WxWatcher007 Posted Monday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:47 PM Flurries here in East Hartford. At least I got a T out of the DC storm lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:50 PM I would have to say, Going to need to see more then just one GFS OP run producing this, Just stick to the Ensembles for now, They have showed improvements the last few cycles. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted Monday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:50 PM Amazing how bad the roads (drivers?) can be when you get a surprise 1/2" with temps in the low 20s. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:52 PM Looks like the difference with the northern stream energy become apparent in the 36-42 hour window. So it probably won't be until 0z at the earlies Tuesday night or 12z Wednesday morning that we get a much clearer idea of what guidance has the best general idea with the northern stream energy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted Monday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:52 PM 43 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I'll take a #4 please. As much as I want warm weather already, if we're going to do this let's do it BIGLY!! In other news, it's snowing. Ground is turning white. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted Monday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:52 PM 12 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Roads are a freaking mess down here. Crews caught with their pants around their ankles. TBF to the road crews, OKX still saying only a 20-40% chance of light snow this afternoon as of their 1202 update even though it's been snowing steadily across all of their CT zones for the last couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:53 PM 1 minute ago, snowman21 said: TBF to the road crews, OKX still saying only a 20-40% chance of light snow this afternoon as of their 1202 update even though it's been snowing steadily across all of their CT zones for the last couple of hours. quarter to a half inch on the roads across all of the southern third of the state, Litchfield county as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:55 PM Northern stream is driving the bus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted Monday at 05:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:57 PM 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: quarter to a half inch on the roads across all of the southern third of the state, Litchfield county as well.. Yeah that's about what we have. Decent sized fluffy flakes coming down with vis about a mile maybe a shade under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 05:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:57 PM Gfs/gefs on its own. GL to that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted Monday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:58 PM 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Northern stream is driving the bus. Drive it over MVY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:59 PM 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Looks like the difference with the northern stream energy become apparent in the 36-42 hour window. So it probably won't be until 0z at the earlies Tuesday night or 12z Wednesday morning that we get a much clearer idea of what guidance has the best general idea with the northern stream energy. I said yesterday it would probably be Wednesday before we knew for sure what was going to happen with this. Looks to be so. And let’s see what the EPS looks like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Gfs/gefs on its own. GL to that. CMC has a beast just off the coast, and GEPS is not too far off from GEFS.. So Euro on its own with a whiff that far East.. Would like to see EPS amped more and move NW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:01 PM Yeah it’s Euro vs the world right now. And this ain’t Joe Mama’s Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:03 PM 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I said yesterday it would probably be Wednesday before we knew for sure what was going to happen with this. Looks to be so. And let’s see what the EPS looks like? Just want to see EPS have some sort of stride towards the GEFS...that's all that would matter right now. Even if it was just a smidge of trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Monday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:03 PM EPS certainly has improved vs 0/6z 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Monday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:04 PM Looked to me like the Euro op is about 6 hrs faster than at 0z. With the improvement in the northern stream, if it can slow down we can pull it further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:04 PM Btw, nice steady light snow here the last hour..coating. We were progged for zero. So a small win with this thing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted Monday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:04 PM I'm getting tired of this back and fourth its exhausting. Blizzard or bust pick one and leave me be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:04 PM 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Just want to see EPS have some sort of stride towards the GEFS...that's all that would matter right now. Even if it was just a smidge of trend. Absolutely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:05 PM EPS mean did not look great to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Monday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:06 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: EPS mean did not look great to me I was going by individual members distribution vs prior 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:06 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: EPS mean did not look great to me She gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted Monday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:07 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 78blizzard is waiting for Uncle and Canadian. It would have to come just a little bit north of this track to get something relatively close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:07 PM 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS certainly has improved vs 0/6z 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: EPS mean did not look great to me These are not the same. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted Monday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:08 PM 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS certainly has improved vs 0/6z 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: EPS mean did not look great to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Monday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:08 PM Just now, WinterWolf said: These are not the same. Perhaps it was an improvement however still looks bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted Monday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:08 PM 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Put the 10 to 1 ratio one not the Kuchera. It will depict slightly more realism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 06:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:09 PM I was just going by the mean, I have not seen individual members. Don’t yell at me yell at the model. 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Monday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:10 PM Confidence is not inspiring with the 12z suite with the GFS/GEFS all alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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