RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro AI is my new go to model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Watch GFS be the one to lead the charge outside of that 12z run today and I’ll lmfao The only time the gfs is on an island by itself and RIGHT. Is when it's the only model showing no snow. Like Hiesy said, this 18z euro holds a ton of weight in everyone's minds. But the feel isn't good....Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1" of snow ahead of last year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 51 minutes ago, Heisy said: Where 18z gfs puts the heavy snow honestly matches up pretty well with the EPS. I hate to say it, but brace yourselves for the 18z euro to come even farther SE. I said yesterday that as long as EPS held until 18z today I’d be all in. Of course it went SE in a big way at 12z. We almost made it lol. Meh, not interested in a scraper. Sorry to sound like the weenie that I am, but been around a while I just have that feeling. I think 18z euro is going to be a cliff jump run for the forums outside Mid Atlantic. Hope I’m wrong . It was over before it began. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 32 minutes ago, RedSky said: 1" of snow ahead of last year Hey at least you can say this winter was better than last Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, snowwors2 said: F’ING sucks… I'm in Richmond, VA “until” Monday… Think I’ll stay put ALL week‼️ Yep…Extending my VA stay‼️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Andddd EURO is more south. Just unreal that this keeps happening but that’s the flow this winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 For me, the kiss of death was seeing 1) the march 2001 similarities. Never a good vibe. And 2) once the ens means did a deja vu of last week almost to a tee. Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me. You can't fool this old fool of a weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Remember when the 45-day euro had over 6 feet of snow for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Remember when the 45-day euro had over 6 feet of snow for us? Yeah… 6 feet turned into 1 boot to the nuts‼️ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro AI is my new go to modelLook at all the models pretty much converging on what it’s been advertising… outside the two runs that were really out to sea it’s been lock steady. This thing is the future. It’s crushed every event. Yeah its resolution isn’t great so temps and precip aren’t its go to feature, but yea this thing is great.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Following the pattern we’ve had all year of less digging and flat out to sea. Not sure why any of us thought we’d get a benchmark storm with how it’s gone all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It was over before it began.Painful because we saw what could have been had everything gone right. Maybe the confluence relaxes next model suite. We need a desperate return at 00/6z. Look we could still score a 4-8” event with temps in the upper teens and low 20s, but that’s boring to me especially if someone is getting 1-2’ and it’s not me haha . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Painful because we saw what could have been had everything gone right. Maybe the confluence relaxes next model suite. We need a desperate return at 00/6z. Look we could still score a 4-8” event with temps in the upper teens and low 20s, but that’s boring to me especially if someone is getting 1-2’ and it’s not me haha . Don’t write it off yet. Still time for it to swing back the other way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 45 minutes ago, Heisy said: Painful because we saw what could have been had everything gone right. Maybe the confluence relaxes next model suite. We need a desperate return at 00/6z. Look we could still score a 4-8” event with temps in the upper teens and low 20s, but that’s boring to me especially if someone is getting 1-2’ and it’s not me haha . Well, there's a reason we dont get widespread mecs in a nina. Looking more likely we roll into a Nino for next winter. Recent Nino climo suggests it isnt what it once was. Otoh, we are beyond due for a good above avg snowfall winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just read on the other sub the AI was a complete miss. Weak sauce all around even S of us. Cannot confirm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This threat feels like it’s a hair away from becoming a MECS again. It also feels like if one more thing goes wrong this is a whiff north of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Just read on the other sub the AI was a complete miss. Weak sauce all around even S of us. Cannot confirm. Not true. It’s actually a little better than 12z. But that’s not saying much. Just 1-3” for most of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Not true. It’s actually a little better than 12z. But that’s not saying much. Just 1-3” for most of us. “Go with the trend‼️” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Steve D mentioned in one of his videos earlier in the week regarding a piece of energy up north just like orh from the NE forum is saying. 7 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: That thing north of maine is a much bigger problem than the four corners shortwave Here is the image for reference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 33 and rain attm. Bring on spring please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 33 and rain attm. Bring on spring please. Dude no matter how much I approach potential storms with rationale and logic I still get pissed off and through a snow weenie tantrum. And I manage expectations for a living, and do it really well. But when it comes to this, the potential it had or has…the wheels come off 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Feel just like when I was a kid (though I don’t cry anymore but DO stomp a foot or two)‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 0z NAM looked very good at 84 FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 31 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Steve D mentioned in one of his videos earlier in the week regarding a piece of energy up north just like orh from the NE forum is saying. Here is the image for reference That thing is this weekends storm and exactly what i feared could change the variables Plus the west coast trough has sped up. Bad luck all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 17 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 0z NAM looked very good at 84 FWIW. Yes yes come to the dark side of the force Luke, you can see the 96hr NAM unfolding good good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: That thing is this weekends storm and exactly what i feared could change the variables Plus the west coast trough has sped up. Bad luck all around. Are you sure, I thought this weekend’s storm was to create the block. There is just a small piece of energy that Steve and Will mentioned earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: That thing is this weekends storm and exactly what i feared could change the variables Plus the west coast trough has sped up. Bad luck all around. Bluewave from the NYC forum mentioned how the pacific was impacting our storm chances. Potentially due to climate change, heating up the pacific and making the flow progressive and effing up the jet stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Are you sure, I thought this weekend’s storm was to create the block. There is just a small piece of energy that Steve and Will mentioned earlier. Everyone will get pulled back in by 00z or 12z Euro. Lol. It's coming... that brutal "pull you back in" model flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Are you sure, I thought this weekend’s storm was to create the block. There is just a small piece of energy that Steve and Will mentioned earlier. That piece of energy is directly affected by the strength and position of this storm in the 50 50 region so yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now