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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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For the first time in 8 days, we should see a high temperature today above freezing. Tomorrow will also be above freezing but still below average before the cold air returns again tomorrow night and we fall back below freezing until Friday. Our next precipitation chance looks to be next weekend with rain followed by snow chances as we may see our coldest weather so far this winter by next week.

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I guess I'm less enthused about the pattern because it looks like a general continuation of the theme, which is cold and dry here.  I can understand areas our south being more excited, especially since they rely more on the cold push we're getting to see snow.

Being a bit more north, we don't necessarily need as intense of a cold air intrusion.  If the boundary stays to our south, then so does the snow, as it were.

Maybe developing this intense of a -EPO in an El Nino winter would generate that level of intrigue.  Perhaps I'm also missing something as even the ensembles don't have some fantastic long-range look to my eyes, but again, maybe there's something I'm overlooking.

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