Jester January

[WinterWolf]

38 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Some people here would be perfectly fine with you morphing into the equivalent of someone who touts penny stocks as the road to being wealthy..

This isn’t true either(for most of us).  Most of us aren’t unreasonable.  Gotta see how things play out. It’s that Simple. 

[CoastalWx]

At some point we want to see the ops start producing events.  Yes they are op runs, but they’ll start to bare fruit if the pattern is legit.

[Prismshine Productions]

At some point we want to see the ops start producing events.  Yes they are op runs, but they’ll start to bare fruit if the pattern is legit.

Crushing Arctic air mass going to suppres everything for a bit first

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[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At some point we want to see the ops start producing events.  Yes they are op runs, but they’ll start to bare fruit if the pattern is legit.

100% Scott. 

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Just curious, What are the traditionally snowy areas that are BN?  

NE MA into southern NH/ME

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

NE MA into southern NH/ME

Even in ORH county it’s BN

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At some point we want to see the ops start producing events.  Yes they are op runs, but they’ll start to bare fruit if the pattern is legit.

Ha GFS

[Kitz Craver]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At some point we want to see the ops start producing events.  Yes they are op runs, but they’ll start to bare fruit if the pattern is legit.

Exactly, OP or not when the pattern is ripe to produce the model cinema increases dramatically and we could actually have something to be positive about, lol. The flaccid runs we are seeing at nauseam just keeps the psyche on defense 

[Chrisrotary12]

At least the pattern is active.... 12z GFS: cut to Chicago, cut to Detroit, cut to Buffalo, wide right, wide right, clipper to the north.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Cold/dry to warm/wet back to cold/dry. We’ll need a rogue clipper band to queef out a inch or two at some point. Welcome to a warmer 1980s…

[Snowcrazed71]

23 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s a shit argument…kind of like saying the first two days of January might be above normal, so January is above normal.  But knock yourself out.  This isn’t last year. 

You can't win with some of these people on this forum... You're either on one end or the other ( kind of reminds me of something we just went through in November ) Ha!

Gotta love coastalWx though, he's the first to jump all over you yet he's all over the place with his thoughts... lol. Well, he's got his followers. I can give two s**** who follows me or not. I'm not here to stroke anyone's ego. If I'm gonna be blasted for staying optimistic then so be it ( I find a lot of humor in it actually ). 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Even in ORH county it’s BN

Yeah.  We had one decent event earlier in the month.  Nothing siggy since.   1” on the ground. 

[Prismshine Productions]

At least the pattern is active.... 12z GFS: cut to Chicago, cut to Detroit, cut to Buffalo, wide right, wide right, clipper to the north.

How to give every Bills fan PTSD

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[Typhoon Tip]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At some point we want to see the ops start producing events.  Yes they are op runs, but they’ll start to bare fruit if the pattern is legit.

mm, relative to this 2 week window, incoming?   absolutely - that would help the white glovers' case

however, i advance that the op runs are as guilty as the pattern selling by ens', but with embedded emergences when they are there.    just sayn'/adding

[EastonSN+]

Perhaps this one could come a little North for a light event. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

You can't win with some of these people on this forum... You're either on one end or the other ( kind of reminds me of something we just went through in November ) Ha!

Gotta love coastalWx though, he's the first to jump all over you yet he's all over the place with his thoughts... lol. Well, he's got his followers. I can give two s**** who follows me or not. I'm not here to stroke anyone's ego. If I'm gonna be blasted for staying optimistic then so be it ( I find a lot of humor in it actually ). 

 

Why are you tagging me to that post? And how am I all over the place? 

[MJO812]

Gfs is loaded with cold

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ha GFS

How is Ditty’s big d8 snower?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

mm, relative to this 2 week window, incoming?   absolutely - that would help the white glovers' case

however, i advance that the op runs are as guilty as the pattern selling by ens', but with embedded emergences when they are there.    just sayn'/adding

Sometimes the op runs can hint at things. For instance the ensembles hint at cold, and sometimes you see those ops drive massive arctic outbreaks into the CONUS. You know not to take them verbatim but they hint at things. 
 

 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

How is Ditty’s big d8 snower?

Don’t really see it.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Don’t really see it.

Just have to visualize it harder. 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

How is Ditty’s big d8 snower?

You need to find something else to do . Do something with the family for a week or so and get yourself better 

[cleetussnow]

12 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Perhaps this one could come a little North for a light event. 

this could come north.  I'd watch 

[Prismshine Productions]

Perhaps this one could come a little North for a light event. 

It is slowly ticking that way

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[Typhoon Tip]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Sometimes the op runs can hint at things. For instance the ensembles hint at cold, and sometimes you see those ops drive massive arctic outbreaks into the CONUS. You know not to take them verbatim but they hint at things. 
 

 

i was referring to the operational 'model magnification' aspect wrt to amplitude. 

a s/w and resulting affairs are attenuated something like 15 to as much as 40% over whatever is embedded in the late mid range+, over time.   it's really an aspect i factor in.   

anyway, the ens means are over doing these patterns out in time. 

the operational runs are over doing embedded features, after that fact.

in principle, it's an issue with modeling tech in general

[Snowcrazed71]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Why are you tagging me to that post? And how am I all over the place? 

Truce man!! 

I'm not here to call you out with this he said she said crap.  I just don't like being attacked just for being optimistic. I think we all want the same thing. And yes, I get frustrated too when s*** doesn't pan out. 

 

 

[Layman]

Merry Christmas Everyone!

What’d I miss?

[Damage In Tolland]

Icing threat Saturday in portion of SNE, ahead of the mild rains 

[CoastalWx]

You can’t really hate that GEFS look. Let’s hope we can grab something.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

You can’t really hate that GEFS look. Let’s hope we can grab something.

We’ve said this a lot over the last couple years. However; the favorable periods have been very short; and failed to produce.

i think most are in “believe it when I see it” mode, which is completely fair at this point. Results matter.