RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Sunday at 04:28 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:28 AM 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: If you don't phase that s/w energy over baja, Its going to be no bueno for here. That’s the more likely outcome. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Sunday at 04:28 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:28 AM 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: just screwing around.. you cant expect every run to be perfect 7 days out And you shouldn't expect it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 04:29 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:29 AM 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even here...not really interested in a middling outcome. Not sure why some like it where it is right now, Its been this way for several days, You would want to start seeing some continuity at some point. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted Sunday at 04:29 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:29 AM Looks like the northern energy is initially further north and faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 04:30 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:30 AM 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s the more likely outcome. Seeing we had two runs in the last 5 days that had the phased outcome, Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Sunday at 04:32 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:32 AM 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s the more likely outcome. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Sunday at 04:33 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:33 AM Gefs coming out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Sunday at 04:38 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:38 AM 10 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I was watching Bernie Rayno and he really likes the storm set up for next weekend. He said all the ingredients are there. Indeed, but the question is whether those ingredients get added to the mixing bowl in the right proportions. 00z doesn’t really change my cautious optimism. Razor’s edge is what we do now so I’m not expecting consistently beautiful 500mb depictions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Sunday at 04:39 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:39 AM 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gefs coming out My hunch is that they are better than the OP. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Sunday at 04:43 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:43 AM 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: LOL Your snow goggles are strapped on too tight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Sunday at 04:45 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:45 AM 14 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not sure why some like it where it is right now, Its been this way for several days, You would want to start seeing some continuity at some point. I don't love the OP doing that, but I won't be too perturbed if the ensemble mean at least holds its own or hopefully continues to improve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Sunday at 04:46 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:46 AM 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My hunch is that they are better than the OP. indeed… better than the 18z run as well. disregarding the OP shift for now, though it definitely remains in the envelope of solutions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Sunday at 04:46 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:46 AM 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My hunch is that they are better than the OP. It is. Improvement with a sharper trough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Sunday at 04:46 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:46 AM Just now, brooklynwx99 said: indeed… better than the 18z run as well. disregarding the OP shift for now, though it definitely remains in the envelope of solutions I am comfortable disregarding the OP as a blip...for now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Sunday at 04:47 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:47 AM My hunch is that they are better than the OP.Looks like better phasing at 00z than 18z so far 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 04:48 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:48 AM 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't love the OP doing that, but I won't be too perturbed if the ensemble mean at least holds its own or hopefully continues to improve. If we move some more members to the west, Then yes, The op has been outlier west the last 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Sunday at 04:55 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:55 AM On the Op, once that energy in the sw wanes, the low blows up into a 946 monster well east of Nova Scotia. Future runs will have to eliminate that energy faster if we are to have a chance for a monster blowup closer to home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted Sunday at 05:06 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:06 AM 19 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: indeed… better than the 18z run as well. disregarding the OP shift for now, though it definitely remains in the envelope of solutions Love to see that downstream omega block showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 05:08 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:08 AM I see why no comment on the CMC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Sunday at 05:10 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:10 AM 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I see why no comment on the CMC. Or uncle either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted Sunday at 05:10 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:10 AM 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Persistent poor snow growth arctic light snow at 1-3sm and 12 degrees. Roads look like Alaska tundra with dry dense sifting around between the snowbanks. Champlain Valley in on it too with BTV at 0.75sm -SN at 18F. KBTV 050156Z 04006KT 3/4SM -SN VV017 M08/M11 Scored 1.2” over 3.5 hours with this. Open water of the lake gave the shortwave quite a boost. At times, there were 25dBZ returns occurring and you could still faintly see the moon through the clouds/snow. At least the ground is white again for the cold week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted Sunday at 05:13 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:13 AM 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: I see why no comment on the CMC. 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Or uncle either. The reality is, we’ve had very few runs of any model that produce a good event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 05:14 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:14 AM 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Or uncle either. Euro is running now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 05:45 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:45 AM Looks like the 0z Euro won't disappoint, Maybe to much of a good thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Sunday at 05:45 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:45 AM Plenty of potential on the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Sunday at 05:48 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:48 AM 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like the 0z Euro won't disappoint, Maybe to much of a good thing. I’d absolutely play with fire to have a shot at that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted Sunday at 05:48 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:48 AM where do you guys get the early returns on the euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted Sunday at 05:48 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:48 AM 967mb low stalls about 50 miles NW of the benchmark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Sunday at 05:49 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:49 AM Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Sunday at 05:49 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:49 AM Wow...just burning all of my clothing....5 alarm fire in Methuen 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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