Jester January

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Thanks.  
 

I’d be pretty happy if that solution played as is at 18z too I think.  At least something to track is a good thing.  

Yeah if that H7 low came a bit south there would be no fangs.

[ineedsnow]

Ummm I'm locking that in for here 

[Prismshine Productions]

Will only be spotty here the next 24 hours... Wife got to put down her childhood cat tomorrow so I am going to be unavailable since I am going to be providing emotional support. After all, family before weather, this is just a hobby so it takes a backburner

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[Layman]

1 minute ago, cleetussnow said:

I’d say thread this after tomorrow’s 12z runs if we stay the course tween now and then.  Tip gets the honors.

F-it, I’m gonna thread it right now.

Leeroooooooy Jeeeeeenkinnnnnns!!!!!

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You’ve already adopted the biggest clown map of all time. Absolutely nothing can go wrong. Locked in and to the moon…

We should have more fun around here.

Somewhere I still have the epic euro run from Feb 2013 and a handful of tropical nukes. 

[Prismshine Productions]

F-it, I’m gonna thread it right now.
Leeroooooooy Jeeeeeenkinnnnnns!!!!!

DONT DO IT

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[CoastalWx]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

We should have more fun around here.

Somewhere I still have the epic euro run from Feb 2013 and a handful of tropical nukes. 

lol at the avatar

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Will only be spotty here the next 24 hours... Wife got to put down her childhood cat tomorrow so I am going to be unavailable since I am going to be providing emotional support. After all, family before weather, this is just a hobby so it takes a backburner

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Sorry to hear. Sucks losing a pet. 

[weatherwiz]

ahhhh yes stimulation. I hope as we get closer we're seeing a perfect crosshair signal with -50 to -60 ub/s. 

[Prismshine Productions]

Sorry to hear. Sucks losing a pet. 

Yeah, he got diagnosed with cancer last week and was given 6 months, but last 12 hours really took a turn for the worst

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

OP keeps running way left of gefs and every member but gefs mean keeps ticking closer to the BM with most members leaning west so it’s definitely sniffing something. 

[cleetussnow]

1 minute ago, Layman said:

F-it, I’m gonna thread it right now.

Leeroooooooy Jeeeeeenkinnnnnns!!!!!

 

[Prismshine Productions]

OP keeps running way left of gefs and every member but gefs mean keeps ticking closer to the BM with most members leaning west so it’s definitely sniffing something. 

Really weird for the GEFS to be the one "following the leader"... Got to be a really big signal developing in the ensemble noise for it to baby step towards OP

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[Prismshine Productions]

 

At least if it doesn't materialize, it is not my fault.

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[weathafella]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This would crawl with the block 

Actually that’s true.  But it would then quickly occlude reducing intensity of qpf so we need to score in the first half imho.

[Layman]

1 minute ago, cleetussnow said:

 

You guys got to know the Leeroy Jenkins meme, no?

https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/leeroy-jenkins 

[ORH_wxman]

27 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That’s a monster front end though and H7 basically tracks along the Pike as the center quickly shoots east. Not worth worrying about details though. Still need to have the actual storm first.

Yeah I wouldn’t even care about the dryslot on that if we actually got the front end. Reminds me of the Mar ‘17 front ender. I think I had 15” in about 8 hours on that. 

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Yeah, he got diagnosed with cancer last week and was given 6 months, but last 12 hours really took a turn for the worst

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Same happened to ours a couple months ago.. we tried everything.. but then knew it was time.. sorry to hear

[ORH_wxman]

[ROOSTA]

As modeled now 18z would have precipitation type issues. Inside 495 down to C Ct. it would be a bummer.
Instead of a 2' they'd only be looking at maybe 4-6" BRUTAL.

[MJO812]

18z euro at 144

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, MJO812 said:

18z euro at 144

Post H5

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Big gefs signal

[ROOSTA]

I'm still rooting for the 13th as originally thought a few days back. 

[Typhoon Tip]

i actually wanted to start a long lead 'experiment outlook' thread, that same material i began discussing back on page 30 something of this thread.   sometime between xmass and ny...   i've been hightlighting 8/9/10/11 several times ever since

since, this thread's actually been pretty good at coverage so ...

typically, unless it's a thread where that intent and purpose is explicitly that above, I don't typically start a threat-specific date until D7 at that earliest.  

we're sort of on that boundary - yeah... but i'd like a better bite by the eps mean frankly. and have a chance to analyze it.  i suspect we're on the verge of getting that.  we'll see.   it's a damn big beacon of a signal though

[Damage In Tolland]

I’m getting that tingle down below 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m getting that tingle down below 

Gina?

[WxWatcher007]

Amazing how we can go from brawling to kumbaya in the span of a couple hours. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

With a lot more s stream involvement, I wouldn’t mind this being outside the BM for another couple days. We know how miller A’s trend…

[EastonSN+]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Big eps signal

I hope this one works out