H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:01 PM 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yep roads are covered already grass is getting covered. Stay safe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted Monday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:01 PM 18 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Very good move on the GEFS. 00z 06z 12z Lock step improvements with each run there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted Monday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:01 PM 27 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 36" where I grew up in NNJ, 6" in the snowy Maine foothills. Feb 2021 redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted Monday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:02 PM 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This isn't Feb 2013. I get a Jan 2011 vibe a bit with that precip distribution and temps...but that was more nrn stream I believe. I would take a repeat of either or those in a heartbeat. I’d only ask that the heaviest snow fall during the day, but that doesn’t appear to be on the table here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Monday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:02 PM I don't really care what the op euro has. It seems the GEFS/EPS are improving run to run. In 2 days there will be excellent sampling and likely a converged model signal hopefully for a big one. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Monday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:04 PM Man... Why do I feel like the Euro today needs to be good, even if it is just an improvement. We pray. Should be seeing something coming in within the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:06 PM The one positive is the GFS does generally own the other models in regards to NRN stream activity so perhaps its onto something there which has this phase/move up the coast more but I still lean closer to this being flatter though maybe not as flat as the UKMET 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:06 PM 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Man... Why do I feel like the Euro today needs to be good, even if it is just an improvement. We pray. Should be seeing something coming in within the hour. See Wethafellas post above you, that's what is important at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Still borderline on the coast for a time, but we'll take what we can get. Ideally getting this to bomb a little more east and curl towards the islands might be better...but as long as this doesn't tuck into Anthony's precinct. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:07 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:07 PM 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: the g-string heat source Is this a euphamism? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:07 PM 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Man... Why do I feel like the Euro today needs to be good, even if it is just an improvement. We pray. Should be seeing something coming in within the hour. It makes sense. At this point I think we want to see consistent improvement across guidance. Especially the ensembles and gfs/euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:07 PM We need to lose a lot of these eastern members in the coming runs. Seems like the spread is still pretty large, but def an improvement over the past couple runs. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Monday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:09 PM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still borderline on the coast for a time, but we'll take what we can get. Ideally getting this to bomb a little more east and curl towards the islands might be better...but as long as this doesn't tuck into Anthony's precinct. The storms that tuck into NJ or LI are no-bueno down here, even if they slink east afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted Monday at 05:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:10 PM 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: Is this a euphamism? I found it safest to view every reply as an euphemism until proven otherwise. You'll soon see that damn near every post can be misconstrued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:11 PM 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still borderline on the coast for a time, but we'll take what we can get. Ideally getting this to bomb a little more east and curl towards the islands might be better...but as long as this doesn't tuck into Anthony's precinct. Unfortunately us WOR folk wouldn’t mind a tuck into chief wiggum’s precinct. But lets get the phase to occur first then the regional warfare can begin. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 05:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:12 PM Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Unfortunately us WOR folk wouldn’t mind a tuck into chief wiggum’s precinct. But lets get the phase to occur first then the regional warfare can begin. That's ideal for the Catskills....even for you I don't think you'd want that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 05:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:13 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: That's ideal for the Catskills....even for you I don't think you'd want that. They prob want ti tucked near the south fork of LI over towards just south of BID. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 05:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:13 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: That's ideal for the Catskills....even for you I don't think you'd want that. It’s a pretty tight core though with the block in place so it wouldn’t be a Mar17 type deal where it sends the deform to NNE and we dryslot here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted Monday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:14 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 05:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:15 PM 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: They prob want ti tucked near the south fork of LI over towards just south of BID. 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s a pretty tight core though with the block in place so it wouldn’t be a Mar17 type deal where it sends the deform to NNE and we dryslot here. Yep. Anyways, just BS topics at this point. We'll see what the euro shows. My guess is that it drags the srn energy a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 05:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:15 PM 3 minutes ago, Layman said: I found it safest to view every reply as an euphemism until proven otherwise. You'll soon see that damn near every post can be misconstrued Well... I for one would entertain that 30 inch tip on the QPF map currently shown in my back yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:16 PM 7 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: We need to lose a lot of these eastern members in the coming runs. Seems like the spread is still pretty large, but def an improvement over the past couple runs. I mean that's kind of to be expected in a quasi all or nothing scenario like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:16 PM A far western lean or a tuck right now isn't necessarily a bad thing. We know how this goes...there will be some last minute corrections...I guess as long as those corrections end up being east and not more west But I think the most tucked solutions are probably the envelops as to how tucked this can get. There is more room for east lean versus farther west lean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:17 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: Yep. Anyways, just BS topics at this point. We'll see what the euro shows. My guess is that it drags the srn energy a bit. Yea way ahead of myself from a gfs op fantasy run. Still leaning weaker and flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:17 PM 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s a pretty tight core though with the block in place so it wouldn’t be a Mar17 type deal where it sends the deform to NNE and we dryslot here. March '17? I must have blocked that one out. I remember it being cold in my opening beer league baseball game the next month lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:19 PM 11 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: We need to lose a lot of these eastern members in the coming runs. Seems like the spread is still pretty large, but def an improvement over the past couple runs. I mean it’s day 5 still. Sometimes you see spread like that at day 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Monday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:19 PM 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 8 of those 20 members are nice hits. A marked improvement from earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted Monday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:21 PM With the oscillating between complete whiffs and blockbusters and not much in between, is this an all or nothing scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:21 PM 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: March '17? I must have blocked that one out. I remember it being cold in my opening beer league baseball game the next month lol Another busted forecast where we were in line for 20+ but the nw trends caused us to dryslot after the initial wwa. Catskills were deformed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now