Jester January

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Or Blizzard of 78 and 2013 for BECS. 

Yep—BECS are the highest echelon widespread impact storms. The atmosphere in God mode.

Apply Mad Dog’s hall of fame rule. If you have to think about whether it belongs, it doesn’t.

[Prismshine Productions]

Guess this one would count as a BECS considering where it hit

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[H2Otown_WX]

3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Guess this one would count as a BECS considering where it hit

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Imagine being an Atlanta or even Birmingham weenie and you're too far north?

[Prismshine Productions]

Imagine being an Atlanta or even Birmingham weenie and you're too far north?

Especially finding out freaking Florida got more than you...


Imagine living in Columbia thinking you hit the jackpot with 13 only to find out Orangeburg 40 minutes south got 28

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[WxWatcher007]

36 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Especially finding out freaking Florida got more than you...


Imagine living in Columbia thinking you hit the jackpot with 13 only to find out Orangeburg 40 minutes south got 28

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The meltdowns would be as epic as the storm.  

[Allsnow]

Same pattern just a diff year…

 

next warm up already in sight 

 

 

[Prismshine Productions]

Same pattern just a diff year…
 
next warm up already in sight 
 
 

2 weeks cold, 2 weeks warm...

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[brooklynwx99]

34 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Same pattern just a diff year…

 

next warm up already in sight 

 

 

extended guidance like that often overdoes the influence of ENSO. we saw that last year. given the ample momentum in the Pacific jet so far I wouldn't resign myself to thinking that we're going to see a canonical -ENSO Feb... nothing about the current or upcoming pattern is canonical

[ORH_wxman]

I’d like to get things about 5-7 days closer, but there’s some signs we could get a nice looking El Niño-Esque pattern in early January. Big western ridge pumped up by a retrograding Aleutian low. It would be a nice break to load the dice in our favor going into the coldest climo of the year. 
 

I want to get the pattern closer though before getting gung ho on the idea. 

[Prismshine Productions]

6z GEFS looks to try and reestablish this +PNA after New Years

[40/70 Benchmark]

16 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Same pattern just a diff year…

 

next warm up already in sight 

 

 

On par with my expectation, but I don't think it will be a Feb 2023 or 2018 type of warmth that is prohibitive....I think there will be some SWFEs and such.

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’d like to get things about 5-7 days closer, but there’s some signs we could get a nice looking El Niño-Esque pattern in early January. Big western ridge pumped up by a retrograding Aleutian low. It would be a nice break to load the dice in our favor going into the coldest climo of the year. 
 

I want to get the pattern closer though before getting gung ho on the idea. 

Yes, I strongly believe that we see a monthly of January that deviates significantly from modern La Nina climo.

[40/70 Benchmark]

DT beginning to honk about Jan 3-4...book that, as I'll be in Beth Israel changing diapers.

[H2Otown_WX]

3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

DT beginning to honk about Jan 3-4...book that, as I'll be in Beth Israel changing diapers.

Dick Tolleris honking means it ain't happening. Or watch it be congrats DC.