ChescoWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 For the first time in 8 days, we should see a high temperature today above freezing. Tomorrow will also be above freezing but still below average before the cold air returns again tomorrow night and we fall back below freezing until Friday. Our next precipitation chance looks to be next weekend with rain followed by snow chances as we may see our coldest weather so far this winter by next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Actually feels mild out there, 38 f, sunny and no breeze. Ideal weather for the Birds game.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 My goodness the end of that GFS run. I know it's Fantasyland and all, but that shows snow to ice to snow for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Plenty of potential from days 7 to 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Look at those snow holes, root canal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Most of this regions snow is from a 3-5" storm next Sunday Euro follows that with a historic southeast snow and ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 16 minutes ago, RedSky said: Look at those snow holes, root canal As a near-Trentonian, mine is without Novocaine. Luckily there is still time until the appointment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Unfortunately we don’t shovel potential. But yes, overall I’m relatively optimistic we’ll be tracking again soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: I look at that map and realistically see C-2 or 2-4” been the trend all season hard to go against it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I guess I'm less enthused about the pattern because it looks like a general continuation of the theme, which is cold and dry here. I can understand areas our south being more excited, especially since they rely more on the cold push we're getting to see snow. Being a bit more north, we don't necessarily need as intense of a cold air intrusion. If the boundary stays to our south, then so does the snow, as it were. Maybe developing this intense of a -EPO in an El Nino winter would generate that level of intrigue. Perhaps I'm also missing something as even the ensembles don't have some fantastic long-range look to my eyes, but again, maybe there's something I'm overlooking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: Gurantee that sharp cut off down in central Delaware and South Jersey will be right through my backyard in central Delaware County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: eh that's a fantasy land ice and sleet storm I78 south, not that it matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 12 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Gurantee that sharp cut off down in central Delaware and South Jersey will be right through my backyard in central Delaware County. You can lock that in! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Long range guidance is a joke 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Quite the pattern incoming!!!......all of this model snow has broken my snow blower!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 We aren’t going to get Jack shit other than nickel and dime events are we… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Yeah 6Z runs were garbage to say the least. Isn't it that you get the long range bomb, then after a day you lose it for a few days only for it to come back a week out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 25 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Yeah 6Z runs were garbage to say the least. Isn't it that you get the long range bomb, then after a day you lose it for a few days only for it to come back a week out? There will be many more model runs with significant storms.....we have plenty of model snow left to shovel in 2025!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 10 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: There will be many more model runs with significant storms.....we have plenty of model snow left to shovel in 2025!!! All this model snow which gives us enough eye candy to have diabetes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Today, while closer to normal will be our 24th below normal temperature day over the last 29 days. Our high today should be reached by mid-afternoon. We then see a cold front crossing the area with winds increasing and the temperatures falling below freezing by evening and we then stay below freezing all work week till Friday afternoon. We stay dry this week with our next rain chances by Friday night which could start as a little snow before a changeover to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 We are really pissing away all this cold air. Nothing really to show for it besides a couple zero to 2-in storms. 36f, mostly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: We are really pissing away all this cold air. Nothing really to show for it besides a couple zero to 2-in storms. 36f, mostly cloudy Yes we are pissing it away but what is worse we are not getting anything in return rain or snow. If we do not get 12+ snow storm by mid Feb or a few heavy rainfall events when the ground is not actually frozen, we are in some real deep shit. The ground water tables are really falling now, causing the water lines to break when the lines are not held up by the unstable soils. Moisture in the soils helps stabilizes them for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 GFS focusing on next Sunday evening - Canadian Tuesday-Wednesday.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 If the GFS has a clue.....next Tuesday could be our coldest afternoon since Christmas Eve 2022. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 hours ago, ChescoWx said: Quite the pattern incoming!!!......all of this model snow has broken my snow blower!! Winter is over great! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: Yes we are pissing it away but what is worse we are not getting anything in return rain or snow. If we do not get 12+ snow storm by mid Feb or a few heavy rainfall events when the ground is not actually frozen, we are in some real deep shit. The ground water tables are really falling now, causing the water lines to break when the lines are not held up by the unstable soils. Moisture in the soils helps stabilizes them for the winter. Drought guy being drought guy. Your fascination with low water/moisture levels is amazing. SE PA never closed down due to low water/moisture levels. I just want a damn storm which I can shovel into a huge mound/pile. All we hear are leaf blowers after a event not V8 snowblowers. Or the event sails S and we receive zilch... Frustrating winter, 38F, Cloudy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I’m surely not ready to cancel winter on the 13th of January, I still think we get hit with one good storm probably later on towards February. As long as cold air is around we stand a good chance we don’t need anymore Arctic intrusion’s. Anyway 40F feels good even with the clouds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Really looking forward to the 1.5" from the Euro next Monday morning before I wake, followed by the arctic hounds. Snow cover this year is like winter in the northern pole region of Mars as the CO2 freezes and whitens surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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