Newman Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 12z Euro is pretty much bone dry for the next 10 days across the Lehigh Valley. GFS keeps temps in lower 50s while Euro gets into mid-upper 50s. Quite possible this final stretch of February gets some climate stations back closer to normal for the month after a cold start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 22 Author Share Posted February 22 If it ain’t gonna snow, may as well save on the heating bill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 On 2/22/2025 at 7:17 PM, JTA66 said: If it ain’t gonna snow, may as well save on the heating bill. Expand Yea I’ve spent $745 on oil heat this season it too bad and right now I sit between half and quarter tank with a 240 gallon tank think I’m good to not get anymore oil until July or August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 22 Author Share Posted February 22 On 2/22/2025 at 7:46 PM, Kevin Reilly said: Yea I’ve spent $745 on oil heat this season it too bad and right now I sit between half and quarter tank with a 240 gallon tank think I’m good to not get anymore oil until July or August Expand Same. I’ve used up 80% of my pre-purchased oil for the season. Got my last refill just before the arctic blast in Jan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 On 2/22/2025 at 7:57 AM, RedSky said: You have a snow bowl, trees for shade with an open area in the middle to accumulate. Expand Correct… Funny thing is, it’s actually a south facing lawn but the north slope, trees and “mountain” behind my home combine perfectly for a long lived glacial oasis! In fact, mid-December to mid-January, the mid-day sun barely rises above that “mountain”! Fifth home since getting married in ‘85 and, until now, I’ve always cursed out the homeowner who had a shielded lawn, as invariably, my lawns were ALWAYS first to melt on the block NOT anymore…It’s made this very cold, but minimal snow winter, seem very acceptable‼️ On 2/22/2025 at 6:26 PM, Birds~69 said: Looks weenie calculated... Expand …LOLOL all related posts‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/22/2025 at 5:56 PM, KamuSnow said: Hey Paul, what's your count on days where the high did not exceed 32°F for Jan and Feb so far? Just curious, similar to how we use days over 90 in the summer as a measure. I don't have the data for here, but there have been a bunch of sub 32 days. And since the lows don't generally get as cold these days, the high temps could be interesting to look at. Thanks, if you have the time! Expand Don’t know about Paul but here in eastern central bucks: Since December 1st, I’ve had 24 days where the temp remained at/below 32°… Quite a few of those stayed below 20°‼️ Also, had 43 days at or below 32° up at my coastal Maine cabin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 2:01 AM, snowwors2 said: Don’t know about Paul but here in eastern central bucks: Since December 1st, I’ve had 24 days where the temp remained at/below 32°… Quite a few of those stayed below 20°‼️ Also, had 43 days at or below 32° up at my coastal Maine cabin! Expand Nice! This winter has had the cold, a nice regular supply. Our wood stove has been happy, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Today will be near normal temperatures for the 1st time in a week. We should continue to see a nice warming trend throughout the week before we turn cooler toward next weekend. Slight shower chances on Tuesday and a better chance by Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/22/2025 at 5:56 PM, KamuSnow said: Hey Paul, what's your count on days where the high did not exceed 32°F for Jan and Feb so far? Just curious, similar to how we use days over 90 in the summer as a measure. I don't have the data for here, but there have been a bunch of sub 32 days. And since the lows don't generally get as cold these days, the high temps could be interesting to look at. Thanks, if you have the time! Expand Hey Kamu! We have had 30 days with high temps below freezing this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 3:46 PM, ChescoWx said: Hey Kamu! We have had 30 days with high temps below freezing this season. Expand Thanks Paul! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 3:46 PM, ChescoWx said: Hey Kamu! We have had 30 days with high temps below freezing this season. Expand Much improved over the past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Saw the first bumble bee of spring outside today. Winters over folks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Also the ground by me is muddy as hell, no drought conditions here at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 7:29 PM, The Iceman said: Saw my first bumble bee of spring outside today. Winters over folks Expand No bees on the bird feeder this winter, that's how mild winters have been I had bee's out there the last two January's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 You know winter is dying when there have been like 10 posts in the past 24hrs lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 7:31 PM, The Iceman said: Also the ground by me is muddy as hell, no drought conditions here at the moment Expand The ground was muddy at the parade a week and a half ago. A sign that the drought is beginning to ease. This is later than what we want, but at least the drought isn't going on for months on end like in 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 8:03 PM, PhiEaglesfan712 said: The ground was muddy at the parade a week and a half ago. A sign that the drought is beginning to ease. This is later than what we want, but at least the drought isn't going on for months on end like in 2002. Expand Drought is only broken by quantity of rainfall there has been no easing, surface mud is always present in a cold winter because of frozen ground Drought guy though he can elaborate.. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 9:11 PM, RedSky said: Drought is only broken by quantity of rainfall there has been no easing, surface mud is always present in a cold winter because of frozen ground Drought guy though he can elaborate.. Expand Drought guy may be beside himself and hitting the sauce. Next 8 to 10 days look pretty damn dry. Shaping up to be a nice sunset with a few birds chirping/ making funny sounds... 44F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 9:55 PM, Birds~69 said: Drought guy may be beside himself and hitting the sauce. Next 8 to 10 days look pretty damn dry. Shaping up to be a nice sunset with a few birds chirping/ making funny sounds... 44F Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 On 2/23/2025 at 7:29 PM, The Iceman said: Saw the first bumble bee of spring outside today. Winters over folks Expand The bluebirds have been around for about 2 weeks now, heard a woodpecker yesterday, and saw a bluejay today. I dont know annual birding patterns so for all i know those three species are active year-round. Regardless, winter is over. Wouldn't be shocked to see flakes or accums 1 more time as a fluke, but overall winter packed it's bags and is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 24 Author Share Posted February 24 Today was the turning point for me, it felt so nice outside. Yeah, we have a few months of dreary weather ahead before heat & humidity lock in. But I’m done with the cold. Looking forward to the week ahead 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/23/2025 at 11:25 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: The bluebirds have been around for about 2 weeks now, heard a woodpecker yesterday, and saw a bluejay today. I dont know annual birding patterns so for all i know those three species are active year-round. Regardless, winter is over. Wouldn't be shocked to see flakes or accums 1 more time as a fluke, but overall winter packed it's bags and is done. Expand Heard a woodpecker the other day as well. Thought it was a bit odd for February. Winters final grade still a C-? 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/23/2025 at 11:25 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: The bluebirds have been around for about 2 weeks now, heard a woodpecker yesterday, and saw a bluejay today. I dont know annual birding patterns so for all i know those three species are active year-round. Regardless, winter is over. Wouldn't be shocked to see flakes or accums 1 more time as a fluke, but overall winter packed it's bags and is done. Expand Those birds are all around in abundance year round, now, if you see a hummingbird pass by, you know winter is LONG gone‼️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/24/2025 at 1:07 AM, Birds~69 said: Heard a woodpecker the other day as well. Thought it was a bit odd for February. Winters final grade still a C-? 36F Expand I'm going with a C+.....if we had reached seasonal avg probably a B but doesn't look likely now. White Christmas, 13 or 14 'events', cold asf January, a couple minor icing events. I'm comfortable with a C+ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/24/2025 at 1:22 AM, snowwors2 said: Those birds are all around in abundance year round, now, if you see a hummingbird pass by, you know winter is LONG gone‼️ Expand The geese are starting to pair up and chase/harass each other. March is clearly only a few days away now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/23/2025 at 9:11 PM, RedSky said: Drought is only broken by quantity of rainfall there has been no easing, surface mud is always present in a cold winter because of frozen ground Drought guy though he can elaborate.. Expand First 3-6 inches of the soil is called the A- horizon which has had a temporary permafrost and will easily become muddy once the soils are above 36 degrees. That is what you are seeing now. If you dug down below 6 inches, the soils are still frozen with what little moisture we received from the New Years t storms. Once you get down below the B- Horizon 1-2 feet - it is dry as a bone. . Red Sky is right- we need significant long duration rain events of 3-5 inches over several weeks when the the B- horizon is not frozen. to put a dent in the drought. That usually does not happen until mid march, especially after an extremely cold winter that we had thus far. A week of 50-60 degree weather will aid in thawing out the soil profile, especially with rain showers or even fog. By the way, we will most likely get another accumulating snow storm in the next two weeks based on my previous observations from the winter of 2020. Mr Raccoon wiped out my feeder last night of food. I sat there and watch him go to town. He knows there something brewing since that was the last time I saw him at my squirrel feeder. Beware of the ides of March LOL 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/24/2025 at 5:32 AM, Albedoman said: First 3-6 inches of the soil is called the A- horizon which has had a temporary permafrost and will easily become muddy once the soils are above 36 degrees. That is what you are seeing now. If you dug down below 6 inches, the soils are still frozen with what little moisture we received from the New Years t storms. Once you get down below the B- Horizon 1-2 feet - it is dry as a bone. . Red Sky is right- we need significant long duration rain events of 3-5 inches over several weeks when the the B- horizon is not frozen. to put a dent in the drought. That usually does not happen until mid march, especially after an extremely cold winter that we had thus far. A week of 50-60 degree weather will aid in thawing out the soil profile, especially with rain showers or even fog. By the way, we will most likely get another accumulating snow storm in the next two weeks based on my previous observations from the winter of 2020. Mr Raccoon wiped out my feeder last night of food. I sat there and watch him go to town. He knows there something brewing since that was the last time I saw him at my squirrel feeder. Beware of the ides of March LOL Expand My high IMBY was 47.8°F today, and 44 the day before. My top soil is dry AF. We're still super dry up here in Reading. FWIW, we got near to an inch of liquid precip (snow melt+rain) last Sunday, and my basement sump started cycling almost as soon as the snow started melting. I would have thought that if the ground was deeply frozen that all of that would have run off, but our extremely localized groundwater flow has seemingly been forever altered by our massive flooding rains in July 2023, so who knows what is actually happening down there. As much as I'd love one last, good snow storm, I agree, we still need rain and lots of it. Although, maybe not another flooding event. I think there are still some roads closed from that previous event I mentioned (due to bridges still being washed out). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/24/2025 at 6:23 AM, CoolHandMike said: My high IMBY was 47.8°F today, and 44 the day before. My top soil is dry AF. We're still super dry up here in Reading. FWIW, we got near to an inch of liquid precip (snow melt+rain) last Sunday, and my basement sump started cycling almost as soon as the snow started melting. I would have thought that if the ground was deeply frozen that all of that would have run off, but our extremely localized groundwater flow has seemingly been forever altered by our massive flooding rains in July 2023, so who knows what is actually happening down there. As much as I'd love one last, good snow storm, I agree, we still need rain and lots of it. Although, maybe not another flooding event. I think there are still some roads closed from that previous event I mentioned (due to bridges still being washed out). Expand One inch of rain can penetrate frozen topsoil. In your case , a warmer foundation and the location of roof leaders can make a big difference. If you have a sump pump in your basement, that usually means that you have a significant fragipan soil layer near or at homes foundation walls where water in the soil is also moving laterally and not just vertically. Extending roof leaders from your home may hep curb the constant running of your sump pump too. https://pure.psu.edu/en/publications/water-balance-and-flow-patterns-in-a-fragipan-using-in-situ-soil- PA is noted for having fragipan in soil horizons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 On 2/24/2025 at 5:32 AM, Albedoman said: By the way, we will most likely get another accumulating snow storm in the next two weeks based on my previous observations from the winter of 2020. Mr Raccoon wiped out my feeder last night of food. I sat there and watch him go to town. He knows there something brewing since that was the last time I saw him at my squirrel feeder. Beware of the ides of March LOL Expand Like this doesn't make any sense. Winter 2020 was a snowless winter. It was pretty much done and over with by the beginning of February. If 2020 is the analog for March, then the winter is done: 2020-03-01 45 25 35.0 -4.1 30 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-02 63 30 46.5 7.1 18 0 0.04 0.0 0 2020-03-03 60 41 50.5 10.9 14 0 0.12 0.0 0 2020-03-04 59 43 51.0 11.1 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-05 53 38 45.5 5.3 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-06 45 33 39.0 -1.4 26 0 0.35 0.0 0 2020-03-07 47 35 41.0 0.3 24 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-08 60 30 45.0 4.0 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-09 71 39 55.0 13.7 10 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-10 68 48 58.0 16.4 7 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-11 59 43 51.0 9.1 14 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-12 60 40 50.0 7.8 15 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-13 74 49 61.5 19.0 3 0 0.37 0.0 0 2020-03-14 58 43 50.5 7.7 14 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-15 55 40 47.5 4.4 17 0 0.01 0.0 0 2020-03-16 52 36 44.0 0.6 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-17 57 41 49.0 5.3 16 0 0.03 0.0 0 2020-03-18 59 40 49.5 5.5 15 0 0.08 0.0 0 2020-03-19 56 43 49.5 5.2 15 0 0.93 0.0 0 2020-03-20 79 49 64.0 19.3 1 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-21 67 41 54.0 9.0 11 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-22 47 35 41.0 -4.4 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-23 45 38 41.5 -4.2 23 0 0.80 0.0 0 2020-03-24 58 39 48.5 2.5 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-25 49 41 45.0 -1.4 20 0 0.01 0.0 0 2020-03-26 59 35 47.0 0.2 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 2020-03-27 69 49 59.0 11.9 6 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-28 54 47 50.5 3.0 14 0 1.14 0.0 0 2020-03-29 53 47 50.0 2.1 15 0 T 0.0 0 2020-03-30 60 45 52.5 4.3 12 0 0.06 0.0 0 2020-03-31 48 41 44.5 -4.1 20 0 T 0.0 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Nice mild week ahead with most nights even staying above freezing! The warmest day looks to be Thursday but also the day with the best chance of rain. We turn back to colder than normal by Saturday evening into next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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