DJln491 Posted Friday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:43 PM 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: SWFE = SNE rain event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:44 PM Just now, DJln491 said: = SNE rain event Verbatim? Maybe some...but I'm not worried either way 10 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Friday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:44 PM Heavy snow to a ice storm then back to snow.. that would be fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:44 PM Good to see the Deep South blow away my snow total YTD. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Friday at 04:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:46 PM yes please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Friday at 04:48 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 04:48 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Friday at 04:53 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:53 PM 5 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: congrats DC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan63 Posted Friday at 04:53 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:53 PM 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Man what a shit season for the South Shore. Not like many in Eastern areas are crushing it but I don't think we have even had an inch total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Friday at 04:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:55 PM 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: SWFE Would be nice to trend that 1/19 threat into a SWFE. There’s a lot of cold in the northern tier around that time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Friday at 04:59 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 04:59 PM 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Would be nice to trend that 1/19 threat into a SWFE. There’s a lot of cold in the northern tier around that time. would bump the totals up too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Friday at 05:02 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 05:02 PM if that 19th event does happen I dont have to work that day so I would be able to keep updated totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Friday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:02 PM 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: op ed it's probably my age. i'm sure this does not reflect the sentiments of most in this social media. this ballz achin' cold with legit storm potentials ... seemingly preordained to dice rollin' into oblivion thing really has me ready to check out on winter at a personal historically early date. the next "quasi legit" chance for an organized ...anything to track, is between the 18th and 21st - probably centered on the 20th if the thing even exist. what is happening is another major modal shift in the telecon derivatives of all three ens means: eps/gefs/geps. it is also now showing up wonderfully in the spatial synoptic layouts: strong -epo burst. i would call it a burst as well, because in a day and a half-worth of time the index careens from +1 to -1, while the cinema of the above three ... match that numerology with a rather flashed onset of strong far ne pac/alaskan sector positive anomalies. the operational versions are all onboard. the gfs/euro/cmc, all show a large scale deposition of cold into canada, a loading event that is pretty much unabated. intense polar-arctic frontal event ensues bringing the goods into the conus ... it is out along the leading edge of that frontal sweep that the operational runs are trying to time s/w spacing. what's interesting is that even the individual run cycles that don't have much deep layer s/w potency are tending to create some sort of event during the total transition out there. example, the 00z euro was lack luster with s/w mechanics, but ends up with a wave on the front and a decent moderate event ( 9 or 10 days out). the 06z gfs on the other hand, has a powerful s/w ripping n ... which is likely over done given the gfs' ocd with gradients out in time... blah blah. there's likely to be tremendous thermodynamic potential thru the period of time due to the shear rapidity of these larger scaled changes - it could be that all these ways and means to get an event around the 19 or 20th ... are just a result of poorly resolving any random trigger, fake or real notwithstanding. the rotor drafts aft of a 747 taking off from dullas might be enough i'm sorta waiting on the pna. even a low frequency movement positive might be an indicator for legitimacy. that's occurred ... but it's too new for now. yeah, so 12z runs are biting on this idea even more. that's the ultimate needle threader for now but obviously that doesn't mean much yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:02 PM Sad 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Friday at 05:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:03 PM Just now, MJO812 said: Sad That's a misleading graphic. You have to add a bunch of snow from Dallas to the Carolinas. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Friday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:04 PM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Sad Extend that from Dallas to SC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Friday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:08 PM 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sad you know what is funny-ironic about this image here ... when thinking back a week at those eye-popping raging bizzard model runs that of course are not destined to materialize, that region of bare ground in new england is just about cookie-cutter the negative exposure of the 24" of snow those original model runs had. reality becomes opposite of the model forecasts really. outstanding - 5 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Friday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:08 PM 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That's a misleading graphic. You have to add a bunch of snow from Dallas to the Carolinas. Let’s see how many southern stations can have more snow than the Jetport by the end of next week. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:09 PM Old man winter hates the Redsox, Yankees and Mets so that's why our winters are sucking . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted Friday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:09 PM 5 hours ago, alex said: Holy cow. Got another 6” overnight What's that feeling like? To wake up and look out the window and go: "damn it snowed again!". I honestly can't remember the last time I woke up in the morning and was surprised by the amount of snow we go overnight. January 2015 maybe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted Friday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:11 PM Buddy in Atlanta received enough snow to make 2 snowman with the kids and still have the yard covered. While I stare outside at the dead leaves and sticks covering my yard from this week's endless wind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Friday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:11 PM 28 minutes ago, DJln491 said: Could be a 3.5 overlayed on a 1.xx No it actually says 13.5. but I know that's a mistake. Just thought it was funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Friday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:16 PM 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Old man winter hates the Redsox, Yankees and Mets so that's why our winters are sucking . Oh yeah, well if that's the case then he should be pissed off and bury the entire Northeast through spring so that they can't start their season. That would be an angry old man winter!!! :-) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Friday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:17 PM 5 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Buddy in Atlanta received enough snow to make 2 snowman with the kids and still have the yard covered. While I stare outside at the dead leaves and sticks covering my yard from this week's endless wind. yet the love for -naos clings on 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted Friday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:29 PM 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Old man winter hates the Redsox, Yankees and Mets so that's why our winters are sucking . He has good reasons for that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Friday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:06 PM 6 hours ago, dendrite said: Will be interesting to see how warm we get today. We’re really inverted below H85 with NW flow and full sun, albeit a low angle. In March with little snow cover we’d probably mix right through it, but in early Jan it’s a lot more difficult. At peak heating 950 is near -5C at CON and 0C at 900. That is so damn shallow with full sun. lol Definitely overperforming MOS today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Friday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:07 PM 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Definitely overperforming MOS today We’re warmer than the mid-Atlantic today. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:31 PM At least the gefs and eps looks good at 240 for NYC to Boston. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted Friday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:46 PM 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Old man winter hates the Redsox, Yankees and Mets so that's why our winters are sucking . Actually it’s probably what Ma Nature caught him doing on Mount Washington. As always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 06:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:57 PM Extended at least offers hope. Definitely has that moisture out of the gulf look. And overall cold. That 20th event though could be mild...definitely a risk. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted Friday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:02 PM 46F today; almost bare nape weather after the windy crap conditions the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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