Violentweatherfan Posted Wednesday at 03:05 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:05 AM 4 hours ago, RedSky said: One degree outside weather what a name Info was pretty cool, I didn’t fully understand 500mb maps but I have a better idea of them now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Wednesday at 03:06 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:06 AM 2 hours ago, rickrd said: Long time lurker. This site cracks me up. Great posts. Great comedy. Here’s my dilemma. What model wins 8 days out? GFS or the AI(bee bop bee bop)? None of them check back in 5 days it will show something completely different I’m not getting fooled a 4th time under rising sun angles. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Wednesday at 03:08 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:08 AM 6 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Mesos are starting to pick up on a norlun feature as the ULL swings through on Thursday. We had one of these about a month ago and it gave us a little over an inch. Wouldn’t be surprised to see something similar with this one. We had one last year put down 5-10” Macungie just south of I-78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Wednesday at 03:10 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:10 AM Clear 17f humidity 42% dew point. -2 the winter desert has returned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Wednesday at 03:30 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:30 AM 19 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: We had one last year put down 5-10” Macungie just south of I-78 I think that was the SWFE with the rogue death band in mid February. Most of eastern PA got 2-4” except for a 10-20 mile wide band of 8-12” near I-78. Pretty wild mesoscale event, not sure we’ll see anything like that again anytime soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Wednesday at 03:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:32 AM 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said: I think that was the SWFE with the rogue death band in mid February. Most of eastern PA got 2-4” except for a 10-20 mile wide band of 8-12” near I-78. Pretty wild mesoscale event, not sure we’ll see anything like that again anytime soon. Yea we got 5 flakes down here from that awful night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted Wednesday at 03:47 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:47 AM 11 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: I think that was the SWFE with the rogue death band in mid February. Most of eastern PA got 2-4” except for a 10-20 mile wide band of 8-12” near I-78. Pretty wild mesoscale event, not sure we’ll see anything like that again anytime soon. you are right- it was not a norlun- just a plain death band that gave Macungie the highest snow total in Eastern PA last year. here is a picture of my 14 in of snowfall on 2/16/2024 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted Wednesday at 03:51 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:51 AM Th 18z GFS run showing over a foot of snow is just simply a model that is FUBAR. I would like to know when the last time a 10 day GFS MECS run actually verified for our area? Right now, the odds are more than a thousand to one-- better odds being struck by lightning LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted Wednesday at 10:16 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:16 AM Like a clown watching to see if that Day 9-10 storm is going to make it 3 consecutive runs on the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted Wednesday at 12:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:04 PM 1 hour ago, Duca892 said: Like a clown watching to see if that Day 9-10 storm is going to make it 3 consecutive runs on the GFS While the Euro has squat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted Wednesday at 12:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:04 PM Still there in some capacity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Wednesday at 01:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:37 PM Lows this morning were more than 10 degrees below normal for late February. The coldest spot was here in East Nantmeal at 11.8 degrees. A few more well below normal days with high temperatures remaining below freezing until Saturday. We should start a nice moderating trend that will get us to near normal to above temperatures to close out the month of February. Below normal temperatures look to return as we start the March. Precipitation wise we could use a little snow or rain as we are running at only about 70% of normal melted snow/rain so far here in 2025. Unfortunately, only some flurries are possible tomorrow and maybe some showers by Monday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted Wednesday at 03:29 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:29 PM Spring is definitely closer than we thought. I’m hearing Red winged Blackbirds already 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Wednesday at 03:39 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 03:39 PM 7 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Spring is definitely closer than we thought. I’m hearing Red winged Blackbirds already I've been hearing birds chirping around sunrise for a few weeks now. It would be nice to just slide into spring, but we're never that lucky. No, I'm not predicting snow. Just two months of raw, windy, rainy days before we turn on the AC in mid May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted Wednesday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:43 PM 1 minute ago, JTA66 said: I've been hearing birds chirping around sunrise for a few weeks now. It would be nice to just slide into spring, but we're never that lucky. No, I'm not predicting snow. Just two months of raw, windy, rainy days before we turn on the AC in mid May. It’s just banter, but I wanted a laugh from it. Like a weenie I’m reading long range thread in the MA forum getting my hopes up for feb28 to mar 2 period. Only to have them crushed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Wednesday at 04:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:17 PM 41 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Spring is definitely closer than we thought. I’m hearing Red winged Blackbirds already Pretty sure Birds realize spring is coming because of the length of day / sunlight. It could probably be cold as balls out but as long as the sun/ daylight is progressively longer they will start arriving. Same goes with fall and shorter days, they will start heading south. Overall they understand seasons are changing due to sunlight or lack of sunlight. They may be a little late or a little early to the party but they know it's coming.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted Wednesday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:17 PM 1 hour ago, Violentweatherfan said: It’s just banter, but I wanted a laugh from it. Like a weenie I’m reading long range thread in the MA forum getting my hopes up for feb28 to mar 2 period. Only to have them crushed I am flying home on the 28th so yeah it's a lock. Philly in the bullseye. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Wednesday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:52 PM 2 hours ago, JTA66 said: I've been hearing birds chirping around sunrise for a few weeks now. It would be nice to just slide into spring, but we're never that lucky. No, I'm not predicting snow. Just two months of raw, windy, rainy days before we turn on the AC in mid May. I would take a mighty cool rainy April and May so Summer will be postponed as long as possible because it never fails. Why have that hot junk come in early especially since the "new" Summer ramps right into late Sept/early Oct....Fall arrives mid Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Wednesday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:06 PM 17 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: That'll be the clipper to finally verify and we will end up 33 and rain probably at our latitude. 12z GFS with your 33F rain Alberta clipper Mr Nostradamus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Wednesday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:11 PM New Orleans& Florida have a better chance for 1" snow through 384hrs on 12z GFS This is against the Geneva conventions 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Wednesday at 06:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:21 PM Mr. T best sums up the 12z euro "PAINNNN" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Wednesday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:15 PM 1 hour ago, RedSky said: 12z GFS with your 33F rain Alberta clipper Mr Nostradamus Hey, I was sleeping.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted Wednesday at 07:28 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:28 PM 1 hour ago, RedSky said: New Orleans& Florida have a better chance for 1" snow through 384hrs on 12z GFS This is against the Geneva conventions I concur- we are in weather purgatory right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted Wednesday at 08:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:52 PM 1 hour ago, zenmsav6810 said: I concur- we are in weather purgatory right now. NO not purgatory, the hellish fires of a major drought. I hope you guys are praying for one hell of rainstorm in March because this fricking "REVOLUTION" type of progressive windy and dry weather pattern will not change. I have a perfect explanation of this revolution pattern in a video clip of how this pattern will not end. https://youtu.be/YvO5MXjAw5Q Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted Wednesday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:08 PM 6 hours ago, Violentweatherfan said: Spring is definitely closer than we thought. I’m hearing Red winged Blackbirds already As a note, I have never seen any red-winged blackbirds here in Philly but when I took a trip up to Niagara Falls during the summer about 10 years ago (Canadian side), there were a billion of them there. I was like OOOOOHHHHH... THAT is what they look like in person! Have been battling the dry air much of today. Got down to a low of 15 this morning and a dp of 1. Am currently at 27 after reaching a high for the day if 28. The dp has at least made it into the double digits at 11. Humidifiers have been having a rough time (have central air here). Will have to see if anything south of here manages to break through that dry air to deposit anything up here. My snowdrops are coming up so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Wednesday at 10:41 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:41 PM 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: NO not purgatory, the hellish fires of a major drought. I hope you guys are praying for one hell of rainstorm in March because this fricking "REVOLUTION" type of progressive windy and dry weather pattern will not change. I have a perfect explanation of this revolution pattern in a video clip of how this pattern will not end. https://youtu.be/YvO5MXjAw5Q You may be losing it. Personally I haven't seen a good brush fire and want to cross it off my list. Let the winds, low DPs and possible flurries continue... 25F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Thursday at 01:49 AM Share Posted Thursday at 01:49 AM Any snow reports from Cape May? Looks like they've had a few decent spells of snow on the radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted Thursday at 02:46 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:46 AM 4 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said: As a note, I have never seen any red-winged blackbirds here in Philly but when I took a trip up to Niagara Falls during the summer about 10 years ago (Canadian side), there were a billion of them there. I was like OOOOOHHHHH... THAT is what they look like in person Their call is a favorite of mine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted Thursday at 04:16 AM Share Posted Thursday at 04:16 AM 10 hours ago, Birds~69 said: I would take a mighty cool rainy April and May so Summer will be postponed as long as possible because it never fails. Why have that hot junk come in early especially since the "new" Summer ramps right into late Sept/early Oct....Fall arrives mid Nov. That would be awesome for many reasons! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Thursday at 05:06 AM Share Posted Thursday at 05:06 AM The pendulum has swung the other way backing off the long range deep cold, go figure The snow clipper which turned into a rain clipper is now projected so far north there is essentially nothing 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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