Jester January

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

That is one serious trough over the east…holy smokes. 

Yea....again, just posting long range OP frames because I haven't had anything noteworthy in a year.

[HoarfrostHubb]

39 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

Wondering what comes after "Biblical."  You would basically have to get into something like "Cosmic."

Tip might have the copyright on that. 

[weathafella]

EPS says the op is kind of a western outlier.

[Cyclone-68]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That would send me right the fuck over the edge....right over yonder.

lol The trace to zero would cut right thru my backyard so that seems about right 

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Jesus...if nothing comes of this, then I quit.

Worth printing out and taping to the ceiling. 

[brooklynwx99]

this is a really coherent signal for a larger storm for the 7-8th timeframe... 50/50 ULL moves out and trough goes to town over the OH Valley with a great antecedent airmass in place, -NAO, -EPO, +PNA

GEFS and GEPS are also similar with the general configuration

[Prismshine Productions]

That is one serious trough over the east…holy smokes. 

540 line down to Orlando, when is the last time we saw that?

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[Cyclone-68]

42 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

Wondering what comes after "Biblical."  You would basically have to get into something like "Cosmic."

“Planet killer” would get people’s attention 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

For the weenies.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is a really coherent signal for a larger storm for the 7-8th timeframe... 50/50 ULL moves out and trough goes to town over the OH Valley with a great antecedent airmass in place, -NAO, -EPO, +PNA

GEFS and GEPS are also similar with the general configuration

I'll be racing the leading egde home from the hostial, baby in tow.

[Prismshine Productions]

For the weenies.

...no wonder Benchmark would be angry

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[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

EPS says the op is kind of a western outlier.

I figured.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Cyclone-68 said:

“Planet killer” would get people’s attention 

I told you CECS: “Cataclysmic” which ushers in a new ice age. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

...no wonder Benchmark would be angry

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Yea, I could approximate reality based on the horseshit 10:1.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Well, I'll be coming out of (substantive) hibernation this weekend...time to get caught up and dive in-

[ineedsnow]

15 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Anybody with Pivotal Plus got the Kuchie?...

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[CoastalWx]

Time to truncate my life if that happens. Dynamics wont suffice. 

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

It’s coming to some extent. The devil is in the details, but it will take a Jeterian effort to get skunked. I’ve been glancing at the LR here and there the past week and my dread index is a 9/10 which is good news for cold and snow lovers…naso much my chooks. 

Probably the wrong thread for this but are you worried about the avian flu?  It was just found in a backyard flock here.  Avian flu found in backyard flock of birds in Franklin County

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

I’d disagree here. Just down the road had 40”..so imo it was biblical here.

IMO, a few spots 40+ aren't enough for the "B" - Both 12/20 and 3/23 had some 40s reported (and the Erie/Ontario LES bands several times) but of that lot, I'd only nominate the one that dumped 5-6 feet in the BUF area.  40" of 12:1 snow creates far more disruption than when it's 25:1 fluff.  In Maine I'd say that only Feb 1969 passes the sniff test, with some western mountains and foothills locales hitting the 40 mark and with over 4" LE.

We did have the Historic Feb 69 storm that a SLP did a fujiwara in the GOM for 3 days that dumped 36" here and i believe 40" in Farmington.

43", more than a foot bigger than any other one there. 
(The Dec 6-7, 2003 storm was reported as 40" but I think it was measured in one of the many drifts.  We were at church, 1.3 miles SE from the co-op site and 110' higher, less than 2 hours after accum ended, and the snow there looked much like at my place 5.3 miles to the east.  My 24" was 6" by my 9 PM obs time and 18" after.  The Farmington co-op obs came at midnight and was 14" on the 6th and 26 the next day.  Given conditions at 9 PM, a midnight obs at my place might've been 12/12, so 14 for 12/6 is reasonable but that 26 is not.)

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, tamarack said:

IMO, a few spots 40+ aren't enough for the "B" - Both 12/20 and 3/23 had some 40s reported (and the Erie/Ontario LES bands several times) but of that lot, I'd only nominate the one that dumped 5-6 feet in the BUF area.  40" of 12:1 snow creates far more disruption than when it's 25:1 fluff.  In Maine I'd say that only Feb 1969 passes the sniff test, with some western mountains and foothills locales hitting the 40 mark and with over 4" LE.

We’ll agree to disagree. A full week out of school and 30-40”  is “B” in my opinion for here. But it’s all good. 

[TheMainer]

10 minutes ago, tamarack said:

IMO, a few spots 40+ aren't enough for the "B" - Both 12/20 and 3/23 had some 40s reported (and the Erie/Ontario LES bands several times) but of that lot, I'd only nominate the one that dumped 5-6 feet in the BUF area.  40" of 12:1 snow creates far more disruption than when it's 25:1 fluff.  In Maine I'd say that only Feb 1969 passes the sniff test, with some western mountains and foothills locales hitting the 40 mark and with over 4" LE.

What was the storm 5-10 years ago where Skowhegan got 42 inches? We were around 30 inches in Monson, but I think it was less impactful further south, mostly just a regional storm. Id have to go back on the Skowhegan snowmobile club Facebook page and find it as they had a vid of them in their Tucker out packing it down with no drag, but our machine I could still make the hills with the drag on. 

 

EDIT, this one 7 years ago

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1EYH4G7hFR/

[mahk_webstah]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Historic, Biblical i would say has to be in the 40" + class.

Widespread 30+ over a large area incl population centers from DC to Bos

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, Patrick-02540 said:

Wondering what comes after "Biblical."  You would basically have to get into something like "Cosmic."

See the term cosmic dildo.  I don't remember if @Typhoon Tip or @40/70 Benchmarkcoined that one but it has a completely different connotation.

[dendrite]

18 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Probably the wrong thread for this but are you worried about the avian flu?  It was just found in a backyard flock here.  Avian flu found in backyard flock of birds in Franklin County

Aware but not worried. Mine are pretty much secluded to their covered run this time of year. They’re not around water fowl either (big carriers). If they test a bird in your flock and it comes back + they will euthanize the whole flock…so I will probably never know if they have it since I won’t take that risk. If some get sick and die, so be it. The strong survive. 

[ORH_wxman]

40 minutes ago, weathafella said:

EPS says the op is kind of a western outlier.

I mean, it’s like 10-11 days out. So yeah. 

[Typhoon Tip]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I mean, it’s like 10-11 days out. So yeah. 

i thought he was talking about the 1/2nd ?   

either way, the op was on the western edge of the envelope with the 1/2nd.   doesn't matter much ...the mean was still only snowing ( maybe ) during the ending 1/3rd or so .. but like you were saying, there's colder variants arriving from other guidance. 

boy, 126 hours ... seems the model all-over-the-place-ness is worse this season.  i think it's the low frequency waves in a high speed flow issue

[40/70 Benchmark]

21 minutes ago, mreaves said:

See the term cosmic dildo.  I don't remember if @Typhoon Tip or @40/70 Benchmarkcoined that one but it has a completely different connotation.

Tip 

[40/70 Benchmark]

49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Time to truncate my life if that happens. Dynamics wont suffice. 

[Typhoon Tip]

the 7th ... heh ..  may be just a juggling and logistics thing in the runs, not sure, .. .but the best fit for timing the telecon modalities out there is the 8/9/10th of January.  

then this arrives in the 12z eps mean?   .... yeah, i think y'all might want to wait a day.  anyway, this is about as deep as there will ever be a signal at 300+ hours from an ens system.  i was actually going give some time to this in that thread i started this morning but figured it'd be too much.   this is like real wild territory there

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Tip 

ha hahahaha ...  'cosmic tip'