wkd Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 32 minutes ago, MGorse said: Not all models use the same math and physics equations plus differences in resolution which impacts the model output solutions. Differences in resolution I can understand, but why the difference in the the physics equations? Thanks for repying Mike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, wkd said: Differences in resolution I can understand, but why the difference in the the physics equations? Thanks for repying Mike. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 8 minutes ago, MGorse said: Thanks Mike, Off topic, but is Ray Martin still with you guys. I really miss his winter weather publications that so many refer to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 18z Icon didn’t suck. Yeah, it’s the 18z Icon but these are desperate times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18z Icon didn’t suck. Yeah, it’s the 18z Icon but these are desperate times Yea 10-16" forum wide @ 10:1. I'm not mad at it lol. Now for the gfs...And it's still snowing at the end of the run. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 minutes ago, JTA66 said: 18z Icon didn’t suck. Yeah, it’s the 18z Icon but these are desperate times A step back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: A step back You’re harshing my hh buzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, JTA66 said: You’re harshing my hh buzz Ralph has crashed off his sugar high 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: A step back Yea I lost 8.1” went from 28.1” to 20.2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 33f light to moderate rain dew point 31f robbins are very active here just had a flock of 100 they know what’s coming next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said: Yea I lost 8.1” went from 28.1” to 20.2” 30% drop… Stop THAT bleeding rate! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Best to go do something constructive and ignore the 18z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Anddddd GFS takes a step back. Le ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I'm constructing a new bottle of vodka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 F’ING sucks… I'm in Richmond, VA “until” Monday… Think I’ll stay put ALL week‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 20 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: A step back Hard not to be a step back after that 12z run. I think that was probably the max potential. We’re still in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, snowwors2 said: F’ING sucks… I'm in Richmond, VA “until” Monday… Think I’ll stay put ALL week‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 But look at the gfs chasing convection and jumping the LP all over the place. It doesn't know which area of convection to key in on. Even before the coastal pops there are two areas of convection that could be the LP....WE TOSS LMAOSent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 So we are at 5.6” to 20.2” either one of these would be the most we have gotten in one storm around here the last 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 41 minutes ago, wkd said: Thanks Mike, Off topic, but is Ray Martin still with you guys. I really miss his winter weather publications that so many refer to. He is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 18z GFS is harshing my buzz more than Ralph Think I’ll watch the Super Bowl again and relive happier times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Fields27 said: But look at the gfs chasing convection and jumping the LP all over the place. It doesn't know which area of convection to key in on. Even before the coastal pops there are two areas of convection that could be the LP.... WE TOSS LMAO Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk It’s having NAM issues convective feedback throw this run in the trash! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Where 18z gfs puts the heavy snow honestly matches up pretty well with the EPS. I hate to say it, but brace yourselves for the 18z euro to come even farther SE. I said yesterday that as long as EPS held until 18z today I’d be all in. Of course it went SE in a big way at 12z. We almost made it lol. Meh, not interested in a scraper. Sorry to sound like the weenie that I am, but been around a while I just have that feeling. I think 18z euro is going to be a cliff jump run for the forums outside Mid Atlantic. Hope I’m wrong . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 West coast system is entering faster and harder not sure we can get it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Watch GFS be the one to lead the charge outside of that 12z run today and I’ll lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Heisy said: Where 18z gfs puts the heavy snow honestly matches up pretty well with the EPS. I hate to say it, but brace yourselves for the 18z euro to come even farther SE. I said yesterday that as long as EPS held until 18z today I’d be all in. Of course it went SE in a big way at 12z. We almost made it lol. Meh, not interested in a scraper. Sorry to sound like the weenie that I am, but been around a while I just have that feeling. I think 18z euro is going to be a cliff jump run for the forums outside Mid Atlantic. Hope I’m wrong . Oh well, what a wasted winter for phl and nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Oh well, what a wasted winter for phl and nyc Spring only two weeks away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Spring only two weeks away Yea if and when this fails I’m out . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Mid Atlantic region is in a good spot because they’re far enough S to get some snow from the overrunning and then whatever the coastal produces. Could be a good event to chase if 20” is in the realm . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Oh well, what a wasted winter for phl and nyc I’m getting old and running out of winters to waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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