Jester January

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Even the euro/eps is starting to dig WC troughs at the end of the runs. IDK. Bruce Willis maybe be coming out to the runway…

[ORH_wxman]

2nd week of January is quite the cold signal on the weeklies today…keep in mind this is a 5-day mean  

 

[H2Otown_WX]

Let the can kicking begin

[Torch Tiger]

Nice cutter/inside runner to welcome in the New Year

[weathafella]

44 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Even the euro/eps is starting to dig WC troughs at the end of the runs. IDK. Bruce Willis maybe be coming out to the runway…

How the heck does this give flags?

 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

How the heck does this give flags?

 

 

He weed 

[CoastalWx]

I mean it’s an EPO so there’s always a risk, but I certainly don’t see the 12z EPS as a red flag. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

16 minutes ago, weathafella said:

How the heck does this give flags?

 

 

You can start seeing the reinforcement of WC troughing in the op but with a good atlantic, it will work. If that does not cooperate like shown on the gfs/gefs then it’s more hostile. 

 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

37 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Nice cutter/inside runner to welcome in the New Year

Cold/dry then warm/wet through 1/4. Hopefully the 96/11 type pattern that is expected 1/5 onward verifies and produces. 
 

I’m just not all in like the APATT peeps are…not yet. 

[Prismshine Productions]

end of the happy hour goofus looked fun

[RDRY]

GFS says hello 1980s.

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, RDRY said:

GFS says hello 1980s.

why the 80s?

[CoastalWx]

 I wouldn’t expect winter to return on Jan 1. Didn’t we all mention that?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

why the 80s?

Coke, heroin, and denim cutoff shorts.

[dendrite]

Hammer pants, Paul Mitchell hair spray, Cabbage Patch dolls

This is your brain. This is your brain from clown maps.

[Prismshine Productions]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Coke, heroin, and denim cutoff shorts.

HA

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

why the 80s?

To answer your question…the 80s were cold and relatively dry. So that’s the inside joke here.

[EastonSN+]

38 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

why the 80s?

Cold and dry warm up and rain cold and dry again.

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Cold/dry then warm/wet through 1/4. Hopefully the 96/11 type pattern that is expected 1/5 onward verifies and produces. 
 

I’m just not all in like the APATT peeps are…not yet. 

all in?  lol no way, and notice the "epicosity" hype of past days has diminished quite a bit too.  It's foolish and does no one any good, especially when talking about the weaklies.  You can have the big pretty blue blob on ensembles but it ends up being a chit mess cutoff that doesn't do much beside perhaps add to the resort stakes

[Typhoon Tip]

every one of the waves the gfs progresses through flow that is being impelled by blocking to slow down ..( eh hem ), is preceded by +pp n-ne of maine, yet the gfs takes cyclone after middling cyclone right through it -

these gfs runs as of late have sooo many issue with them, from the super synoptic continuity breakdown as of late, to these nuanced idiocy discrete aspects like above... 

not saying the euro products are better per se, but i still suggest the eps mean - which has actually improved during the day - for the 2nd(ish) is our next more significant system. 

it may also be led in short duration by some sort of a disturbance prior to the slow down around the 31.

this does not speak to ptype. 

[kdxken]

I don't know about all these fancy maps but this looks god awful. 

 

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

I don't know about all these fancy maps but this looks god awful. 

 

Well yeah-and no one was pimping any of those days as good nor are any of the maps covering this period 

[weathafella]

3 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You can start seeing the reinforcement of WC troughing in the op but with a good atlantic, it will work. If that does not cooperate like shown on the gfs/gefs then it’s more hostile. 

 

 

As modeled things look good.  Can it go to crap-sure.  We’ve seen the rug pull many times in recent years but is the euro family showing one of its known biases with the lower heights in the SW?  Maybe yes or maybe no.  A good Atlantic as you say somewhat neutralizes the risk but we’d all prefer a good pacific and hopefully we’ll get it.

[Go Kart Mozart]

2 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

end of the happy hour goofus looked fun

It has a March 93 look.  I can't wait until it verifies.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

50 minutes ago, weathafella said:

As modeled things look good.  Can it go to crap-sure.  We’ve seen the rug pull many times in recent years but is the euro family showing one of its known biases with the lower heights in the SW?  Maybe yes or maybe no.  A good Atlantic as you say somewhat neutralizes the risk but we’d all prefer a good pacific and hopefully we’ll get it.

Maybe so, maybe no, we just don’t know. Hope for the best, expect less.

[Ginx snewx]

Never understood people who love to live near the ocean complain about rain snow lines in their hood. You certainly love summer with the sea breeze and being near the water, winter you pay the price of that same wind off the water 99% of the time, until after the new year. Dec coast averages are a third of 25 miles inland. If snow rules more than the beach in your head,move inland. I lived behind the rain snow line for 45 years, it sucked but come July ahhh. Now living inland, summers sea breezes are occasional rather than every day, but I also tripled my snow average. Bottom line

Deal with it,

Cosgrove 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Maybe so, maybe no, we just don’t know. Hope for the best, expect less.

I love how jaded you are. Makes everything positive a surprise.  Good attitude 

[WinterWolf]

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I love how jaded you are. Makes everything positive a surprise.  Good attitude 

He’s definitely changed. 

[ice1972]

I see a lot of whistl'in dixie in here......its over......put a fork in it.....this season cooked the best turkey.....JFC

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

I see a lot of whistl'in dixie in here......its over......put a fork in it.....this season cooked the best turkey.....JFC

Bro… get a f’n grip. You’ve completely lost it.