RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Ukie is bad for wildwood I'm out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Im back ECM came west with SECS amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Im back ECM came west with SECS amounts Euro vs everyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 hours ago, Newman said: Euro vs everyone Years past, we would have been happy with this since euro was King. Now, it's just another model. 33F/ moderate rain/some fog 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Yea think this is just about dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
21chuck Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It's still warning level snow for philly on the Euro. Doesn't feel that dead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 F Richmond 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 To think this was less than 24 hrs ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Unreal. How do the models go from epic to epic shit in 24 hours? I'm with Ralph. That will pretty much do it for Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This is why I haven’t committed or even cared about anything this winter past 72 hours. I check the models once a day in the morning and that’s it and I gotta say my mental health has been way better this winter. I’ve honestly enjoyed this winter even though we are currently basically 50% of normal and every storm has been basically a dud. But this is why.. you have every model and ensemble suite basically showing a secs 5 days out and 24 hours later it’s basically on life support. You just can’t get excited in these parts until the storm is inside 3 days and even then it can rug pull. Anything past that, just forget it, it’s not worth the emotional investment. Seriously lol at it, don’t expect anything, and if it’s still there and looking good inside 3 days then start planning the parade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Well as the models turn regarding the Wed/Thursday possible snowstorm. With the overnight runs we have on the Team Snow side The European with a significant snowstorm. The GFS and ICON with a few inches of powder....and the German ICON with flurries and a dusting. The one pretty clear place that will see a significant snow is at the Jersey Shore. This has been the season of depressed or suppressed east coast events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: To think this was less than 24 hrs ago Don’t, it’s too soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 84 hr NAM looked interesting Let’s see what 12z brings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Unreal. How do the models go from epic to epic shit in 24 hours? I'm with Ralph. That will pretty much do it for Winter. Models generally get into somewhat lock down mode once they get under the magic 120 hours number. Yes we’ll still see ticks either way, but not overhauls. Yesterday was that magic time frame and was why I was so nervous before 12z runs.Oh well.We can still muster .4-.6 of high ratio stuff (more for jersey). . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Models generally get into somewhat lock down mode once they get under the magic 120 hours number. Yes we’ll still see ticks either way, but not overhauls. Yesterday was that magic time frame and was why I was so nervous before 12z runs. Oh well. We can still muster .4-.6 of high ratio stuff (more for jersey). . This might be it for the winter….need to reel This one back in a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The 12z GFS finally catching on yesterday just for every model run after it to just turn to complete shit will never not make me laugh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 ICON was so far SE that places like us here in the Lehigh Valley see 0 accumulation. Spring coming soooooonnnn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 But my drought lives on. LOL. where is the 1.5 to 2 in rains? I give up . I have not see 1 " rains since New years eve. Lets see if we can muster a decent t- storm for you guys in SE PA this afternoon - severe thunderstorm warning has a better chance to be issued than seeing a 12 + snow on Thursday. The winds will be crazy. lets talk about that. LOts of power outages coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Temperatures in the higher spots failed to get above freezing till around 7am this morning. Our 13th winter event of the season resulted in as much as 2" of snow in spots and as much as 0.15" of freezing rain ice accretion. Melted snow and rain amounts so far have ranged from 0.77" at Kennett Square to 0.58" at Atglen. We could see another 0.25" to 0.50" with both a warm front this morning and then a sharp cold front this afternoon. We should see a sharp rise in temperatures this morning into early PM - possibly reaching the 50's before the front crosses the western burbs during around the 230p to 330p hour. We continue to lessen any drought concerns across the area and another 0.25" to 0.50" of rain should fall today. The big story and danger today into tomorrow will be the strong winds that may very well cause widespread power outages. Unfortunately, following the front we will not see above freezing temperatures for the entire work week. Stay safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Well, at least the high winds will be some entertainment this afternoon through tomorrow. Down trees, property damage and exploding capacitors would be fun...too bad it isn't trash night. 39F/ light rain drizzle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Idk why I even follow these models for this at point. Another miss for the GFS. Gonna go eat a cake 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Years past, we would have been happy with this since euro was King. Now, it's just another model. 33F/ moderate rain/some fog “Dr. (I don’t) NO”‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 hours ago, Blue Dream said: F Richmond Yep… im down here with my son, looking good‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 The GFS is dry, too. It’s a miss for us, but even where it’s a hit, it’s only @ 6” or so. A few more runs like this and it’ll be “what storm”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Morch is gonna rock! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 My boss will be happy. I’ll get some work done this week instead of staring at models. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Well I really thought my MECS I called for back in Early December would happen this winter with the way things were looking. I can usually hang to winter till early March but not this season I’m calling it early, it’s been a cold nickle,dime one for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Yeah, assuming February stays below average temperaturewise, when was the last time we got 4 straight below average temperature months? You can bet your bottom dollar that March is going to be warmer than average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 So when is the next warm-ENSO winter? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Sunday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:11 PM Well at least no one made a thread for this in here so we have none of our posters to blame for this threat disappearing. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now