Jester January

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The sad part is…at least in the Accuweather threads, they would remove those so fast, and if you continued, they would suspend you immediately.   That place was run tight, the trade off was there wasn’t as many knowledgeable hobbyists /METS there. But they had some good ones too.  This place used to be better/higher caliber. Unfortunately it isn’t anymore the last couple years. 

People are calling it like they see it. It seems like some folks want to only entertain positive vibes.

2” of snow here in December over 3 events. Tough to spin that. January looks questionable to start 

[WinterWolf]

29 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Areas that  currently have normal to AN snowfall for the season are going to be BN once the next 10 day period comes to an end.

So 10 days from now, when it’s January 3rd…and we finished December at normal or AN snow, we should be having a snow event immediately on the first two days of January, or we’re in trouble of falling behind on 1/3?  I mean, that’s about as lame an excuse for saying areas will be BN, because on 1/3/25 there hasn’t been a snow storm yet for January, as one can get.   
 

 

[dendrite]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The sad part is…at least in the Accuweather threads, they would remove those so fast, and if you continued, they would suspend you immediately.   That place was run tight, the trade off was there wasn’t as many knowledgeable hobbyists /METS there. But they had some good ones too.  This place used to be better/higher caliber. Unfortunately it isn’t anymore the last couple years. 

The last couple of years have sucked for winter weather. Talking about rain and warmth in winter isn’t necessarily trolling. It’s just been the reality. The circle of trust, cold kumbaya can get old too. When it’s actually active and wintry we always amp up the moderating. 

[Snowcrazed71]

55 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

Youngster lol - look at my handle….ive been here since 2004…..

Whoopi! 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

The last couple of years have sucked for winter weather. Talking about rain and warmth in winter isn’t necessarily trolling. It’s just been the reality. The circle of trust, cold kumbaya can get old too. When it’s actually active and wintry we always amp up the moderating. 

Yeah, Would rather have 6 mos of HHH talk instead of a few weeks of cold talk..........................

[Damage In Tolland]

Yeah that Day 7-8 threat looks legit for snow 

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

People are calling it like they see it. It seems like some folks want to only entertain positive vibes.

2” of snow here in December over 3 events. Tough to spin that. January looks questionable to start 

You don’t live in an area that snows much 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yeah, Would rather have 6 mos of HHH talk instead of a few weeks of cold talk..........................

Only a few more months before we debate whether or not 60F dews are humid or COC. 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

People are calling it like they see it. It seems like some folks want to only entertain positive vibes.

2” of snow here in December over 3 events. Tough to spin that. January looks questionable to start 

Well yes, tough for your area. And nobody is spinning anything.  AT ALL.  When you guys killed it every storm for years, we sat back and watched in awe.  We’d get 3” here, and your area would get 9-10+”.  That would happen all the time.  So yes, it hasn’t been good there…I can understand, and know that feeling very well.  But  Let’s not get too crazy if the first few days of January don’t produce a snowstorm…or at least show one just yet.  No spin, just saying. 
 

Other places just to your north and out this way, and on the cape have a different take on the month. But shit happens. I have a feeling your area will make up some ground in the not to distant future.  

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Only a few more months before we debate whether or not 60F dews are humid or COC. 

Won't be long, Maybe even sooner, But for now we are debating fake cold and trying on different pairs of snow goggles.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Only a few more months before we debate whether or not 60F dews are humid or COC. 

Looking forward to warmth. The cold/dry warm/wet winters down here are getting old. Yea we queefed out a couple messily inches this month in certain SNE locations but overall, another boring winter month in the cards. The early Jan pattern that was pimped by some ain’t happening. Getting kicked down the month as the trough is too far west, yet again. Maybe it changes and mid month goes nuclear, or maybe it doesn’t…we just don’t know. What we do know though is that winters have sucked this decade in most of SNE. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looking forward to warmth. The cold/dry warm/wet winters down here are getting old. Yea we queefed out a couple messily inches this month in certain SNE locations but overall, another boring winter month in the cards. The early Jan pattern that was pimped by some ain’t happening. Getting kicked down the month as the trough is too far west, yet again. Maybe it changes and mid month goes nuclear, or maybe it doesn’t…we just don’t know. What we do know though is that winters have sucked this decade in most of SNE. 

Will be BN snow in most areas by end of month. Fangs or not. At least some areas got to enjoy it. 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The last couple of years have sucked for winter weather. Talking about rain and warmth in winter isn’t necessarily trolling. It’s just been the reality. The circle of trust, cold kumbaya can get old too. When it’s actually active and wintry we always amp up the moderating. 

I don’t think anybody who is reasonable is saying that it hasn’t sucked.  But when disingenuous people from other sub forums, come in and post a 384 hr OP run snapshot, that shows extremely warm 2 meter anomalies all over the whole Northern hemisphere, that absolutely never ended up playing out at all. And then the same posters can’t be found when the Ensembles(not OP) look good…that’s trolling bud.  And that’s the crap that should be clamped down on all the time.  There are a handful of disingenuous posters. 

[CoastalWx]

Can’t see the 00z EPS in tidbits but GEFs still look decent. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Where are these foolish ideas of Jan pattern looking awful come from overnight? All suites look great and loadedwith snow threats  the first one starting Day 8. It’s like people just making stuff up 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Where are these foolish ideas of Jan pattern looking awful come from overnight? All suites look great and loadedwith snow threats  the first one starting Day 8. It’s like people just making stuff up 

Yeah people making stuff up. Who would do that?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Where are these foolish ideas of Jan pattern looking awful come from overnight? All suites look great and loadedwith snow threats  the first one starting Day 8. It’s like people just making stuff up 

D8 Looks very timing based and really the best h5 look happens at the end of gefs/eps but that’s been the theme the past week. Always looking good at hr360.

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looking forward to warmth. The cold/dry warm/wet winters down here are getting old. Yea we queefed out a couple messily inches this month in certain SNE locations but overall, another boring winter month in the cards. The early Jan pattern that was pimped by some ain’t happening. Getting kicked down the month as the trough is too far west, yet again. Maybe it changes and mid month goes nuclear, or maybe it doesn’t…we just don’t know. What we do know though is that winters have sucked this decade in most of SNE. 

You could be correct Luke, and nothing wrong with saying what you are saying.  But You are also the guy who told us after the 12/5 system gave us 3-8 inches across the state, that we’d have to wait for after the new year(2025) to see anymore snow. And yet we saw three more snow events.  They weren’t big..but they added another 4” plus to my total..to bring us to normal for December.   So you were incorrect on this month back in the beginning after the 12/5 snow. You could be wrong about this too. 
 

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Can’t see the 00z EPS in tidbits but GEFs still look decent. 

EPS:

 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

D8 Looks very timing based and really the best h5 look happens at the end of gefs/eps but that’s been the theme the past week. Always looking good at hr360.

I don’t know man. The whole region has had a solid snowy and BN month of Dec. it’s been solid. It doesn’t look epic on the ensembles, but it looks very wintry past Jan 1. I don’t get these comparisons to last year 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

EPS:

 

I’m no MET…but that looks pretty dam good to me overall.  I’ll roll the dice with that. 

[Kitz Craver]

32 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

People are calling it like they see it. It seems like some folks want to only entertain positive vibes.

2” of snow here in December over 3 events. Tough to spin that. January looks questionable to start 

It sucks we had a fair amount of cold air available this December and for most in SNE it yielded a couple of inches. Here comes the warmth and you can damn well bet we’re gonna rain and substantially at that. 

[Typhoon Tip]

i'm kind of fighting off the temptation to fall into Ray's bad attitude ... tired of ogling these amazing pattern Rembrandts only to have whatever emerges in time ... all but dependably becoming a head-game of diminishing returns. 

in a lot of ways, it's like the modeling systems are gas-lighting   lol

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t know man. The whole region has had a solid snowy and BN month of Dec. it’s been solid. It doesn’t look epic on the ensembles, but it looks very wintry past Jan 1

I have to agree with you on that.  We all know there are no iron clad guarantees with any of this.  But it isn’t last year, and I don’t feel it will be going forward from here now either. That’s my take. 

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t know man. The whole region has had a solid snowy and BN month of Dec. it’s been solid. It doesn’t look epic on the ensembles, but it looks very wintry past Jan 1. I don’t get these comparisons to last year 

Cold yes but most of sne is going to end December below normal for snow with some traditionally snowy places are WAY below normal

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Cold yes but most of sne is going to end December below normal for snow with some traditionally snowy places are WAY below normal

This post isn’t made up. 

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

EPS:

 

I think most would take that. Let’s get that 7 days out.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

i'm kind of in Ray's bad attitude ... tired of ogling these amazing pattern Rembrandts only to have whatever emerges in time ... all but dependably becoming a head-game of diminishing returns. 

in a lot of ways, it's like the modeling systems are gas-lighting   lol

That’s how this game is played though…you/we all know this going in. So many nuances with getting snow, that a good/great pattern can’t tell or show us at med/extended ranges.  So you just gotta wait..or take a break and check in in 4-5 days. 

[SnowGoose69]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I’m no MET…but that looks pretty dam good to me overall.  I’ll roll the dice with that. 

D16 on the 06Z GEFS looked ugly as it seemed the W Coast ridge was about to be totally punched and the flow was going to go zonal but at that range who knows.  Also the patterns have been continually getting broken down too fast on ensembles for 2 months

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Cold yes but most of sne is going to end December below normal for snow with some traditionally snowy places are WAY below normal

Most is AN other than CT valley and Scooters area of SE MA and Metheun area