Jester January

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think it was 2021-2022 NJ had that fantastic season, while I ket watching everything hit the Mass pike and shred to shit.

2020-21

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

I wasn’t talking about your specific area Ray…as a whole I was meaning. look at Anthony’s last 4-5 seasons, and south of him too. Some places zero or less than an inch or two. We’ve all been screwed over the last few years. Just overall they seem to be even worse.  That’s all. 

No, not worse than me.

That's all.

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Let the widespread panic begin!

 

 

Scrolled through it with my thumb and didn’t see one H5 image in the 32 minutes. lol

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

2020-21

But we did pretty well in that season too. That was the last decent one for most of the area. 

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Scrolled through it with my thumb and didn’t see one H5 image in the 32 minutes. lol

He was trying to keep it Direct.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

2020-21

Right....then the next year was the blizzard that hosed me.

That is my point...locales south of NYC have had a good season or two. There are areas up here that have not. As far as 1-2" seasons....you won't see that this far north...no shit. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

But we did pretty well in that season too. That was the best decent one for most of the area. 

Yeah it's my only AN snowfall season since 2017-18. Boston and the immediate coast had AN snow in 2021-22 but nobody west of them did.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, not worse than me.

That's all.

Ok your area sucks there lol…but you did have the big win last January there. But that’s been it.  You’re gonna get yours…it’s coming. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

But we did pretty well in that season too. That was the best decent one for most of the area. 

Not all of us, which is my point.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Scrolled through it with my thumb and didn’t see one H5 image in the 32 minutes. lol

Guy is a clown.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok your area sucks there lol…but you did have the big win last January there. But that’s been it.  You’re gonna get yours…it’s coming. 

Yes, that storm was excellent...one of three worthwhile events I have had in 7 years, along with 2-1-2021 and 12/2019.

[DJln491]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

We take the model developed by Miles Bennett Dyson.

 took me a minute

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not all of us, which is my point.

Ya your area sucked again…pay back for March of 18 still.   That’s been expensive for you.  But you’re due too, so it’s coming. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya your area sucked again…pay back for March of 18 still.   That’s been expensive for you.  But you’re due too, so it’s coming. 

I would say CT has skated most realtive to climo...not as much regression there since 2015.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya your area sucked again…pay back for March of 18 still.   That’s been expensive for you.  But you’re due too, so it’s coming. 

NE MA and SE NH is overdue for some big events. All of New England has had it relatively rough the past 5-6 seasons in aggregate, but that area is a pretty decent snowfall climo area that has been shafted worse than most spots relative to climo.

It has been the lack of SWFEs and late blooming Miller B storms that is probably the biggest culprits. Those are the ones they clean up on.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

NE MA and SE NH is overdue for some big events. All of New England has had it relatively rough the past 5-6 seasons in aggregate, but that area is a pretty decent snowfall climo area that has been shafted worse than most spots relative to climo.

It has been the lack of SWFEs and late blooming Miller B storms that is probably the biggest culprits. Those are the ones they clean up on.

Precisely.

[tamarack]

16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think it was 2021-2022 NJ had that fantastic season, while I ket watching everything hit the Mass pike and shred to shit.

The year before.  Some sites there had more snow in February than we saw for the whole winter.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Precisely.

Interior SE NH like 20 miles north of you might be even worse relative to climo, but that whole area from like Reading, MA to Epping/Deerfield, NH has been screwed badly.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Interior SE NH like 20 miles north of you might be even worse relative to climo, but that whole area from like Reading, MA to Epping/Deerfield, NH has been screwed badly.

Agreed, they are....pay back for March 2001

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This very well could be a great pattern for the mid Atlantic and south. Lots of Op runs have been grinding up shortwaves and we are left with a shredded mess or nothing.

 

I could easily envision a scenario where we wait until the block relaxes in late Jan or early Feb before we see a legit chance 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This very well could be a great pattern for the mid Atlantic and south. Lots of Op runs have been grinding up shortwaves and we are left with a shredded mess or nothing.

 

I could easily envision a scenario where we wait until the block relaxes in late Jan or early Feb before we see a legit chance 

I think in addition to the block relaxing we would also want to see the pattern reload some. I think if its just the block relaxing on its own then we probably get screwed because of a stale, rotting airmass. Isn't this what happened in 2009? or maybe both 2009 and 2011.

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Agreed, they are....pay back for March 2001

ORH has had a few shaft jobs the past winter or two too even in storms that hit areas nearby. Feels like they are getting some payback for this 6 winter stretch....that's actually a ridiculous stretch relative to climo (about 70" long term mean).

 

[EastonSN+]

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya your area sucked again…pay back for March of 18 still.   That’s been expensive for you.  But you’re due too, so it’s coming. 

Here in Southwest CT March of 2018 was our snowiest March of all time although not as much as eastern Mass.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would say CT has skated most realtive to climo...not as much regression there since 2015.

We’ve been a little haven here some…but it’s sucked overall too.  Every region has places that have had it even worse than others. Generally speaking it’s sucked for all of us.  Yours has been one of those areas.  
 

But 2015 wasn’t the record breaker, blockbuster that eastern areas, and you and SE areas had.  It was above normal here for sure…but it was very lack luster in comparison.  And so was March of 18 here(one good event here, vs 3 great ones out east) Hmm, who knows, maybe that’s why we haven’t seen it quite as bad as other areas in the overall suckage that has been the last few years.  I know that’s over simplifying it(and random luck playing in)…but it’s kind of funny how that has played out if one looks at it from that point of view. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

We’ve been a little haven here some…but it’s sucked overall too.  Every region has places that have had it even worse than others. Generally speaking it’s sucked for all of us.  Yours has been one of those areas.  
 

But 2015 wasn’t the record breaker, blockbuster that eastern areas, and you and SE areas had.  It was above normal here for sure…but it was very lack luster in comparison.  And so was March of 18 here(one good event here, vs 3 great ones out east) Hmm, who knows, maybe that’s why we haven’t seen it quite as bad as other areas in the overall suckage that has been the last few years.  I know that’s over simplifying it(and random luck playing in)…but it’s kind of funny how that has played out if one looks at it from that point of view. 

Yes, hilarious.

[Zeus]

I see we're in the "talk about winters gone by" stage of the ritual as the clacking of the coaster car continues its ascent before the ride begins.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

We’ve been a little haven here some…but it’s sucked overall too.  Every region has places that have had it even worse than others. Generally speaking it’s sucked for all of us.  Yours has been one of those areas.  
 

But 2015 wasn’t the record breaker, blockbuster that eastern areas, and you and SE areas had.  It was above normal here for sure…but it was very lack luster in comparison.  And so was March of 18 here(one good event here, vs 3 great ones out east) Hmm, who knows, maybe that’s why we haven’t seen it quite as bad as other areas in the overall suckage that has been the last few years.  I know that’s over simplifying it(and random luck playing in)…but it’s kind of funny how that has played out if one looks at it from that point of view. 

It was East of the River with over 100”. That was the winter of my life even though it only last 6-7 weeks 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would say CT has skated most realtive to climo...not as much regression there since 2015.

I dont care much for seasonal averages. Give me a memorable 20+ event over any over-performing queefs. It’s been 14yrs since my last bonified 18+. I’d much rather get one of those in a BN season at the hands of some “average winters” made up of 4-8” dimes. 

[ma blizzard]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

ORH has had a few shaft jobs the past winter or two too even in storms that hit areas nearby. Feels like they are getting some payback for this 6 winter stretch....that's actually a ridiculous stretch relative to climo (about 70" long term mean).

 

Relative to Climo, ORH has done better than just a little east .. quite the gradient between metro west and say Hubb Dave even  

I'm at 28.7" (22/23), 33.5" (23/24) the past two years 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, hilarious.

Well it is…sorry.  I think you know what I meant.  
 

Anyway, we look to be entering a very good pattern.  It can fail, but I don’t think it will. Nothing wrong with pointing out the potential pit falls…every pattern will have them, but there seems to be more chances of something good happening with this set up that’s incoming, than what we’ve seen the last few years.