WxWatcher007 Posted December 17 Share Posted December 17 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Or Blizzard of 78 and 2013 for BECS. Yep—BECS are the highest echelon widespread impact storms. The atmosphere in God mode. Apply Mad Dog’s hall of fame rule. If you have to think about whether it belongs, it doesn’t. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17 Author Share Posted December 17 Guess this one would count as a BECS considering where it hitSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 17 Share Posted December 17 3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Guess this one would count as a BECS considering where it hit Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Imagine being an Atlanta or even Birmingham weenie and you're too far north? 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17 Author Share Posted December 17 Imagine being an Atlanta or even Birmingham weenie and you're too far north? Especially finding out freaking Florida got more than you...Imagine living in Columbia thinking you hit the jackpot with 13 only to find out Orangeburg 40 minutes south got 28Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 17 Share Posted December 17 36 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Especially finding out freaking Florida got more than you... Imagine living in Columbia thinking you hit the jackpot with 13 only to find out Orangeburg 40 minutes south got 28 Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk The meltdowns would be as epic as the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17 Share Posted December 17 Same pattern just a diff year… next warm up already in sight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17 Author Share Posted December 17 Same pattern just a diff year… next warm up already in sight 2 weeks cold, 2 weeks warm... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 17 Share Posted December 17 34 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Same pattern just a diff year… next warm up already in sight extended guidance like that often overdoes the influence of ENSO. we saw that last year. given the ample momentum in the Pacific jet so far I wouldn't resign myself to thinking that we're going to see a canonical -ENSO Feb... nothing about the current or upcoming pattern is canonical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 I’d like to get things about 5-7 days closer, but there’s some signs we could get a nice looking El Niño-Esque pattern in early January. Big western ridge pumped up by a retrograding Aleutian low. It would be a nice break to load the dice in our favor going into the coldest climo of the year. I want to get the pattern closer though before getting gung ho on the idea. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 18 Author Share Posted December 18 6z GEFS looks to try and reestablish this +PNA after New Years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 16 hours ago, Allsnow said: Same pattern just a diff year… next warm up already in sight On par with my expectation, but I don't think it will be a Feb 2023 or 2018 type of warmth that is prohibitive....I think there will be some SWFEs and such. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 On 12/17/2024 at 8:49 PM, ORH_wxman said: I’d like to get things about 5-7 days closer, but there’s some signs we could get a nice looking El Niño-Esque pattern in early January. Big western ridge pumped up by a retrograding Aleutian low. It would be a nice break to load the dice in our favor going into the coldest climo of the year. I want to get the pattern closer though before getting gung ho on the idea. Yes, I strongly believe that we see a month of January that deviates significantly from modern La Nina climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 DT beginning to honk about Jan 3-4...book that, as I'll be in Beth Israel changing diapers. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: DT beginning to honk about Jan 3-4...book that, as I'll be in Beth Israel changing diapers. Dick Tolleris honking means it ain't happening. Or watch it be congrats DC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 53 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Dick Tolleris honking means it ain't happening. Or watch it be congrats DC. No, it usually means congrats us(SNE)up here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 lol this would be something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 quite the signal. funny how the torch just gets advected to the Davis Strait lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 17 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: quite the signal. funny how the torch just gets advected to the Davis Strait lmao Yes. the euro doesn't get nyc above 40 * from the 26 thru the 30th. What a torch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 29th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 5 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: quite the signal. funny how the torch just gets advected to the Davis Strait lmao Very El Nino like..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 'syzygy' storm, 1986 i believe it was. then later on 10 years later, the 'megalopolis blizzard,' 1996 ... at first i was thinking there's been a dearth (historically ) of events in the first 10 days of january's. then i'm like, whaaaa. i think it's just the last 10 year's worth of winters doing a fantastic job at gaslighting my memory ..heh. starting to like the 2-6th 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 I’m not a fan of how far south the blocking is for early Jan. Surface temps are also AN here, I’d like to see real cold before I jump on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 48 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m not a fan of how far south the blocking is for early Jan. Surface temps are also AN here, I’d like to see real cold before I jump on board. near normal is fine in early Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 55 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m not a fan of how far south the blocking is for early Jan. Surface temps are also AN here, I’d like to see real cold before I jump on board. Might need to move to Neptune at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 19 Author Share Posted December 19 Might need to move to Neptune at this point*PlutoSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 1 hour ago, H2Otown_WX said: Might need to move to Neptune at this point Nah Mars is plenty cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 19 Author Share Posted December 19 Nah Mars is plenty cold Cold dry and deadlySent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 10 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Cold dry and deadly Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Yeah but you gotta worry about sun angle and warm ground. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 13 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Cold dry and deadly Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk New Sharon, Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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