Heisy Posted Sunday at 11:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:27 PM Not as much as GFS, step in right direction at least. Euro Ai Has been nailing things lately, 18z euro kind of looks like 12z euro Ai with the amount of phasing. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Sunday at 11:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:28 PM Definitely workable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 11:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:29 PM Better then 12z But probably wasn't going to look like the 18z GFS at hr 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Sunday at 11:30 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:30 PM Upper levels look pretty damn good. Perfect, no but given the stage we're at there isn't much more you can really ask for with the look. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 11:32 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:32 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted Sunday at 11:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:34 PM Will someone explain what is "LBSW?" Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Sunday at 11:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:34 PM 6 minutes ago, Heisy said: Not as much as GFS, step in right direction at least. Euro Ai Has been nailing things lately, 18z euro kind of looks like 12z euro Ai with the amount of phasing. . they aren’t all that different… can easily get the ECMWF to a GFS-like bomb 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Sunday at 11:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:37 PM 1 hour ago, Heisy said: Don’t worry about specifics, worry about the phase early on. Icon and GFS just surprisingly brought it back. This is an all or nothing situation, anxiously awaiting Euro . This reminds me somewhat of the Blizzard of 1978 which might not have happened without the phase of systems. And we didn't know whether they would phase almost up until go time. But there was a lot less technology available back then to determine that. The models were rudimentary. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted Sunday at 11:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:41 PM 4 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: Will someone explain what is "LBSW?" Thanks. “Light Breeze, Some Wind” J/K! It’s actually “Load Blown SouthWest” which I understand to be a New England forum exclusive term that I interpret as a/the storm developing or hitting to our Southwest, rather than hitting New England. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted Sunday at 11:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:44 PM 2 minutes ago, Layman said: “Light Breeze, Some Wind” J/K! It’s actually “Load Blown SouthWest” which I understand to be a New England forum exclusive term that I interpret as a/the storm developing or hitting to our Southwest, rather than hitting New England. Thank you. That should definitely be incorporated into the standard meteorological lexicon. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM Greenfield has had flurries five days in a row now and a ripping snow squall Thurs night. Same here minus the squallSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM 47 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: awesome.. I never even knew you could do that Day 5 of flakes in the air here. My trash barrels are covered...lol Scooter is very excited 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Sunday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:48 PM EPS is making good changes here 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 11:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:49 PM 15 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: Will someone explain what is "LBSW?" Thanks. Heaviest snow falls SW. Like all of CT/ NYC southwest . And NOP sees lower amounts . Load blown SW . AMATT hates them 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted Sunday at 11:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:50 PM 15 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: Will someone explain what is "LBSW?" Thanks. Load Blown South West 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Sunday at 11:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:50 PM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Heaviest snow falls SW. Like all of CT/ NYC southwest . And NOP sees lower amounts Yep. I think Ray coined it a few years back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 11:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:52 PM Its typical of Miller A's a they mature further south then occlude as the come north, But we need to get a storm first and worry about the finer details later. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted Sunday at 11:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:53 PM First piece should be well sampled by tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 11:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:53 PM 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Heaviest snow falls SW. Like all of CT/ NYC southwest . And NOP sees lower amounts . Load blown SW . AMATT hates them In this case NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Sunday at 11:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:53 PM Having the bull’s-eye down in Philly in New York doesn’t bother me one week out. Especially since the blocking should be weakening the strengthening then so the trend should be to push it a little further north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted Sunday at 11:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:54 PM Have seen big storms with less workable parameters. It is worth watching, why? It is the only game in town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Sunday at 11:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:54 PM Let's see if we can get the GFS OP to show some consistency. Prob won't happen until Tuesday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted Sunday at 11:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:55 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: In this case NJ January 2016 remix lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Sunday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:56 PM LBSW was patented by Ray. It means storm comes to maturity SW of New England and the effects here are muted somewhat. Eg: what DC is about to get is NOT LBSW, it’s just a storm that missed us. In LBSW the storm hits us but it’s occluding. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 12:00 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:00 AM 9 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS is making good changes here Better but we can’t afford subsequent cycles taking a step back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 12:03 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:03 AM 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: In this case NJ 90 south on the 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 12:08 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:08 AM 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Did you not see yesterday 12z? I did, but it has flip flopped every run since yesterday's 18z. I guess it's a small sample size but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted Monday at 12:15 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:15 AM 20 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Let's see if we can get the GFS OP to show some consistency. Prob won't happen until Tuesday Tuesday of what decade? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Monday at 12:25 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:25 AM 31 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Having the bull’s-eye down in Philly in New York doesn’t bother me one week out. Especially since the blocking should be weakening the strengthening then so the trend should be to push it a little further north. No...Jan 2015 started like that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 12:26 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:26 AM 31 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Let's see if we can get the GFS OP to show some consistency. Prob won't happen until Tuesday Exactly what I'm thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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