Jester January

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Tracking is one thing. We’ve been tracking since Xmas. Expecting is another thing entirely 

Xmas was two weeks ago lmao. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Xmas was two weeks ago lmao. 

And how much have you had ?

[dendrite]

Can’t believe the winter of 24-25 is over already. It was a good one.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And how much have you had ?

About an inch.  The point is Xmas wasn’t 6 weeks ago.  And I’m not worried at all…at 7.25” on the season(better than last year at this point).  The Cold is here, and here to stay it looks, we’ll have more chances.  Everything won’t miss.  

[WxWatcher007]

13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Where you going Don lol?  You’re not out…you hear with the rest of us, looking for the next opportunity.   

 

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Plenty of potential winter to track they will be back.  Pattern looks cold and active with a different look this time, let’s see what happens when we roll the dice this time looks like Jan 18-25 will be fun for someone, where exactly TBD. 

 

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Tracking is one thing. We’ve been tracking since Xmas. Expecting is another thing entirely 

I’m 100% out and here is what I mean. I won’t turn my nose at cold and snow. Any time flakes fall it’s something to be grateful for. You never know when it’ll be the last time you enjoy snow. I will be here and engage with people (maybe a little less but still here) but in my heart I know that another well below normal season imby is close to a lock. 

I totally respect the idea that the future is always uncertain, there’s plenty of time left, the pattern looking ahead is good etc., but I simply do not believe that I will see approximately 40-45” of snow between now and March 15 to bring me to normal.

Aside from my slow burn the last few days I won’t be crapping up threads whenever there is something to track. I don’t cancel winter lightly. I want to be wrong. I’m pretty sure I’m not. 

[kdxken]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

About an inch.  The point is Xmas wasn’t 6 weeks ago.  And I’m not worried at all…at 7.25” on the season(better than last year at this point).  The Cold is here, and here to stay it looks, we’ll have more chances.  Everything won’t miss.  

Last year blew and the year before was worse. How are the Candy crapping unicorns?

[kdxken]

Wtf with the wind!  Thought it was dying down? 30 mph gust just came through. I guess not yet.

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

About an inch.  The point is Xmas wasn’t 6 weeks ago.  And I’m not worried at all…at 7.25” on the season(better than last year at this point).  The Cold is here, and here to stay it looks, we’ll have more chances.  Everything won’t miss.  

How much snow are you expecting rest of winter? Let’s get a number on paper . 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

 

I’m 100% out and here is what I mean. I won’t turn my nose at cold and snow. Any time flakes fall it’s something to be grateful for. You never know when it’ll be the last time you enjoy snow. I will be here and engage with people (maybe a little less but still here) but in my heart I know that another well below normal season imby is close to a lock. 

I totally respect the idea that the future is always uncertain, there’s plenty of time left, the pattern looking ahead is good etc., but I simply do not believe that I will see approximately 40-45” of snow between now and March 15 to bring me to normal.

Aside from my slow burn the last few days I won’t be crapping up threads whenever there is something to track. I don’t cancel winter lightly. I want to be wrong. I’m pretty sure I’m not. 

I think You’re gonna be surprised…Your March 15th date is still 9 weeks from now…but hey if you’re out, we’ll respect your decision.  

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How much snow are you expecting rest of winter? Let’s get a number on paper . 

No problem brotha…Im at 7.25”, I expect to make it to normal snow, so I’d need about 40-43” more.  

[WxWatcher007]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I think You’re gonna be surprised…Your March 15th date is still 9 weeks from now…but hey if you’re out, we’ll respect your decision.  

I really hope I am. I think that we get very few big dog opportunities that appear yearly, and this weekend storm was one of them. Assuming that dropped a foot, there’s a huge difference heading into the final 1/3 of January with ~16” (36% of climo) vs 4” (8%).

I do think we’ll get snow, but I’m highly skeptical it’ll be a double digit one (imby).

Edit: I’ll throw a number out too. I think I see 22-27” between now and the end of March. That’d put me between 26-31” on the season.

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, DavisStraight said:

Terrible, some places in Central and Western Mass have has maybe 6-8 inches but the coast has been terrible so far.

BOS had almost 6” in the 12/20 event so they are BN but not horrifically like other spots further west. Just south of BOS is really bad on the south shore right on the coast. 

[kdxken]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

BOS had almost 6” in the 12/20 event so they are BN but not horrifically like other spots further west. Just south of BOS is really bad on the south shore right on the coast. 

I can't complain . This weather has been perfect for me. Sustained cold, no snow and stiff winds to dry out the wood. Couldn't draw it up any better. Business is booming.

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

No problem brotha…Im at 7.25”, I expect to make it to normal snow, so I’d need about 40-43” more.  

Wow . Wild . But at least line is drawn in frozen dirt now . 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wow . Wild . But at least line is drawn in frozen dirt now . 

How bout you there on the hill? What do you expect? 

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I can't complain . This weather has been perfect for me. Sustained cold, no snow and stiff winds to dry out the wood. Couldn't draw it up any better. Business is booming.

I need to find a local pond to take the kids skating on. At least this weather is good for something. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

How bout you there on the hill? What do you expect? 

I’m at 13.9” YTD. I’ll likely finish under 35”

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I need to find a local pond to take the kids skating on. At least this weather is good for something. 

The West and Connecticut Rivers both have an ice sheet on top (will see if I can take a pic tomorrow) 

[weathafella]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

The West and Connecticut Rivers both have an ice sheet on top (will see if I can take a pic tomorrow) 

I don’t think they’re going ice skating on the Connecticut River….

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I need to find a local pond to take the kids skating on. At least this weather is good for something. 

Not sure about that area .. but the wind has prevented many local ponds here from freezing in the middle. Right at bottom of hill it’s wide open in the middle despite not sniffing freezing since Jan 1

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I don’t think they’re going ice skating on the Connecticut River….

oh I know, was just giving a frame of reference about how true winter this cold snap has been

[mreaves]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Just south of BOS is really bad

You mean places like Weymouth? Huh, I hadn’t heard that. 

[WinterWolf]

11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I really hope I am. I think that we get very few big dog opportunities that appear yearly, and this weekend storm was one of them. Assuming that dropped a foot, there’s a huge difference heading into the final 1/3 of January with ~16” (36% of climo) vs 4” (8%).

I do think we’ll get snow, but I’m highly skeptical it’ll be a double digit one (imby).

Edit: I’ll throw a number out too. I think I see 22-27” between now and the end of March. That’d put me between 26-31” on the season.

From now, to the end of March is 11 weeks, that’s pretty close to 3 months.  

 

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m at 13.9” YTD. I’ll likely finish under 35”

Ok, now that’s wild.  So you think all you’re  gonna get is about 20” more for the next 3 months?   I think that’s unlikely, but cool. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, mreaves said:

You mean places like Weymouth? Huh, I hadn’t heard that. 

S Wey 

[weathafella]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

oh I know, was just giving a frame of reference about how true winter this cold snap has been

I drove past my local reservoir today and it looked like good skating ice with an open area in the middle likely from ducks needing that.

[metagraphica]

25 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Wtf with the wind!  Thought it was dying down? 30 mph gust just came through. I guess not yet.

Some big gusts pushing the truck around on the ride home this evening around 7:30.  Was roaring again in the treetops out in the woods today. Blows.

[qg_omega]

It’s not nearly cold enough for pond skating, it’s barley below average with massive winds

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

From now, to the end of March is 11 weeks, that’s pretty close to 3 months.  

 

Ok, now that’s wild.  So you think all you’re  gonna get is about 20” more for the next 3 months?   I think that’s unlikely, but cool. 

Without a big coastal it’s very unlikely. And in fast flow Pac pattern winters we don’t get those. So it will be very hard to nickel and dime our way to even that number before warm flip in mid Feb . Obviously hope you’re right , but do not think you will be 

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, qg_omega said:

It’s not nearly cold enough for pond skating, it’s barley below average with massive winds

That's funny, I was out on one of my ponds today with my ATV. Guess I got lucky.

[DavisStraight]

4 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

It’s not nearly cold enough for pond skating, it’s barley below average with massive winds

Not on the big lakes and ponds, the smaller ones around me look safe to walk on.