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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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With another 0.46" of rain this evening we are now over 0.84" of normal precipitation for December. I remember when some folks at the start of November were concerned about drought conditions etc.... welp we will finish 2024 at almost 96% of normal precipitation across most of the area.

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12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

How bout those Nittany Lions???

I have OSU beating Oregon, ND over GA, TX over AZ State. 

Would give my left nut for a PSU-OSU natl championship. Penn State is overdue.

Imagine the commissioner of the SEC sitting in his living room watching an PSU OSU final in the home town of his conference. I would love to be a fly on the wall to see that.

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58 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Starting to get the strong sense this next storm ain’t our storm sadly lol 

I wouldn't write it off. The eps have a good amount of hits in our region. Pretty sure any S trends have ceased....if you want to call them trends. But the slider sheared solutions to our S are losing their footing. 

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10 hours ago, mattinpa said:

Well if they overcome those OSU demons Franklin will finally get his due. That would be a great game. 

They are going to play a lot better than they played last night if they are going to win the Natty. They were sloppy last night and it was  case of superior talent wearing down the opposition at the end. They will not have the same talent advantage against either Georgia or ND.

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Happy New Year to all! A wind advisory remains in effect till 10pm tonight. Temperatures today will be near normal (low to mid 40's) before falling later in the day. We finished 2024 as the 3rd warmest year in my 21 years of observations here in East Nantmeal. I will update with the annual climate summary for the rest of Chester County later. Temperatures both Thursday and Friday will be in the low to mid 30's. We could see a period of light snow on Friday PM. Temps remain below freezing this weekend with snow chances increasing by Sunday night into Monday.

image.png.a7e5ad7493e59c20a3aa7c44219eca7d.pngimage.thumb.png.d11174cda6ffb4ff2ab5781e2bc5ac8b.png

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27 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I wouldn't write it off. The eps have a good amount of hits in our region. Pretty sure any S trends have ceased....if you want to call them trends. But the slider sheared solutions to our S are losing their footing. 

Yep, early next week is pretty much dependent on spacing to the Friday system and also the strength of the confluence up north.  We just cannot know with much certainty until at least later tomorrow night or first thing Friday if your looking at the models.  

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6 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

The ensemble run of the European has started a slight "trend" back north....below is the 6z run

image.thumb.png.7b478b422b89a78475c3fa5e4b4dffb3.png

My gut the way things have been working around here over the past few years is I think we do see a north trend today and tonight.  I also think snow ratios will play a role somewhere in our area close by. 

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