CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM Ensembles have a storm signal but pretty far offshore. Workable I guess. Op was definitely a wild member. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: In all honesty, move the whining to the other thread. Catching up this morning was utterly unreadable. Enjoy the view after catching up.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:07 PM 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will certainly does I don’t see an issue being a wise ass and venting a bit. Especially when it triggers Wolfie. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Saturday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:08 PM 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We just don’t know Nobody does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Saturday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:08 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: I don’t see an issue being a wise ass and venting a bit. Especially when it triggers Wolfie. It’s All good. We track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Saturday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:09 PM 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The crazy part is that word is way overused now by the half ass media. Every bigger storm is a Bomb-cyclone now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Saturday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:11 PM 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: When did the hair loss begin? We full head at 44. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Saturday at 05:13 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:13 PM 53 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Excellent response, and IMO, clearly presented. Perchance, is this your field? no ... it's not, but thanks. i write outside of this medium, however. sometimes in helps. sometimes it should have helped, but just didn't but i also spend a lot of nerdy time embedded in the extents cosmology .. to the minute quantum mechanics, and just about any other science in between that range. just interested ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:17 PM Lack of cross-guidance support makes the 1/11 threat pretty low probability at the moment. GFS is the one model that wants to not bury so much energy southwest. Ukie and Canadian weren’t too far off. I fully expect the euro to bury this to Cabo because it loves doing that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:17 PM 36 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Thanks Dr Ray. But Plenty here breed tension…I’m not unreasonable by any means. Have a great weekend. JD...some helpful advice....emojis are a pretty good barometer of the general board sentiment...notice most of your contributions to this exchange end up with excrement attached to them?? This is a solid sign that your posting style is breeding the most tension. You have a great weekend, as well. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Saturday at 05:19 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:19 PM 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: January ended when Prismshine started this thread. No brainier 1 hour ago, cleetussnow said: This is something we can all get behind. I’m naming the Feb thread. 12z GFS says otherwise, haters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:19 PM GFS has been atrocious this winter . It had that cane of 38 run the other day and next run was sunny and cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Saturday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:21 PM 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ensembles have a storm signal but pretty far offshore. Workable I guess. Op was definitely a wild member. Yea but improved. West leaners as well. OP definitely snorted a few lines from chief wiggum’s stash pile at the precinct. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Saturday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:21 PM 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ensembles have a storm signal but pretty far offshore. Workable I guess. Op was definitely a wild member. bun me if one needs to ...i have little left to protect ... but i don't think the solution is altogether terrible. i spent time going over this this morning - what's amusing is that i specifically pointed out that the better timed expulsion of the southern wave, out of the sw, was less likely, because leaving that behind is actually a better fit for the western ridge ..etc..etc. in my defense, however, this run makes my point. the entire sensitivity pretty much comes/came down to the amount of stream interaction and if/when there'd actually be a s component to this thing. in principle, the run isn't bad in that space. course it doesn't mean it's going to happen, either.. just sayn' the gefs mean is a huge trend potentially though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:23 PM 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: bun me if one needs to ...i have little left to protect ... but i don't think the solution is altogether terrible. i spent time going over this this morning - what's amusing is that i specifically pointed out that the better timed expulsion of the southern wave, out of the sw, was less likely, because leaving that behind is actually a better fit for the western ridge ..etc..etc. in my defense, however, this run makes my point. the entire sensitivity pretty much comes/came down to the amount of stream interaction and if/when there'd actually be a s component to this thing. in principle, the run isn't bad in that space I agree that I think it’s somewhat likely a larger storm occurs if you eject and phase that southern stream considering how meridional the northern steam is. Almost every single solution that phases it has been pretty huge going back a week when it was out at D14-15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 05:24 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:24 PM 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ensembles have a storm signal but pretty far offshore. Workable I guess. Op was definitely a wild member. EPS had a few stronger members as well. just a signal for now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Saturday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:26 PM 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: JD...some helpful advice....emojis are a pretty good barometer of the general board sentiment...notice most of your contributions to this exchange end up with excrement attached to them?? This is a solid sign that your posting style is breeding the most tension. You have a great weekend, as well. Wow..lol. I’ll have to start emoji-ing the excrement sign more often I guess. Cuz there’s lot of that here, that I just most times let go. But thanks again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 05:28 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:28 PM 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GFS has been atrocious this winter . It had that cane of 38 run the other day and next run was sunny and cold Like I have said for a couple of days...odds are against this one, but more of a shot with this than the one this weekend...we watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Like I have said for a couple of days...odds are against this one, but more of a shot with this than the one this weekend...we watch. Get us a few nickel and dimes and we’d all be happy 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Wow..lol. I’ll have to start emoji-ing the excrement sign more often I guess. Cuz there’s lot of that here, that I just most times let go. But thanks again. My initial sarcastic response to you wasn't helpful, either...I accept responsibility for that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM I think the 1/14-1/20 period will likely have a couple chances too. You’re relaxing the block a bit but it’s still there. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GFS has been atrocious this winter . It had that cane of 38 run the other day and next run was sunny and cold What do you expect 300 Hours out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Saturday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:33 PM 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think the 1/14-1/20 period will likely have a couple chances too. You’re relaxing the block a bit but it’s still there. Euro not burying the energy in the sw, should show I storm this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: well, here comes the ECMWF we take!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM ECMWF phases! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: bun me if one needs to ...i have little left to protect ... but i don't think the solution is altogether terrible. i spent time going over this this morning - what's amusing is that i specifically pointed out that the better timed expulsion of the southern wave, out of the sw, was less likely, because leaving that behind is actually a better fit for the western ridge ..etc..etc. in my defense, however, this run makes my point. the entire sensitivity pretty much comes/came down to the amount of stream interaction and if/when there'd actually be a s component to this thing. in principle, the run isn't bad in that space. course it doesn't mean it's going to happen, either.. just sayn' the gefs mean is a huge trend potentially though. Yeah, I think we all agree on that point of a storm either will or won’t happen depending on how that energy behaves to the southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:35 PM 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: bun me if one needs to ...i have little left to protect ... but i don't think the solution is altogether terrible. i spent time going over this this morning - what's amusing is that i specifically pointed out that the better timed expulsion of the southern wave, out of the sw, was less likely, because leaving that behind is actually a better fit for the western ridge ..etc..etc. in my defense, however, this run makes my point. the entire sensitivity pretty much comes/came down to the amount of stream interaction and if/when there'd actually be a s component to this thing. in principle, the run isn't bad in that space. course it doesn't mean it's going to happen, either.. just sayn' the gefs mean is a huge trend potentially though. Appears as though Kev needed to lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:35 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What do you expect 300 Hours out? Consistency . Example .. someone who posts a lot of whiny posts continues to do that If that helps to understand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:35 PM Might need that to stay positively tilted lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Saturday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:36 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: Might need that to stay positively tilted lol. Airmass gets eeekkk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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