Jester January

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That would take care of both our snow issues in our respective areas for riding, if that thing came into like the gulf of Maine like that. 

That's where these need to go for the county to get there snow, We get some upslope in NW Maine so its not as critical but yes, Both areas benefit.

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, George001 said:

I like seeing both the gfs and Euro ejecting more energy. But there are a couple things telling me to pump the breaks here. This isn’t a classic setup, it’s too thread the needle for my liking. It’s unfortunate the 6th got squashed because the airmass was a lot better for that one. 
 

1. The western ridge axis is too far west

2. The airmass is marginal, leaving less room for error in terms of a coastal hugger track. If there is a storm, ptype issues are a very real concern for the coast.

Eps made a step in the right direction

[dryslot]

I think if anything its going to be either the one or the 12th or the 18th, I don't think we can see both.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I think if anything its going to be either the one or the 12th or the 18th, I don't think we can see both.

No back to back?

[ice1972]

What does the AI Euro have to say? Lol

[dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

No back to back?

The baroclinic zone gets pretty far east after the one on the 12th if that was to happen.

[brooklynwx99]

EPS is definitely more phase-y

[dryslot]

Just now, ice1972 said:

What does the AI Euro have to say? Lol

Drink up.

[dryslot]

[Heisy]

What does the AI Euro have to say? Lol

Comes out later today, 6z was mid Atlantic hit with partial phase.

EPS looks better so far more phasing occurring.


.

[Typhoon Tip]

yet ..the euro's even leaving a lot on the table ...

look at this slope back from negative interference - it's clearly having trouble with this 9/10/11 period of time.   they all have been -

[40/70 Benchmark]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Looks like the blocking relaxes as this makes the corner, Euro also didn't leave the S/W behind in Cabo either

Still need to contend with the LBSW element, but first things first...

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

Comes out later today, 6z was mid Atlantic hit with partial phase.

EPS looks better so far more phasing occurring.


.

When you enter the subform, shit is getting real-

[brooklynwx99]

pretty obvious trend towards more phasing here as we enter the EPS's wheelhouse

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

When you enter the subform, shit is getting real-

Heiny?

[Maestrobjwa]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Still need to contend with the LBSW element, but first things first...

LBSW?

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, George001 said:

I like seeing both the gfs and Euro ejecting more energy. But there are a couple things telling me to pump the breaks here. This isn’t a classic setup, it’s too thread the needle for my liking. It’s unfortunate the 6th got squashed because the airmass was a lot better for that one. 
 

1. The western ridge axis is too far west

2. The airmass is marginal, leaving less room for error in terms of a coastal hugger track. If there is a storm, ptype issues are a very real concern for the coast.

Good.

All set with January 2022.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

LBSW?

Load blown SouthWest

[CoastalWx]

Hopefully the CF sets up over Windham NH with deep erly flow.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

LBSW?

Load Blown South West

Occlusion/early cut off-capture.

[Greg]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Good.

All set with January 2022.

Same here. Just don't want this track to hug the coastline and go straight into the Gulf of Maine. The GFS track would be best here for now.

[Allsnow]

Snow mean looks interesting on the eps 

 

even more impressive is the mean for DFW at 5

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Greg said:

Same here. Just don't want this track to hug the coastline and go straight into the Gulf of Maine. The GFS track would be best here for now.

Not worried about this yet, but GFS is not ideal for us...better for Jersey, like Boxing Day. But I would rather need a later phase than earlier.

[ORH_wxman]

Still dragging its heels a bit but a lot better than previous runs

[Go Kart Mozart]

11 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

What does the AI Euro have to say? Lol

Can only see 06z...still full-on Carmen San Diego on that run

[Prismshine Productions]

Surprised you didn't used the Kuchie... That was pure eye candy

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not worried about this yet, but GFS is not ideal for us...better for Jersey, like Boxing Day. But I would rather need a later phase than earlier.

Splitting the difference would prob be good. Euro doesn’t go nuclear until Maine on the OP run. GFS maxes out down near NYC. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully the CF sets up over Windham NH with deep erly flow.

Yes, I'd take 8" of mashies over a foot of sand while areas 10 mi east get 22".

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Splitting the difference would prob be good. Euro doesn’t go nuclear until Maine on the OP run. GFS maxes out down near NYC. 

Yup..not a bad spot.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, I'd take 8" of mashies over a foot of sand while areas 10 mi east get 22".

Get it to max near ACK