ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 2 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Even if models keep showing the possibility of an event next weekend, please please please don't create a thread before the Tues 12z models. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You don’t post funny stuff much but this is gold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 That meme is great. I saw that for a different reason yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Gfs looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 18z GFS will be a bit north of the 12z run it appears for the 12th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Prob end more tucked than 12z . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 This is going to elicit one hell of a storm holy shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z GFS will be a bit north of the 12z run it appears for the 12th. Yup--north and west. aka......umbrellas for some? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Going to nuke, Going LBSW as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Prob end more tucked than 12z . I dunno. Doors open 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Going to nuke, Going LBSW as well. Yeah. Next 3 frames….interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 That would be something...widespread blizzard with major coastal flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 What a bomb, Down to 969mb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Tucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 it actually kinda should be west with that ridge like that tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Miller As will do this. Still good for 7.5 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: it actually kinda should be west with that ridge like that tho Yeah real tucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Tucked. Explosive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 it really wasn't west - y'all got fooled. it was 3-6 hrs faster along the track and rate of development, both maybe a tiny bit but it's really rather more so remarkable good continuity for this range. wow to that point alone - 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I'll take a 967 near the benchmark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 jesus, we're almost back to that crazy run from 4 days ago holy smokes! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Despite being a week out and as intense of a solution as this is, the good news is this isn't farfetched at all...it has merit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Went from a clean whiff to some having P-Type issues............. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: jesus, we're almost back to that crazy run from 4 days ago holy smokes! I was thinking that too…it was New Year’s Eve(Tue) that it showed that bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I'm a bit leary of Miller A's though for up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 That’s 12+ for most of us and the 12+ is conservative. Ray up to the lakes region over to PWM get 2 feet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 That’s tucked but thankfully that block up north helps keep those 925s solid. Still tough for immediate coast at the height of it but just inland would slay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Miller As will do this. Still good for 7.5 days out not sure phasing/capture is a Miller A it's like a Miller D ...seriously... or C or something but it's not a gulf wave running up along the ec. yeah, there's an instantiation of surface wave associated with tennessee valley convection/vestigial b-c axis, but the capture and bombing is really the take-off plateform and it's more of a "cloaked Miller B" so to speak - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: But to be fair, these were op run solutions beyond 10 days out. I mean, I can’t get mad at that. what has been frustrating is that nothing seem to be materializing although perhaps we’ll have something in seven or eight days. Yep, you were right. Two runs in a row now...I would like to see it on some other guidance too. I know the EPS improved so hopefully that continues tonight. Can't say I feel too great about being close to the jackpot zone at 7 days out but at least there seems like a good chance of something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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