Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:19 PM To everyone worrying about it being warm… Take a break.. you want gfs west right now. You don’t want day 5 jacks 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Even with confluence and maritime traffic, it hauls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: To everyone bitching about it being warm. Take a break you want gfs west right now. You don’t want day 5 jacks Yep. That block is going to provide some resistance. Ptype issues are plausible but likely the tail leftward distribution on this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Can we just get that near Nantucket and everyone wins? 3 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:21 PM 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: You just need to see that the NS phase is happening. The exact surface depiction is irrelevant. I’d rather keep seeing nuclear detonations near the coast vs 200 miles off Virginia Beach. Little less blocking upstream yielded to some higher heights out ahead at the surface that got this further north, Thats what i was looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:21 PM Left goalpost. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 10:22 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 10:22 PM Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Left goalpost. nah let that be center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:23 PM GEFS look to come in much more amped too 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 10:24 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 10:24 PM GEFS with a phase and a little more confluence so that will help wrap that vort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Monday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:25 PM 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Little less blocking upstream yielded to some higher height out ahead at the surface that got this further north, Thats what i was looking for. 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: To everyone worrying about it being warm… Take a break.. you want gfs west right now. You don’t want day 5 jacks A couple runs notwithstanding, I have loved this look overall. This can absolutely be a megalopolis/region wide KU. The whole trend for multiple cycles has been positive, surface depictions be damned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted Monday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:25 PM 7 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: congrats to the slantsticker who got 30.2". Is that you Ray? That would actually be Lancaster or Clinton MA verbatim. By the way thank you for posting the 10:1 ratio snowfall map and not the Kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Monday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:25 PM holy crap GEFS. way more phasing 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:25 PM 7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: To everyone worrying about it being warm… Take a break.. you want gfs west right now. You don’t want day 5 jacks the models is doing it's typical 2C warm bias beyond 100 hrs song and dance anyway. that totality of the synoptic manifold wouldn't see a cf much nw of the rt 1/95 split ...and only there for about 10 minutes before collapsing in the blinding frappe neutral PP in the ambience might limit some wind but that much negative tilt and raw dpva ... ?, not sure there won't be some gravity wave perturbation with enhanced banding do to the truly awesome uvm chimney/restoring. wouldn't want to be just south in the return flow because this thing looks like a slam dunk for a fold event 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Monday at 10:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:26 PM I’ll take the taint. The front end would make up for and the back end would neutralize it. Besides, most of the taint in metro west is dryslot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted Monday at 10:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:26 PM 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yep. That block is going to provide some resistance. Ptype issues are plausible but likely the tail leftward distribution on this. I like seeing snows fairly close to the coast despite an unfavorable low track. Shows that we have some room for error here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Monday at 10:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:26 PM 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 92 replica Luckily a lot colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 10:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:27 PM I noticed a lot less PNA folding over on 18z and GEFS doing the same thing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 10:28 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 10:28 PM 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: the models is doing it's typical 2C warm bias beyond 100 hrs song and dance anyway. yeah, got a feeling N MA/S VT could get 1-15:1 if that varified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted Monday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:28 PM at 18z euro the caving begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinmass Posted Monday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:28 PM In my mind, I can hear Barry Burbank putting that serious voice on and explaining the risk/scenarios on the 6pm news tonight… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted Monday at 10:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:30 PM Boston mets are putting the scenarios on the table. They're all waiting on the Euro though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted Monday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:32 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: Can we just get that near Nantucket and everyone wins? Actually think that's a distinct possibility! Almost like the 18z gfs is bit of an over correction of its recent more westward trend compared to the flat euro. While a complete phase could yank this further north & west as this run implies, I'd look for the gfs to trend eastward in its next run. Not sure confluence and blocky nature off to the north may argue for a more south / east track when all is said and done... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted Monday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:32 PM 12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: To everyone worrying about it being warm… Take a break.. you want gfs west right now. You don’t want day 5 jacks Actually, knowing the GFS slightly cold bias you want this east right now. Too close for comfort this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted Monday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:32 PM Here is the 10:1 ratio for those who want a bit of more realism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:34 PM Poor Euro . Embarrassing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:36 PM 3 minutes ago, FXWX said: Actually think that's a distinct possibility! Almost like the 18z gfs is bit of an over correction of its recent more westward trend compared to the flat euro. While a complete phase could yank this further north & west as this run implies, I'd look for the gfs to trend eastward in its next run. Not sure confluence and blocky nature off to the north may argue for a more south / east track when all is said and done... I’m just entertaining solutions at this point. Will be good to get a storm and break up the mundane weather for years. Not much to add other than it’s all or nothing I think. Don’t see much in between. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:36 PM 4 minutes ago, Greg said: Actually, knowing the GFS slightly cold bias you want this east right now. Too close for comfort this early. Not with everything else east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:37 PM That’s definitely Ray revenge storm. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted Monday at 10:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:38 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That’s definitely Ray revenge storm. Where's my revenge? Clown maps show me getting pummeled, but I don't believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted Monday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:39 PM 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Poor Euro . Embarrassing Who looks at the FV3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now