Kevin Reilly Posted Friday at 03:02 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:02 AM 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We were about to get NAM'D good but the run ended Damm!! Guess we have to wait another 24 hours to see the mix line slamming through the DCA Balt area racing NE then putting on the breaks at Elkton Md to Wilmington De this is so normal stuff it’s a relief after the last few years our drought needs this!! Bring it on!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted Friday at 03:13 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:13 AM Saw a few snowflakes here about 15 min. ago. 33F currently. Winter appears to be here, hooray!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted Friday at 03:14 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:14 AM 27 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We were about to get NAM'D good but the run ended Just extrapolate it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted Friday at 03:23 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:23 AM ICON is a shellacking for much of the Mount Holly CWA, especially for Philly proper. 0.5" of QPF up to ABE, 0.8" down to RDG, and PHL with 1", presumably all as snow. That shortwave has been trending more and more potent on guidance. ICON keeps it as a closed off upper-level vort basically until WV until the confluence does it's job opening it up. But the damage is done at that point. Seems like a classic squeeze play between strong confluence to the north and a potent shortwave sliding through to the south. I'm supposed to be working on writing my Masters thesis this week but this dang system has been keeping me distracted, and I don't even live in SE PA anymore lol. 5 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Friday at 03:34 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:34 AM 0z icon is about a foot kuchera here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 03:54 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:54 AM Gfs is coming north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Friday at 04:00 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:00 AM Ummm…holy GFS. Wow. This is a crazy good run for all of us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 04:03 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:03 AM 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Ummm…holy GFS. Wow. This is a crazy good run for all of us. Mecs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted Friday at 04:03 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:03 AM You could tell early on this GFS run was gonna be near perfect for eastern PA and NJ. Just a beautiful H5 look 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 04:06 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:06 AM Storm has slowed down on all the models allowing it to dig further south . With that the confluence has a chance to leave quicker. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Friday at 04:06 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:06 AM The GFS turns this into a fairly long duration storm as snow continues with the passage of the vort, as opposed to previous runs where most of it was the front end WAA thump. As a result we get a major snowstorm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted Friday at 04:19 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:19 AM It looks great but is anyone concerned it could go more north and leave us with more sleet and rain? I did read the confluence should prevent a huge jump north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Friday at 04:20 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:20 AM Started a thread for this one. If this storm trends back south towards suppression you guys can blame me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted Friday at 04:22 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:22 AM GFS is a 24-hour event. Icon is close to that, as well. But the Canadian being less amped than the GFS gives me pause. It's probably overcooked. The Euro has been much more consistent than any other. Not to say it's right, but at this stage I think it gets the most respect. I'll be quite shocked if it follows the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Friday at 04:25 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:25 AM Eh so many changes and so much time to go. Wake me up when consensous has been reached. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Friday at 05:02 AM Share Posted Friday at 05:02 AM Reason #993 to not trust the HRRR beyond 24 hours, lol.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted Friday at 12:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:44 PM Geez I have two flying out of Philly Monday late morning. Time to check if we can juggle either Sun or Tue…….Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Friday at 01:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:27 PM Light snow should arrive from west to east across Chester and Berks counties during the 2pm hour this afternoon. The timing is not great as the steadiest snow will fall during rush hour. There should be at most an inch or so over the area. We turn colder this weekend with temperatures remaining below freezing for at least the next week. The next winter event looks like it will arrive overnight Sunday into Monday morning. Most of the ensemble models keep the more significant snow south of the Mason Dixon Line. That said most areas will see at least a couple inches with more as you go south in Chester County toward Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Friday at 05:22 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:22 PM Radar is blossoming in central PA. Looks like it’s headed for the Philly burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Looks like a cold week upcoming after some snow on Monday but temps not looking earth shattering cold just a few degrees below freezing daytime and mid to upper teens at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Since Monday’s storm has been relegated to very “meh” anything else floating around currently storm wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 27F. Some flurries out there this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 1 hour ago, Duca892 said: Since Monday’s storm has been relegated to very “meh” anything else floating around currently storm wise? The 11th is the next thing we will watch. The signal is there for a SECS as of now. Fantasy land has a Cleveland Steamer that looks like Ice to start. Again it's fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Since Monday’s storm has been relegated to very “meh” anything else floating around currently storm wise?Saturday becomes the next area of interest. But again, tons of uncertainty. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago A few snow showers are across the area this AM. Temps today will struggle to get much above 30 degrees in most spots. Sunny tomorrow before snow arrives toward Monday morning. Any potential snow should be over by Monday evening. Well below normal temperatures but dry all this coming week before our next potential snow event next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Currently 31f Cloudy with snow flurries flying: Looks like a pretty good snow shower moving rapidly southeast on the back side of our blocking low pressure that needs to leave like now in order to get out of the way for Monday if we want appreciable snow. Total Snowfall in Media This snow season: 1.88" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago I’m okay with a 1-3” deal for Monday if we can get this to happen next weekend 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 1 hour ago, Blue Dream said: I’m okay with a 1-3” deal for Monday if we can get this to happen next weekend Nope I’m not doing it, outside of 5 days, ahh who am I kidding I might peek at it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Crazy Uncle Ukie stays in Motel 6 Cancun and never leaves next weekend yikes 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 3 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Nope I’m not doing it, outside of 5 days, ahh who am I kidding I might peek at it You know you want to look at it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now