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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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1 hour ago, CoolHandMike said:

lol why tf are we thirsting so hard over 11-day-out clown maps? lol just kidding, I'm right there with you guys. It's fun to look at, at least. :)

Hell no, I'm not. Saturday night next event, then Birds all Sunday. Then the Tuesday- Wednesday  thingamajig. I'm starting to get confused... :oldman:

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I will take a seasons worth of snow right now in Macungie just to break this fricking drought.  Oops, the 18z tonight says I will grant your wish of 40 inches snow in the next two weeks.  Give me a break. There is no way in hell I believe that clown map and we have come up short the last three winter storms on even a.25 in of precip. These clown maps should be really called "WET DREAM " maps  LMAO.

 

 

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6 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

I will take a seasons worth of snow right now in Macungie just to break this fricking drought.  Oops, the 18z tonight says I will grant your wish of 40 inches snow in the next two weeks.  Give me a break. There is no way in hell I believe that clown map and we have come up short the last three winter storms on even a.25 in of precip. These clown maps should be really called "WET DREAM " maps  LMAO.

 

 

How about that 2-4 this morning in the Lehigh Valley

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51 minutes ago, anthonyweather said:

How about that 2-4 this morning in the Lehigh Valley

Nope, I admit I was wrong, came up short only about an 1.10 in of snow sleet and freezing rain. Underperformer for sure. Too much dry air plain and simple. The virga on the radar was unbelievable as the lower layers were really dry.  Saturday night hopefully will be different. The atmosphere will be more juiced up from this storm event and Sat nights will hopefully juice it up for Monday nights storm event.  For the first time in over a week today, my portable  house humidifier stopped running for more than 4 hours. Thats a good sign to me that a change is coming. By the way, a dense fog warning has been issued. Now thats a great sign for Sat nights storm event that there will be more than a couple inches of snow with the higher moisture content in the and no extreme cold air in place.

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I would not even think about Tuesday snow amount until we see the Pac data gets ingested  on the Sunday OZ runs. Thats how it works

Bets are out now  and 6+ inches looks like a decent bet right now. The models have been consistent for at least that amount thus far. Whats nice right now that no one has commented on is that the OZ NAM has showed 3 in snow for positive snow depth in our area. Would not be surprised if the cold air holds on longer to see lollipops of 5-6 inches Sunday morning. The dense fog too tonightis really helping as the cold air advection comes in more slowly this time  with more moisture available near the surface.

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