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Joker January


Prismshine Productions
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  On 1/8/2025 at 3:50 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I got that beat....

2018: -15.5"

2019: -19"

2020: -12"

2021: -20.5"

2022: -22.5"

2023: -28.75"

2024: ~ - 20-25", so far...

 

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Yea it’s been a bad stretch due to warmth; not lack of precip.
 

What’s kinda crazy though is if you go back to 2015 it’s pretty damn close to your climate average, despite this stretch. 
 

I think we’re missing dry years and this looks like the first in a while…

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  On 1/8/2025 at 12:24 PM, Modfan2 said:

All kidding aside, Fire Danger is currently high. With these winds and someone dumping wood stove ash it would take much for a fire to spread.

Living in FL for 9 years it was interesting to watch Florida Forestry or Parks perform routine large prescribed burns to control growth; not sure they do that in CA

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They don't do that in Cali,  that's part of the problem... they say it's environmentally irresponsible to perform that type of preventative maint. :rolleyes:

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I was saying to my wife last night that the cold is biting me more now that I'm in my 50s, especially with the constant wind. And as much as I'd love to see some snow and at least not completely waste the cold, there is part of me that's appreciated not having to wrestle with the snowblower.

I'm sure we'll pad our stats in March and April when it's all transient. Bring in Joe Milton.

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  On 1/8/2025 at 1:29 PM, Lava Rock said:

-13F on this day in 2015

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KBOS hit -1.

And was sitting at 5.5" of snow for the season on 1/23 (half of which fell in November).

So far, give me this Jan over anything in the past decade aside from 2022 and 2018 (and 2018 started out cold and snowy but was 60 by the 12th.

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  On 1/8/2025 at 1:00 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

There was some discussion here on how dry/ drought falls always lead to dry winters . Dec obviously wasn’t dry .. but Jan went right back to it. We’ll see how Feb turns out before spring begins 

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Warm and dry February would be awesome.  Then lets get a BECS with 30 burgers for you northern folks in Morch.  This cold, dry, windy shit sucks.

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  On 1/8/2025 at 3:27 PM, wx2fish said:

Some hints at an IVT type look into Tuesday, but obviously that's a fickle setup. 

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I feel like its a setup like that which will pan out :lol: 

The ones that get little attention 4 days out and then all of a sudden 2-3 days out you have a nice QPF field showing up. But that's a nice shortwave digging in

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  On 1/8/2025 at 3:25 PM, MJO812 said:

Majority of people would want a negative NAO, negative AO , negative epo and positive PNA but maybe too favorable isn't a good thing ?

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You’ve lost the entire plot my friend. There literally is no such thing as a good thing anymore. Not here. 

  On 1/8/2025 at 3:30 PM, weatherwiz said:

I feel like its a setup like that which will pan out :lol: 

The ones that get little attention 4 days out and then all of a sudden 2-3 days out you have a nice QPF field showing up. But that's a nice shortwave digging in

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Today. Call me when that nice shortwave has survived the journey in a meaningful form.

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  On 1/8/2025 at 3:53 PM, Allsnow said:

The forever p5 torch winters have taken a backseat this year 

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100% literally, they were better for me....I had a 19" event one year ago...Dec 2022 I narrowly missed a huge one right before Xmas if not for a polar beer queen sending the PV to phase too far west....January 2023 was active with reasonable snowfall, and in March 2023 I JUST missed another huge event due to bizarre nipple low delaying a transfer. I would take those past 2 winters X100 over this cold, dry, cracked rusty, back alley coat hanger of a season.

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  On 1/8/2025 at 4:01 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

100% literally, they were better for me....I had a 19" event one year ago...Dec 2022 I narrowly missed a huge one right before Xmas if not for a polar beer queen sending the PV to phase too far west....January 2023 was active with reasonable snowfall, and in March 2023 I JUST missed another huge event due to bizarre nipple low delaying a transfer. I would take those past 2 winters X100 over this cold, dry, cracked rusty, back alley coat hanger of a season.

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Not shocking 

@bluewave feels we only need below avg temps in December and March for snow. January/feb all about storm track

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