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Jester January


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8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The ironic part of that picture, is that as the Euro went ballistic at 0z Saturday night…the GFS lost it on that 0z run, after having it 2 consecutive cycles in a row(12z and18z..just like today) that day.    
 

So, will the Euro jump on board tonight at 0z, and the GFS lose it, like back on Saturday.  How crazy would that be? 

Like has been mentioned already, this a case where there may be little or no middle ground.  A phasing and it's kaboom!  But a lack of phasing means a minor or a non-event.  The phasing or non-phase options are separated by miniscule 500 mb differences!   One way or the other I would not be shocked if there's not consensus until 0z tomorrow night?

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10 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Weekdays not so much, But out at 12 am is far better then 12:45am, But i usually will take a peak if i wake up early,

I wish I could stay up late but  I’m not built that way . I’m a morning person and love going to sleep early . If I stayed up half the night and there was a bad model run.  I wouldn’t sleep . I’d be angry, worried , and my heart would be racing . Would rather a good nights sleep and see what happened early AM 

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2 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Like has been mentioned already, this a case where there may be little or no middle ground.  A phasing and it's kaboom!  But a lack of phasing means a minor or a non-event.  The phasing or non-phase options are separated by miniscule 500 mb differences!   One way or the other I would not be shocked if there's not consensus until 0z tomorrow night?

I can't see the euro just jump to the GFS, but I can see the GFS jump around a bit. I kind of agree about tomorrow night......but I do think if we see more of a consensus tonight, then we bullish. Even if the GFS went east and the euro west...some sort of a consensus that would impact the region.

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1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

The coast rocks for a while on the GFS.  So getting that along with the wind might be fair trade.

Oh yeah…I’d prob trade a certain percentage of snowfall in exchange for huge winds during the storm. Not sure how much. I might take a 30% haircut if I could get me some true blizzard conditions. 

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Oh yeah…I’d prob trade a certain percentage of snowfall in exchange for huge winds during the storm. Not sure how much. I might take a 30% haircut if I could get me some true blizzard conditions. 

If I could blow 1/4 -1/2 of my trees/ forest down I’d take 2-4” of snow Otg . I’m being serious 

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4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I wish I could stay up late but  I’m not built that way . I’m a morning person and love going to sleep early . If I stayed up half the night and there was a bad model run.  I wouldn’t sleep . I’d be angry, worried , and my heart would be racing . Would rather a good nights sleep and see what happened early AM 

meh bed late up early for me and usually fine during the day.. weekends I sleep in a bit 

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17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I can't see the euro just jump to the GFS, but I can see the GFS jump around a bit. I kind of agree about tomorrow night......but I do think if we see more of a consensus tonight, then we bullish. Even if the GFS went east and the euro west...some sort of a consensus that would impact the region.

I'm good with that consensus.  Gfs a bit east, maybe a bit weaker, and euro comes northwest.  

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