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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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Keep the dry air coming baby.  Less than .25 in of any type of precip is great for assuring  my drought emergency. LMAO  MY new motto-  Sublimation rules!!!!   LOL. Pure ass sleet right now. Another  waste of cold air for snow production. The dry air just will not retreat.  The poor people who spread salt will have wasted their money  in the morning as it turns to plain light rain/drizzle . 

 

Predicted high of 52 degrees with rain on Sunday- break out the shorts. Then Monday we go back into the freezer awaiting another batch of wasted arctic dry cold air  with no storms. The LR modeling is so undependable right now in this progressive flow pattern.  Just about every 10 day run in the last 20-30 days have shown 16 in + of snow for the LV and what do we have to show for all of these wonderful and trustworthy  model runs about 3 in of snow and garbage.  By Sunday all ice and snow on the ground it will be just a distant memory.   Sunday, we actually might get more than .50 in of rain but I am not holding my breath that's for sure. Again no drought buster as the ground is still frozen and it the runoff even on Sunday will all runoff anyway. 

 

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20 minutes ago, RedSky said:

NAM thinks Saturday afternoon is 3-4" snow before the change to sleet/freezing rain

 

 

That would be a replay out of the winter of 2024-2025 play book honestly though this is totally normal February stuff and then being capped off with a big dog or 10” storm gets us to or above normal snowfall for the year it’s within reach.  

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3 minutes ago, RedSky said:

GFS 3-5" snow Saturday

NAM with 2-4” too. Not sure how to feel about this one. WAA can often overperform but at the same time we tend to get a pesky warm nose keeping down totals. Feels like it always goes one way or the other.

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