happened. The cold has been normal and it’s been very dry. https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1873426101864894468?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1873034974536073564?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg I don’t have twitter and I don’t recall seeing anyone her claim we were having a record cold stretch. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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