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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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5 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Models are starting to key in on 1/6-1/7 rather than 1/9-1/10. Tonight’s Euro has a 986 low off the Delmarva throwing back 6-12” of snow into the area. The second threat isn’t dead yet but it needs a lot more things to go right to make it happen.

A classic 6-12in snowstorm would be so so so choice 

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Over the last 3 days most of Chester and Berks counties have picked up between 1.25" to 1.50" of rain. Today will be a beautiful late December day with temperatures again well into the 50's. New Year's Eve day starts dry but rings in 2025 wet. We turn chillier with closer to normal temperatures for New Year's Day before we fall to well below normal temperatures by Thursday through next weekend.

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Currently 54f quite warm still.

 

Overnight rain 9:00 pm to midnight 0.30" winds during frontal passage last night gusted to 37 mph with the heavy rain.

 

Rainfall Total last 3 days: 1.18"

 

Changes are in sight.  This time next week it very well could be snowing enjoy the warmth while it is here because soon it will be exiting stage right and off to the Northeast to begin to set up our block needed for very cold weather and potential for snowstorms between January 5th to 17th.

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2 hours ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

6z shifted the 1/11 sotrm back to the coast. Still little suppressed for my liking. Not the monster we saw on yesterday's run. Plenty of time. 

In this type of pattern suppression will be the biggest obstacle......that said I suspect a GFS run soon that has a big event back on the table and then at some point this week a big miss to the south.

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Happy New Year's Eve to all of you!
Today looks like our last day that will be well above normal for quite a while. Unfortunately, while we start out sunny clouds will increase and some poorly timed showers and maybe even a rumble of thunder will arrive from the west. Rain should enter Western Chester County during the 7pm hour or so and with some luck will exit stage right (east) before the midnight hour. Our step down to well below normal temperatures starts tomorrow with closer to normal highs in the mid 40's. By the time we get to Friday we may start a pretty long stretch of freezing days with highs over the weekend struggling to escape the 20's. Snow chances increase by the end of the weekend and as we move into the first full week of 2025.

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